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Prius vs Echo -- Cost of Ownership

Discussion in 'Generation 1 Prius Discussion' started by bwilson4web, Mar 27, 2010.

  1. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Hi Patrick,
    One way to handle a 'gift' is to list the "$0" actual values with a footnote but don't use either the acquistion or disposal cost in the operational expense calculations. This mirrors corporate accounting practices when they have an unusual tax or other one-time fiscal event. You'll still have the operational cost per mile if you are curious.
    Cost per mile calculation is entirely optional. For example, I bought a worn out, 1993 Coachman RV for $4,000 and drove it from Florida. I put another $1,000 in repairs. Since we got it to Huntsville, it has just sat on the driveway waiting for my wife's pleasure. It is her 'entertainment.'

    This is one of the reasons why "do it yourself," independent mechanics, 3d party, and salvage parts play an important role in extending vehicle service life. Over time, we replace car capital costs with randomly, recurring maintenance. But we also have a backup vehicle so we can continue earning income while dealing with the inevitable failure. It is part of risk management but not every owner has the patience, fiscal resources, or skills to deal with failures.

    One of the reasons for hanging around technical forums is to gain clues and insights, lessons learned from the experiences shared. Sharing is key.

    Bob Wilson
     
  2. Midpack

    Midpack Member

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    2003 Honda Element, here's my data:
    • $20,800 - purchase price
    • $6,500 - sale price
    • 23 mpg - recorded mileage
    • 96,000 miles total
    • $0.257/mile = (($20,800-$6,500) + ($2.50*(96000/23))) / 96000
    So I assume the OP would conclude the Element is cheaper to own than an Echo or a Prius - most of us would not.
     
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  3. Rokeby

    Rokeby Member

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    The message I get from Bob's postings is that an outcome, in this case
    cost per mile of ownership from relatively small data set -- his two
    cars -- does not accurately represent either someone else's small data
    set or a much larger data set; everyone's cars.

    I suppose he is leading to a general caution; something along the lines
    that: statistics can be innocently vague, or intentionally misleading. The
    only way to test the validity of the outcome is to inspect the inputs.

    Further, comparing individual car costs per mile of ownership only
    highlights two specific cases and does not constitute valid grounds for
    making general statements that in all cases Car A is more anything
    than Car B.
     
  4. Patrick Wong

    Patrick Wong DIY Enthusiast

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    Hi Bob,

    Let's go back to the conclusion of your OP. The valid conclusion from your data is that Mr. Wilson's car had a lower cost per mile than Mrs. Wilson's car, mostly because Mr. Wilson drives 3x as much as Mrs. Wilson.

    If your wife had latched onto the 2003 Prius when you acquired it (like my wife did as soon as our 2001 Prius came off the boat at Long Beach Harbor) then the outcome of your story would have been reversed: The 2001 Echo would have been much cheaper than the 2003 Prius on a cost / mile basis.

    This is due to amortization of the relatively fixed Echo depreciation cost over many more miles, while the Prius cost / mile would have been penalized by that car being driven only 3K miles per year.
     
  5. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Actually I'm just curious. Before posting our two cars, I also had the three mileage results from the Department of Energy, a total of five samples:

    • $0.68/mile - 2001 Echo, Wilson, (first est. $0.43/mile)
    • $0.32/mile - 2003 Echo, Wilson (first est. $28/mile)
    • $0.41/mile - 2002 Prius, VIN: *79
    • $0.55/mile - 2002 Prius, VIN: *36
    • $0.60/mile - 2002 Prius, VIN: *05
    My initial estimated cost per miles did not include annual tags, maintenance and insurance. When these additional, direct costs were applied, the numbers significantly changed.

    We can only compare vehicles that we have data and those publicly shared. But there has been a lot of FUD in the past with everyone from the Consumer Reports screw-up when they failed to include the Federal Tax credit to CNW Marketing's made up numbers.

    This is actually leading to a formula in which we can insert various values and generate a set of cost/mile curves. These can be analyzed to find an optimum value. In fact, looking at the initial cost tables, we find one time cost, vehicle ownership is a major part. But in the operational costs, insurance can completely dominate. Fuel and maintenance are the next biggies followed by taxes/tags, repairs, and tires.

    Now in the past, I separated the fixed costs from the operational costs. These fixed costs occur even if the car never moves out of the driveway:

    • purchase/disposal
    • insurance
    • tags and taxes
    The direct operational costs occur even if the car is a gift and only driven on private roads:

    • fuel cost
    • annual manitenance
    • repairs
    • tires
    This had been and remains my current practice when looking at vehicles because after the purchase, nothing we do changes the fixed overhead, the capital costs. We can save in operational costs by cutting down on our miles driven or improving our mileage and driving for long life.

    Mostly I'm curious and facts and data are the way I use find out what is going on, empiricism.

    Bob Wilson
     
  6. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Good points but let's solve the problem about how to handle what is an "apples" to "oranges" comparison of fixed, capital costs versus operational costs:

    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6
    0 2001 Echo $ value frequency total
    1 Purchase $14 250 1 $14 250
    2 Sale ($3 000) 1 ($3 000)
    3 Insurance / year $450 9 $4 050
    4 tags and taxes $100 9 $900
    5 fixed costs (costs/mile) $16 200($0.54/mile)
    6
    7 miles 30 000
    8 MPG 34
    9 gallons 882
    10
    11 fuel cost $2.00 882 $1 764
    12 annual maint. $200 9 $1 800
    13 repairs $500 1 $500
    14 tires $0 0 $0
    15 operational costs (costs/mile) $4 064($0.14/mile)
    16
    17 total cost $20 264
    18 cost per mile $20 264 30 000 $0.68
    Wilsons' 2001 Echo experience.

    So if one wants to Cherry pick their representation, use operational miles per gallon to show the Echo is an excellent choice. Conversely, take the fixed capital costs per mile to show Echo ownership was an expensive luxury (funny using "luxury" when describing an Echo.) The third choice is to combine the two and get the same metric used by:

    • Department of Energy - hybrid vehicle study
    • CNW Marketing and fantasy numbers - "Dust to Dust" report
    Bob Wilson
     
  7. hampdenwireless

    hampdenwireless Active Member

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    While it is implied that it is YOUR cost of ownership not everyones it is a pointless post. If you had the two cars and drove them similar amounts then it would be useful information. By doing a comparison if a car driven lightly vs a car driven heavily then comparing the COST PER MILE it becomes a pointless exercise. All you are proving is that if you drive a car less, the cost of owning the car is mostly depreciation. This is true with most cars. If the Echo would have been another Prius, a similar but not as exaggerated thing would happen, the less driven car would cost more per mile.
     
  8. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    You failed to notice the cost per miles is different between the two posts and more cost elements are included. This blindness to real world facts and data is something you might want to work on.

    Bob Wilson
     
  9. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    There is no implication, it is explicitly stated that these are our real world costs. You may also have real world costs, post them, share them.

    How have your vehicles worked out for you and yours?

    If you don't want to share, that is perfectly fine with me. I choose to share. Live with it; ignore it; or scream at the moon about it. I don't care (unless you can hold a perfect pitch.)

    Bob Wilson
     
  10. chimo

    chimo Junior Member

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    This link may be of interest for seeing some costing comparisons options. I must say that I have not done a lot of digging into it, so it may just be for fleet vehicles. I do recall seeing a link somewhere to some British Columbia data (municipalities, utilities, etc...).

    YMMV (pun intended) :)
     
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  11. Patrick Wong

    Patrick Wong DIY Enthusiast

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    I agree. It is quite expensive on a $ / mile basis to own a vehicle that is lightly driven. My Mustang serves as another example of that, and my wife loves to point this out at every opportunity.

    Peace, my brother! :rockon:
     
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  12. Midpack

    Midpack Member

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    With all due respect Bob:
    I did "post them, share them," but you seem to have ignored them. Why is that?
     
  13. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    When I scanned the thread this morning, I posted my "thanks." But I've started work on a better table, a better way to represent vehicle costs:

    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6
    0 2003 Honda Element $ value frequency total
    1 Purchase $20 800 1 $20 800
    2 Sale ($6 500) 1 ($6 500)
    3 Insurance / year $_?? 7 $_??
    4 tags and taxes $_?? 7 $_??
    5 fixed costs (costs/mile) $_??($0.??/mile)
    6
    7 miles 96 000
    8 MPG 23
    9 gallons 4 174
    10
    11 fuel cost $2.50 4 174 $10 435
    12 annual maint. $_?? 7 $_??
    13 repairs $_?? ? $_??
    14 tires $_?? ? $_??
    15 operational costs (costs/mile) $_??($0.??/mile)
    16
    17 total cost $_??
    18 cost per mile $_?? 96 000 $0._??
    Midpack's 2003 Honda Element experience.

    One of the best things within a thread is our interaction, feedback, that leads to improved understanding. My initial posting was what we call in engineering, "back of the envelope." This is used to get a rough order of magnitude understanding. I then made a table with more of the costs. This version of the table separates the fixed and variable costs.

    Perhaps you could pickup the table and add the missing elements?

    Thanks,
    Bob Wilson
     
  14. Midpack

    Midpack Member

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    Never mind, IMO (and several others) your methodology is faulty in using cars with substantially different total miles not to mention new vs used. And now to include insurance and tags and taxes among others which should be excluded for a comparison (your title included "vs") on cost of ownership.

    This thread is nothing but an answer in search of a question.

    You're welcome to the last word...
     
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  15. bedrock8x

    bedrock8x Senior Member

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    I agree as I posted my data in earlier post which shows the opposite to the OP.

    Adding insurance is meaningless because if you have teenage drivers in the household, the rate will be sustantially higher, at least double. It is not a fair comparison.


     
  16. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Well let's see what you posted:
    I notice there is no purchase price nor disposition or sale price. This is called a capital or fixed expense. In fact, none of the normal fixed costs or duration of ownership is included in your posting.

    Cost of ownership means all costs, not selected. When I was asked to add the other costs, I did it and put it in a table to make it clear which is which:
    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6
    0 2001 Echo $ value frequency total
    1 Purchase $14 250 1 $14 250
    2 Sale ($3 000) 1 ($3 000)
    3 Insurance / year $450 9 $4 050
    4 tags and taxes $100 9 $900
    5 fixed costs (costs/mile) $16 200($0.54/mile)
    6
    7 miles 30 000
    8 MPG 34
    9 gallons 882
    10
    11 fuel cost $2.00 882 $1 764
    12 annual maint. $200 9 $1 800
    13 repairs $500 1 $500
    14 tires $0 0 $0
    15 operational costs (costs/mile) $4 064($0.14/mile)
    16
    17 total cost $20 264
    18 cost per mile $20 264 30 000 $0.68
    Wilsons' 2001 Echo experience.

    Understand, I don't fault you for omitting these critical pieces of data. After all, the facts and data are often intimidating if someone has an ox to gore. I don't, I'm only curious. Most of all, I enjoy sharing because of the insights it brings.

    Bob Wilson
     
  17. jk450

    jk450 New Member

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    When you first compared Prius to Echo in another thread, you compared fuel costs over 250,000 miles for both cars, omitting both purchase price and sale price, and used those numbers to argue that the Prius was cheaper to run, even after a rebuilt battery had been installed.

    When this error was pointed out, you countered that fuel and battery costs were all that mattered. Since your posts contradict one another, it will be difficult to expect forum readers to determine your position on the matter.

    Yes. Again, this was explained to you in the previous thread.
     
  18. bedrock8x

    bedrock8x Senior Member

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    I am not trying to attack what you have posted or sharing. But the under tone of your post likely make people misunderstand what you are trying to say.

    All you have to say is YMMV at the end of your first post.


     
  19. orange4boy

    orange4boy Member

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    jk450, Yet again your reading comprehension skills are lacking.

    That's not an error, simply an attempt at a rough comparison.

    Roughly calculated, it would be cheaper to run, fuel wise, than an Echo, according to that simple calculation. Perhaps not cheaper to own but Bob never actually claimed that. The Prius and Echo are not similar cars. On top of the hybrid drive train components, it's a better equipped and built car than a comparable Echo. Bob used the Echo to simulate the fuel economy of a car with a similar size engine as the Prius.

    Quote me the actual words where Bob claims those numbers are TCO in the "Visiting a 2001 Prius" thread.

    In the "Visiting a Prius" thread Bob posted some numbers. He was obviously specifically addressing the sceptics assertion that in a hybrid, the costs of battery replacement outweigh the fuel savings. There was nothing mentioned about TCO. Bob addressed this narrow request using his friends actual experience. In this thread he posted his actual costs of ownership. Two different threads two different sets of numbers.

    Because the object was to compare fuel savings to the battery replacement cost only. This is what the "skeptic" guy specifically asked for. If you want another comparison, go fill your boots. As usual, you see an error where I see a specific calculation for a specific purpose.

    Nowhere in the other thread does Bob claim that his numbers represented the total cost of ownership.

    I challenge you to quote me the actual words in which Bob states in the "Visiting" thread that that comparison was TCO.
     
  20. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Perhaps this posting in the "Visiting a 2001 Prius" thread?

    BTW, here is a photo of the traction battery replacement in Daryl's 250,000 mile Prius:
    [​IMG]
    I appreciate another opportunity you've made to show our work.

    In the case of the office skeptic discussing the 250,000 mile Prius, we addressed exactly what the office skeptic asked for in the form the office skeptic had asked. But I believe serveral folks were interested in the question the office skeptic failed to ask, what is the impact of $1,700 traction battery on total cost of ownership.

    So this new thread was started that includes what is know, the cost of ownership of our 2001 Echo and 2003 Prius. Our 2003 Prius only has 75,000 miles, not the 250,000 miles of Daryl's 2001 Prius. So now we have a more inclusive model:
    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6
    0 2001 Echo $ value frequency total
    1 Purchase $14 250 1 $14 250
    2 Sale ($3 000) 1 ($3 000)
    3 Insurance / year $450 9 $4 050
    4 tags and taxes $100 9 $900
    5 fixed costs (costs/mile) $16 200($0.54/mile)
    6
    7 miles 30 000
    8 MPG 34
    9 gallons 882
    10
    11 fuel cost $2.00 882 $1 764
    12 annual maint. $200 9 $1 800
    13 repairs $500 1 $500
    14 tires $0 0 $0
    15 operational costs (costs/mile) $4 064($0.14/mile)
    16
    17 total cost $20 264
    18 cost per mile $20 264 30 000 $0.68
    Wilsons' 2001 Echo experience.

    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6
    0 2003 Prius $ value frequency total
    1 Purchase $17 300 1 $17 300
    2 Sale $0 1 $0
    3 Insurance / year $450 5 $2 250
    4 tags and taxes $100 5 $500
    5 fixed costs (costs/mile) $20 050($0.26/mile)
    6
    7 miles 75 000
    8 MPG 52
    9 gallons 1442
    10
    11 fuel cost $2.50 882 $2 205
    12 annual maint. $200 5 $1 000
    13 repairs $500 1 $500
    14 tires $225 2 $450
    15 operational costs (costs/mile) $4 155($0.06/mile)
    16
    17 total cost $24 205
    18 cost per mile $24 205 75 000 $0.32
    Wilsons' Prius experience. Thanks to your posting it got me to reformat the 2003 Prius table.

    Obviously, I can't include Daryl's traction battery replacement in either of my tables. We've not had to replace the traction battery. Is there some additional information you think needs to be in either of these tables?

    Bob Wilson