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Volt 2.0: Ruess "It will leap-frog... the competition"

Discussion in 'GM Hybrids and EVs' started by Jeff N, Oct 1, 2014.

  1. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    Their business plan had a June release date for nationwide roll out on the Toyota website when the car was first released.
    Toyota themselves may not have made excuses on why it got pushed back and then dropped, but they were made.
    Here are the segments that GM is competing in:
    Small car
    Cruze 30mpg combined; Focus 30mpg; Civic 32; Corolla 33
    Mid-size car
    Malibu 29; Fusion 29; Accord 29; Camry 28
    Full size car
    Impala 25(21 with V6 option); Taurus 26; Avalon 24
    Small SUV
    Equinox 26; Trax 29; Highlander 22; Rav4 26
    Standard SUV
    Traverse 19; Tahoe 18; Sequoia 15
    Pick up truck
    Silverado, V6-20mpg, V8-19, big V8-16; Tundra, V8-16, big V8-15
    Smaller pick up
    Colorado 22, V6-21; Tacoma 21, V6-19

    All are 2015 models with automatic transmission and FWD or 2WD. The cars are the 4 cylinder gas engines. I used the 1.5 Ecoboost with start/stop for the Fusion, because I believe the Mailbu has it standard. The Avalon is V6 only. Small SUV is the EPA designation. GM doesn't have an actual mini-van, so that segment was skipped.

    No, I did not include the hybrids, because they make up about 10% of a model's sales. 40,000 a year would be a great year for the mid-size sedan hybrids. The Prius LB is the only one to have broken 100k a year in the US.

    I didn't use the ECO, SPE, or diesel for basically the same reason. I figured they make up a small portion of sales, but if you have info that says otherwise, please share.
     
  2. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    So some internet jerks left with you with a bad experience.
    How does their actions equate to GM not going to diversify the technology and product?
     
  3. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    Toyota's plan also included the flexibility to choose not to. They had the regular model to continue their hybrid market penetration with. When Toyota exercised the option, it upset those who didn't realize that was a choice available right from the start.

    Being able to react to the market is good business.
     
  4. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    GM was catering to them.

    That's why the WHO? question was asked over and over and over again.

    Know your audience.
     
  5. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    If GM was catering to them, then explain the upcoming CT6 PHV and Malibu hybrid. Both are derivatives of the new Voltec system.
     
  6. Zythryn

    Zythryn Senior Member

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    John, now you are just making stuff up and taking extreme statements by fanatics as general statements of GM. And somehow stating these extreme positions (which I have never heard except from you) dictate what GM is doing?

    And are you equating dilution to diversification??
     
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  7. Jeff N

    Jeff N The answer is 0042

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    I posted approvingly at GM-volt.com about the possibility of an additional cheaper non-EREV 25-30 mile EV range version of the 2016 Volt with a half-sized battery pack and I don't recall being labeled as a troll or being personally attacked. Maybe the issue was the messenger rather than the message.

    My sense is that Volt enthusiasts have generally been enthusiastic or at least not generally hostile to the Malibu. This is because it seems like a good highly efficient product and because it promises to lower the cost of its shared Volt components through the magic of scaled-up manufacturing.

    My impression is that most Volt enthusiasts are largely indifferent to the CT6 as they were with the ELR. It's a curiosity that few aspire to. It fills a spot in Cadillac's high-end high-performance large sedan offerings. It will have an estimated EPA EV range of 37 miles which is about the same as the ELR and most Volts on the road today (EPA 35-38). It's true that unlike the ELR it is not an EREV, but that's because it is using the 2016 Volt's 18.4 kWh battery pack in a car that is in a market space that expects 300+ HP, not 150 HP. So, it blends in the gas engine if you floor the accelerator.

    Unlike the Prius Plugin or even the Ford Fusion Energi, I would expect the CT6 can be driven somewhat aggressively without starting the gas engine but we will have to wait for the 3rd party test drive reviews to learn more.
     
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  8. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    WAS.

    That's the past, which has nothing to do with what's happening now.
     
  9. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    You're oversimplifying and dismissing the past you didn't participate in. Neither serves any purpose now.

    What is your perspective on 2016 plans?
     
    #289 john1701a, May 27, 2015
    Last edited: May 27, 2015
  10. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    Much has changed since those days back when Volt was still considered "vastly superior". All the way up to 2013's end, it was quite ugly.

    2014 was a time for many to move on.

    I'm glad many don't remember that and/or refuse to believe that happened. It's a good sign. A true confirmation of change.
     
  11. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    Product development and advancement doesn't happen overnight.

    Just because GM never stated they were developing plugins with lower EV range or hybrids without a plug off of the Voltec system doesn't mean they weren't. The company management was in no way required to counter any claims by enthusiasts, who are outsiders. It isn't their responsibility if anything stated by those fans is taken as company gospel either.

    When Toyota is mum about upcoming plans, they are praised for 'playing their cards close to the chest'. When GM does it, they get blamed for any rumors this may lead too. They were accused of 'over promising and under delivering' with the first Volt. Yet they take actions not to do the same with the second one, and they still did wrong.

    GM was hurt by the gas price spike because they simply didn't have any fuel efficient offerings at the time. They have taken steps to fix that. A post I have above shows that many of their ICEVs have fuel efficiency competitive with the competition. Their big sellers, the pick ups, are much better than what Toyota offers.

    Many here wish GM had a decent hybrid car available for years, but the sad, sorry truth is not having one has not hurt them. Like Toyota having a real sports car, the downsides of GM not having hybrid are intangibles. Then Volt covered those. Focusing on another hybrid car would likely have drawn resources away for improving efficiency and other details for the rest of their line up. The Prius doesn't pay the bills at Toyota, and neither would a 'mainstream' hybrid for GM.
     
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  12. dbcassidy

    dbcassidy Toyota Hybrid Nation, 8 Million Strong

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    Government Motors has been in denial for years as the Prius made inroads with the buying masses. So now Government Motors is still trying to catch up.

    DBCassidy
     
  13. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    GM stated they would not.

    GM later changed their plan.

    2015 is very different as a result.

    Why is it so hard to acknowledge that and move on?
     
  14. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    btw, moving on is just a matter of stating new goals.
     
  15. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    And Toyota stated they would roll the Prius PHV out nationwide.

    I'd ask for a source of GM saying they wouldn't make Voltec derivatives, but it really doesn't matter, and I really don't care what some GM, possibly pre-bankruptcy, talking head said in past. It's the same group insisting the first Volt would be serial hybrid only after all.

    Most people seem excited about the next Volt's incremental improvements, and being within $3000 of the starting PiP price. Most appear happy about a hybrid Malibu. I'm hoping it will be priced the same as the 2L ICE option, but am expecting pricing close to the offers. So it well end up selling about as well as them.

    Which leaves the only one dwelling on GM's past with the Volt, you John. We've moved on, and I think I can say we did so as soon as the first Volt went on sale. You are the one that brings up the past in Volt threads, regardless on the thread's topic scope. Apparently, it was just to get people to admit you were right. Between that and your 'wise master' stick asking about the Volt's targeted market, the value of your posting contributions have dropped to zero. Which is a shame, because you once did share plenty of knowledge on the Prius and its workings.

    Ans thus, good bye.
     
  16. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    I've been hearing a lot of concern about what happens when the incentives run out.

    Wanting a constructive discussion (moving on) means addressing production cost.

    Again, what are the goals?
     
  17. usbseawolf2000

    usbseawolf2000 HSD PhD

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    Volt 2.0 is still not the mainstream ready model. The hope is Gen3 will be when the incentives dry up. That's a lot of money from the bail out to the 10 years stretch of $1.5 billion plugin incentive.

    The hope is Gen3 will be affordable and practical for the mass market.

    By design, Volt will not be able to compete with other PHEVs or regular hybrids due to the nature of duplicity and wasteful resources. We'll see how far out GM can dig out from the niche market.
     
  18. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    As inaccurate as the misrepresentation of me is (the timeline distortion is quite obvious), I'll still try to get the discussion to move on.

    We don't know what the starting price of next-gen PiP will be, nor any of the specs yet. So, comparing Gen-2 is not appropriate. That's why attention is focused on necessity: PRODUCTION COST.

    Being mainstream requires the ability to make a profit without subsides. That's a really big problem which continues to be evaded.
     
  19. Jeff N

    Jeff N The answer is 0042

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    The purpose of the battery subsidy was to chronologically bring forward plugins with substantial battery packs, battery plant investments, and R&D to increase energy density and reduce battery prices so "mainstream" vehicles could be price competitive with non-plugins after the subsidies ended. We are on-track and well on the way to doing that. The effort has been very successful so far.

    This inherently involves designing and selling cars using emerging technology Lithium automotive cells on the leading edge of a new price/performance curve and then riding it to success in a new mass market product space. Like $10,000 1,024x768 resolution flat screen plasma TVs that cost under $400 today.

    Tesla is doing that. GM is doing that. Nissan, VW etc... Toyota hopes to do it with H2 although they have a longer and more complex list of problems to solve.
     
  20. Jeff N

    Jeff N The answer is 0042

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    We don't know the actual cost of the 2016 Volt to GM so it's rather hard to have a discussion. We do know that they made production cost reduction a major goal of the engineering on the car. We do know that industry battery prices have been falling rapidly with every prospect of continuing to drop at a similar pace for the next 5 years. There are multiple new battery engineering efforts that should continue to increase energy density and drop production costs along with manufacturing consolidation and scaling of existing battery designs.

    Where is the "evasion"? The cost issues are well understood and are already on a rapid descent.