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Prius Main Forum This is a discussion on Prius Myths and their Rebuttals within the Prius Main Forum forums, part of the Toyota Prius Forums category; First: estimated lifetime miles of 109,000? How'd they come up with that number? we've seen articles of people getting 250,000+ ...


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Old 11-28-2006, 04:41 PM   #11
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First: estimated lifetime miles of 109,000? How'd they come up with that number? we've seen articles of people getting 250,000+ miles (thinking of the Canadian taxi driver). Plus, with the car being so new, i don't think there's an established baseline for the lifetime of the car.

Second:
Quote:
One thing is clear. The typical hybrid small vehicle such as the Prius is driven far fewer miles each year than a comparably sized budget car. And for good reason. Like Upper Premium Sports cars, these are generally secondary vehicles in a household OR they are driven in restricted or short range environments such as college campuses or retirement neighborhoods. Clearly both of those are generalizations and there are exceptions, but nonetheless this is a reality of automotive use.[/b]
Huh? Secondary vehicles just being driven short range? Are they thinking electric cars? I think we've seen enough people on this site who use it as their primary commuter vehicle in 30+ mile commutes, as well as plenty of long distance drivers (i myself have passed 12k in the first 8 months, more than any car i've owned before)... I wish i had some solid evidence that contradicted that, but it just doesn't pass the common sense rule - all my friends want to take my car on road trips cause it'll cost less.

They also use pretty damn stupid arguments to support this. namely that, early model technology is more expensive to repair than newer technology is to buy. They use an example of printers - it's cheaper to buy a smaller, faster $100 printer than repair the 5 year old beast that just broke down. I highly doubt the same is true in cars, or all cars would be junked after a few years.


I'd go on to argue the rest of the study, but i don't have time right now to read 400+ pages... maybe when i fly to Spain next month.

At any rate, here's the kicker, IMO: There are fewer Prii out there than, say, the Camry. If design and development of the Prius cost $100,000,000, and there are only $100,000 Prii on the road, then thats $1000 per Prius for just the design, not even taking into account the other factors they have. now, what happens when there are 1,000,000 Prii, or 10,000,000? You can see how the length a vehicle has been in the field drastically effects this number. Now, maybe i didn't read far enough, but i didn't see tables that listed the cost per mile for each vehicle 5 years after it had been introduced (adjusted for inflation, of course)...

At any rate, i don't think we need to prove that their numbers are wrong (difficult to do since these types of surveys and numbers haven't been done in large numbers), so much as to point out the flaws in their methods and assumptions.
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Old 11-28-2006, 04:43 PM   #12
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say the prius actually lasts as long as their expedition estimate (which is laughable on its own)...

it's now $1.246... HMM...
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Old 11-29-2006, 01:03 AM   #13
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<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE(eagle33199 @ Nov 28 2006, 03:41 PM) [snapback]354949[/snapback]</div>
Quote:
First: estimated lifetime miles of 109,000? How'd they come up with that number? we've seen articles of people getting 250,000+ miles...[/b]
What's up with that?

Perhaps we should include a photo in the document... like this newest one from Jesse:

Click the image to open in full size.
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Old 11-29-2006, 02:32 AM   #14
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<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE(QuadAces @ Nov 28 2006, 01:02 PM) [snapback]354930[/snapback]</div>
Quote:
Myth or fact? What is the rebuttal?
A snippet from the table in the .zip file. Sorry about the formatting

Code:
Car                 Cost/mile     Estimated Life (Miles)
Prius           $3.249     109,000
[/b]
$3.29 * 109,000 = $358,610.00

Isn't it amazing that these are claimed to be the "costs" to "plan, build, sell, drive and dispose of a vehicle from initial concept to scrappage", but the owner is only asked to pay for a small portion of these "costs". I know I don't spend $60,000 a year to drive 20k miles. Maybe more like 1/8th of that. Damn! How nice of the auto manufacturers and oil companies to only ask me to foot a small portion of the bill, and pick up the rest of it themselves. I never realized they were running charities. I won't be so hard on them in the future.

Their analysis is retarded. Except for the costs to society for environmental pollution and simlar, all of these other "costs" must be borne by somebody at some point. But most of them aren't - because they are not real costs. The analysis is worse than flawed, it rooted in fantasy.
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Old 11-29-2006, 09:27 AM   #15
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In addition to not being real costs, items are double counted (maybe even triple counted? quadruple?) Consider the gas an engineer uses to get to work when designing the Prius. It's counted once in refining it. again in shipping it to his location. again when he purchases it. again when he receives his salary from Toyota (part of which goes towards that tank of gas), and again when you buy the car from them (as part of that purchase goes towards paying his salary). So thats what, 5 times that the same dollar was counted? And we haven't even gotten into any environmental effects...
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Old 11-29-2006, 11:08 AM   #16
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i read a few pages of the document and all i saw was numbers on a page. no real hard data so i have to say that unless this person has intimate knowledge of the manufacturing processes for every auto company, i think he is talking out his A**. after reading the numbers he posted, now i KNOW he is
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Old 11-29-2006, 12:44 PM   #17
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I've never felt that I had to "defend" the Prius, or for that matter any other mode of transportation, from no-brains. It helps that I'm built like a night club bouncer.

Once - and only once - a jerk in an Expedition cut me off at a gas station, then flipped me off. Once I got out of my Prius, he turned white and peeled out of there as fast as that Ford P.O.S. would go. Why is it that such skinny tiny men drive such large vehicles??

As far as Art Spinella and his "consulting" company, just do what my Dad always told me: Follow the Money. You'll understand why he has such high praise for certain GM and Ford products.
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Old 11-29-2006, 08:27 PM   #18
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figures never lie but liers sure can figure.
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Old 12-03-2006, 02:42 PM   #19
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I read throught that so called report a little bit and just laughed. The problem is that it doesn't even pass the common sense test.

The battery in the Prius weighs 100lbs, can anybody guess what the battery in a H2 weighs? Actually it is 60-70 lbs, so what is the big difference? Plus that battery normally will get replaced every3-4 years on average in the H2. So that kills the battery argument vs the Prius.

Now lets look at fuel consumption. On average a Prius will get around 48 MPG for the average user. Lets be generous and say the H2 will get 12 MPG for the average user. So over 100k miles the Prius consumes 2083 galons of gas, the H2 8333 galons. Now with a weight of 6lbs per gallon, the Prius uses 12000 lbs of gas (gas guzzler ) and the H2 50000 lbs of gas WOW. That is 38000 lbs of gas difference.

We can go on and on, by comparing tires, etc. And every single item they listed is completely wrong and BS. The H2 tires weigh 4 times that of the Prius and it wil consume them much quicker due to the weigh and power required to move it, besides the tires ont he Prius can come with 60K+ warranties, while the H2 tires will not even get a mileage warranty and most will not even get 40K miles out of them if they are lucky.

The fact of the matter is that report is completely wrong, not even skewing facts, JUST PLAIN WRONG. Take the elements they qoute, find the truth and apply a calculater and you will be amazed how far they are off. And since when does a 3000lb car cost more or use more energy to produce than a 7000lb truck?

They claim that the conventional truck don't need the fancy motors as in the Prius, yet they conveniantly forget that the truck will need a starter and alternator which the Prius don't. And for the big trucks those components will easily weigh more than the motors used in a Prius.

The numbers they use are worse than the lies a politician running for office, unfortunately for them it is very easy to go check on a number of their so called facts and proof them completely wrong.
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Old 12-04-2006, 12:46 PM   #20
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<div class='quotetop'>QUOTE(TonyPSchaefer @ Nov 27 2006, 10:54 PM) [snapback]354660[/snapback]</div>
Quote:
A coworker stopped by my office this afternoon and said that he spent a few minutes over the weekend defending the Prius to his neighbor. Apperantly, the neighbor was spewing "facts" from the various media outlets and using them to bash the Prius.

Futile as I know it will be, I'm going to try and impose some rules:
1) This thread is not for conversation. This thread is for posting facts.

[/b]
Your futility was well confirmed :^)
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