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Prius vs Echo -- Cost of Ownership

Discussion in 'Generation 1 Prius Discussion' started by bwilson4web, Mar 27, 2010.

  1. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Back in 2001, we test drove a new Prius and Echo. My wife needed a 'going for groceries' car and the Echo was bought. I still had a 1991 Camry, my commuting vehicle.

    In 2005, the Camry was lost in a rain-slick street accident. So after reviewing the options, we bought a 2003 Prius.

    In 2009, we sold the Echo for a 2010 Prius and I continue to commute in the 2003 Prius.

    2001 Echo

    • $14,250 - purchase price
    • $3,000 - sale price
    • 34 mpg - recorded mileage
    • 30,000 miles - total
    • $0.43/mile = (($14250-$3000)+($2*(30000/34))) / 30000
    2003 Prius

    • $17,300 - purchase price
    • $0 - not for sale
    • 52 mpg - recorded mileage
    • 75,000 miles - to date
    • $0.28/mile = (($17300 -0) + ($2.50*(75,000/52))) / 75000
    We still have the 2003 Prius so if it disappeared tomorrow, it still would have been cheaper per mile than the 2001 Echo. These are not speculations or fantasies but hard facts and data.

    Bob Wilson
     
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  2. Patrick Wong

    Patrick Wong DIY Enthusiast

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    Hi Bob,

    The major factor that drove your wife's Echo cost of ownership to be so high, was $11.2K depreciation over nine years combined with very low usage, only 30K miles over that period.

    Suppose your wife had driven the car at average usage which is ~12K miles per year. The $3,000 sale price might have been reduced to $1,000.

    If she had driven 100K miles over nine years then the depreciation cost per mile would have been reduced to ~ 1/3 of the amount you calculated.

    $11,250 depreciation / 30K miles = $0.375 depr. / mile
    $13,250 depreciation / 100K miles = $0.133 depr. / mile

    That difference of $0.242 per mile would have reduced your ownership cost of $0.43/mile to $0.19/mile.

    The ownership cost you calculated includes depreciation and gas. It excludes insurance, registration, maintenance and repair costs which often vary between models.
     
  3. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    But I can't turn the clock back to 2001 and tell her she has a requirement to drive "xxx miles per year." We had to deal with her real world usage and those are her real world driving costs. But this illustrates an important point first brought out by the flawed, CNW Marketing study, "Dust-to-Dust."
    Mileage has no effect for "lawn art" cars.
    It is the fallacy of choosing the annual mileage instead of using the actual mileage. Which should we use:

    • 7,000 miles per year - CNW Marketing
    • 12,000 miles per year - another source
    • 15,000 miles per year - the EPA web site number for fuel expense
    • actual vehicle miles - my choice, someone else with different actual miles will get something else

    When someone tells me they are not going to be driving much, I tell them it doesn't matter what car they drive. For Prius fuel economy to make a significant impact, the owner needs to be doing a significant number of miles per year. The perfect Prius owner is a taxi company/driver ... they make out like bandits.
    Correct, because these are actual costs. It was a first order estimate based upon direct operating expenses. The next order numbers roughly come in as follows but there are problems with the actual numbers:

    • ~$425/year Insurance - so 9 years 2001 Echo and 5 years 2003 Prius. I didn't include this overhead, non-mileage based expense because it makes the Echo significantly worse.
    • ~$100/year Registration - Alabama has a sliding scale based upon the age. Again, 9 years 2001 Echo and 5 years 2003 Prius. Again, the extra years really hits the Echo hardest.
    • ~$200/year Maintenance - oil, wipers, misc. lights, tire rotation. Again, 9 years 2001 Echo and 5 years 2003 Prius, hitting the Echo worse.
    • $500 deductible, one each Repair - my wife ran her Echo into the back of another car and a suicidal post jumped up behind my 2003 Prius.
    • $450 Tires - I wore out a set of tires on the Prius, Sumitomo T4s, and am on the second set (Tire Rack, great prices, local mounting and balance only $25!) At last, an expense that hits just the Prius. My wife's Echo had the original tires and I understand the owner is still getting good use from them.
    • $135 Lifetime Alignment - Prius only, it was a used vehicle and the tires that came with the 2003 Prius showed an abnormal wear pattern. This lifetime alignment has been key to getting maximum miles from subsequent sets of tires.
    • Prius study stuff - there are a number of hybrid studies I've run on the Prius, enthusiast stuff, such as transaxle oil studies, addition of the 1 kW inverter (originally bought and integrated with the wife's 2001 Echo), tow bar, XM radio, Graham Scanner, used traction batteries e.t.c. These expenses expand our knowledge and understanding, and are what I do for entertainment.
    • Labor of love - dividing my salary by 2,000 hours per year gives an income labor rate of ~$50/hr. Estimating my labor of love hours ... well it is a bunch.
    Still, I enjoy the Dept. of Energy, lifetime costs because they are based upon actual, incurred costs, not 'fantasy baseball' numbers:

    I'm quite happy with using the same criteria they used, actual numbers. Are you?

    Bob Wilson
     
  4. jk450

    jk450 New Member

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    Adding to Patrick Wong's observations, I find other flaws in this comparison.

    No, but when comparing cost-per-mile numbers between vehicles, you could have calculated them over the same amount of miles. Instead, you chose a vehicle with more than twice the miles of the other vehicle. That's not a fair comparison by even the most generous standards.

    You haven't yet made an fair comparison, even though you have the tools to do so. Compare the first 30,000 miles of use for both vehicles, and figure out a way to include purchase costs.

    Actually, the methods used in the original post are quite reminiscent of those employed in "Dust to Dust". And I'm probably not the only one who noticed that you have also compared a vehicle that was purchased new to a vehicle that was purchased after two years of depreciation.
     
  5. usbseawolf2000

    usbseawolf2000 HSD PhD

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    Was the Echo purchase new and Prius as used? Judging from the purchased price it seems to be the case.
     
  6. jk450

    jk450 New Member

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    The person who started this thread stated that the Echo was purchased new in 2001. The price seems awfully high; as I recall, base Echos were around $10K in 2001. So I'm not sure how they managed to pay more than $14K for even a loaded Echo.

    The person who started this thread also stated that they bought a 2003 Prius in 2005 for $17,300. The MSRP of a 2001 Prius, however, was $19,995, so the 2003 would be at least that.

    If the vehicles were financed, interest would also have to be added.
     
  7. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Ok,

    Perhaps this will do:
    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6
    0 2001 Echo $ value frequency total
    1 Purchase $14 250 1 $14 250
    2 Sale ($3 000) 1 ($3 000)
    3 Insurance / year $450 9 $4 050
    4 miles 30 000
    5 MPG 34
    6 gallons 882
    7 fuel cost $2.00 882 $1 764
    8 tags and taxes $100 9 $900
    9 annual maint. $200 9 $1 800
    10 repairs $500 1 $500
    11 tires $0 0 $0
    12
    13 total cost $20 264
    14 cost per mile $20 264 30 000 $0.68
    Wilson's 2001 Echo experience. This Echo included automatic transmission, air conditioner, and keyless entry system and the SouthEast Toyota markups and add-ons. We never bought another car from this dealer.

    And of course:
    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6
    0 2003 Prius $ value frequency total
    1 Purchase $17 300 1 $17 300
    2 Sale $0 1 $0
    3 Insurance / year $450 5 $2 250
    4 miles 75 000
    5 MPG 52
    6 gallons 1442
    7 fuel cost $2.50 882 $2 205
    8 tags and taxes $100 5 $500
    9 annual maint. $200 5 $1 000
    10 repairs $500 1 $500
    11 tires $225 2 $450
    12
    13 total cost $24 205
    14 cost per mile $24 205 75 000 $0.32
    Wilson's Prius experience.

    For our anonymous poster, "jk450," these are actual costs and mileage. Folks are of course free to post any fantasy they wish. Obiously, "jk450" is once again trying to ignore the facts and data. Sad, more worthy of pity.

    Bob Wilson
     
  8. jk450

    jk450 New Member

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    You repeated all of the errors that you made the first time. You simply put them into a table, that's all.
     
  9. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    You are of course welcome since the facts and data remain the same. It is a shame you don't have any real world data. It is the difference between reality versus posting "fantasy baseball" style.

    Bob Wilson
     
  10. jk450

    jk450 New Member

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    Nobody claimed to have any data. We simply pointed out some of the errors in your comparison.
     
  11. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Exactly! Nothing, empty hands, no 'skin in the game.' Facts and data, the real world. Get over it. <GRINS>

    The facts and data remain:

    • $0.68/mile - 2001 Echo
    • $0.32/mile - 2003 Prius
    Now Patrick has NHW11 Prius experience and if he chooses to share it, I would expect to find his cost per mile to be in this set:

    • $0.32/mile - 2003 Prius, Wilson
    • $0.41/mile - 2002 Prius, VIN: *79
    • $0.55/mile - 2002 Prius, VIN: *36
    • $0.60/mile - 2002 Prius, VIN; *05
    Where is your contribution to actual cost per mile for an NHW11? Opps, I forgot, you don't have any but a "fanasy baseball" world. Tell you what, go find CNW Marketing and copy their cost per mile.

    Bob Wilson
     
  12. bedrock8x

    bedrock8x Senior Member

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    The only thing wrong with the comparison is that a used vehicular always cheaper to run. It is not fair to compare between a used and a new purchase.
    Second it also needs to prorate to the same mileage even if one is less for the cost per mile. Say if you sit one of the car in the garage for 0 miles for the life of the car, then the cost per mile will be astronomical, divide by zero.
    What you shown is what you have achieved by you but not necessary by other people.
     
  13. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    It is reality, my actual cost of ownership.

    Cool! Post your data?

    Bob Wilson
     
  14. jdcollins5

    jdcollins5 Senior Member

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    The only thing that I took from Bob's post was that this was his experience between two of his personal cars. I did not pick up
    that he was saying that anyone else could expect to have the same exact experience that he did.
     
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  15. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Exactly! Even the Department of Energy had significant differences in the cost per mile of three NHW11s. But as we share our real world numbers, the facts and data, we can gain clues that can help us and others maximize our return on investment.

    There will always be folks who try to intimidate others into not posting ... not sharing. It doesn't work with me and hopefully, others will get a clue and share their data too. Like sunlight to a vampire, facts and data, personal experience is the antithesis for hybrid skeptics.

    Bob Wilson
     
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  16. bedrock8x

    bedrock8x Senior Member

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    My 87 Camry has 354K miles and purchase new for $14.5K.
    Gas was cheap then I used $1.75 as the average price and at 29 mpg.

    Cost per miles = $14500/354000 + $1.75/29
    = $0.04 + $0.06
    = $0.10

    Update:

    My 09 TCH, assuming trade in value of $18K

    Cost per mile = ($26000-$18000)/20000 + $3.00/39
    = $0.40 + 0.077
    = $0.48
     
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  17. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    My 2001 Prius TCO was 32 cents per mile. That based on transfering to a friend when it was still young at 109 000 miles odometer. That friend is now reaping the benefit (already described here for mostly-depreciated used cars) and achieving a lower TCO.

    During my run, average fuel cost was $2.50/gallon. Any vehicle's TCO would respond to changes there, but Prius (and all other high-mpg vehicles) have lower slopes.

    The size of the insurance chunk always amazed me (6 c/mi in California) - guess that's a pretty good business to be in.

    I have previously suggested here that an NHW11 Prius driven out to a more reasonable odometer (300 k or more for some) would probably show TCO below 25 cents/mi. There are others here with complete data. I'm sure, and we hope they'll post later.
     
  18. orange4boy

    orange4boy Member

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    Reading comprehension FAIL.

    Wow. LOL. So desperate to be "right" people have invented flaws right out of thin air!

    Perhaps reading the post would help. He's not trying to fool anyone.

    If you want to "compare" the two cars your way no one is stopping you. Patrick did that without resorting to calling the post unfair and flawed. Bob just posted his own actual cost per mile data, others "invented" flaws by assuming Bob was posting a "study".

    Geez people.
     
  19. Patrick Wong

    Patrick Wong DIY Enthusiast

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    Hi Bob,

    Actually the acquisition cost of my 2001 was $0 because my dad gave that car to me in 2004. It would not be fair for me to compute a cost of ownership that excluded the value of that gift. My costs included fuel, insurance, maintenance and repairs (i.e., 12V battery, front struts / rear shocks, a few sets of tires, and the usual miscellaneous items like PCV valve, serpentine belt etc.) over the four years I owned that car.

    I sold the car in 2008 for a fairly good price (preparing for my daughter entering college) so I really had a negative cost of ownership, all things considered...

    My 2000 Mustang cost $29K (excl. tax & license) in 2000 and has <14K miles on the odometer. I'm too scared to calculate the cost per mile on that vehicle. :eek:

    The high cost is not the Mustang's fault, rather that cost reflects my particular usage pattern.

    In the Wilson household, if you want to make a vehicle's cost of ownership look relatively good, all you have to do is to take that vehicle over as your primary driver since you log 3x the annual miles that your wife does.

    In general, if an owner wishes to minimize cost of ownership, that person would be well-advised to buy a car after 2 or 3 years of age (thus avoiding the major depreciation hit during the first 2 years.) Then keep the car in service until a major repair is required that is 50% or more of the vehicle's market value.

    At that point, serious consideration should be given towards getting rid of the car, depending upon the owner's assessment of the vehicle's reliability and the cost of other failures that are likely to occur.

    NHW11 vehicles are old enough so that the market value is quite low. Any significant repair performed by the Toyota dealer will likely meet that 50% threshold.

    Hey, if you just have the front struts / rear shocks replaced by the Toyota dealer you might be faced with a $2K bill.

    Considering the potential failures with the traction battery, steering gear, inverter, transaxle, etc. it would be a difficult decision to keep the car once one failure has happened, if the owner has to rely upon dealer service.
     
  20. orange4boy

    orange4boy Member

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    Since you are talking about your cost and not your fathers cost of ownership it would be perfectly fair to calculate your C.O. on the 0$ cost to you of the car, it would simply be a different number from someone else who had to pay for their car.(like your father). As long as you don't lie about the numbers or call it something that it's not, I don't see why it's not fair.

    It just means if someone was to use your data they would have to take the gift issue into account. You could add some kind of value to the car but then it's not actual data but an interpretation using an estimated value.