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ABG: How much will the EPA's new fuel economy standards cost each automaker?

Discussion in 'Other Cars' started by cwerdna, Mar 16, 2011.

  1. cwerdna

    cwerdna Senior Member

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    How much will the EPA's new fuel economy standards cost each automaker? — Autoblog Green
    Remember, this "34.1 mpg" is for CAFE purposes and is MUCH higher than what's on the Monroney sticker and what you see at Side-by-Side Comparison.

    The 2011 Prius already gets "70.7791 mpg" for CAFE purposes.

    The NY Times article that ABG links to has a nice table by automaker.
     
  2. mainerinexile

    mainerinexile No longer in exile!

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    Don't worry about it. The Republicans have already promised to repeal better fuel economy standards. It is bad for the profits of Big Oil companies. If profits go down, the Big Tax Breaks given by the GOP will be less effective at increasing the national debt.
     
  3. SageBrush

    SageBrush Senior Member

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    The price increase per car that the EPA estimates is to improve mpg in the gas guzzlers a little. The calculation only holds if the fleet mix stays the same.
     
  4. TonyPSchaefer

    TonyPSchaefer Your Friendly Moderator
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    You've got it all wrong: it's bad for the under-employed workers who rely on their cars to get to and from work. You know, the same people who have to work three jobs to get by and don't have health insurance. They care about those people.
     
  5. Flaninacupboard

    Flaninacupboard Senior Member

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    How does this "cost" automakers anything? they will just pass any additional cost to the customer, who is the one who will benefit from reduced fuel costs. this seems like a non-story...
     
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  6. cwerdna

    cwerdna Senior Member

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    The press has been pointing out this "cost" for ages, ever since there was legislation to attempt to increase CAFE mileage standards.

    It riles up folks like people like these: those who couldn't care less fuel economy, those who feel we live in a nanny state and that the government shouldn't dictate fuel economy standards (we tried that before -> bad results), people who think the US has plentiful oil reserves, etc.

    It does matter a bit because those automakers who have to "spend" more and pass along more to their consumers in theory have a less competitive car via higher price tag or de-contenting to keep the price down.
     
  7. Flaninacupboard

    Flaninacupboard Senior Member

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    But if the rule applies to everyone then it's a level playing field. If it "costs" GM twice as much to meet the standard as toyota (and therefore gm's price goes up, and makes their car less competitive) GM only have themself to blame for their shitty old technology.

    If people accept that the state must ban substances which are (for instance) carcinogenic, because companies won't stop using them out of the goodness of their hearts, why have a problem with this? GM won't start producing economical vehicles for fun, they WILL only do it if legislation requires it.
     
  8. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Although as a group the auto companies will pass along costs, there will be winners and losers. Higher prices will also shrink the volume of cars. Given enough time, and this law allowed more than one generation of design, each auto maker should be able to meet cafe if they try.

    Hyundai should be the big winner as they do not build guzzlers and were improving fuel economy anyway. GM is a big loser, since it takes most of its profit from trucks and SUVs. GM unlike hyundai and toyota has never made a profitable small car. If they can't sell small cars then they will have large fines for their other vehicles. The cruze may be the first. Toyota has low costs to meet regulations, but I doubt the new regs help or hurt them.
     
  9. Flaninacupboard

    Flaninacupboard Senior Member

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    So GM can chose to continue selling big stupid trucks, and they will cost more and more to buy (since emissions regulations, and fines for not meeting CAFE will make them more expensive to produce) and operate (petrol is not getting cheaper) meaning people buy less of them, so they get more expensive, until finally GM dies the pointless death it deserves.

    At this point hyundai, toyota and ford will be left competing with each other over small, cheap hybrids. sounds like EPA are onto a winner.
     
  10. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Well, the inability to meet cafe standards are one reason it should not have been bailed out. I hope that the volt and cruze will sell so that it does not go bankrupt again. The biggest problem with the cafe standards is they did not rise in the 90s and set up a system where SUVs and large trucks were favored because of lighter standards. Forbes had an excellent editorial saying that federal gas taxes should be raised instead of cafe standards. One problem with the standards is it may make the companies make efficient cars no one wants to buy. The demand side also needs to be taken care of.

    I support these cafe standards. I don't like the crazy numbers that have been thrown out for 2025.
     
  11. Flaninacupboard

    Flaninacupboard Senior Member

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    Crazy numbers of 40MPG?
     
  12. krelborne

    krelborne New Member

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  13. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    When we are talking about fleet it is crazy. They are talking about 43mpg epa combined. that would mean any sports car, suv, truck would have a huge penalty. Killing classes of vehicles is not really the mandate of nhtsa or epa. It is of carb, but people do need trucks to work. There is already a backlash against these mandates to kill classes of cars. Remember killing them will not make the fleet more economical, it will just keep older more polluting vehicles on the road. A raising of gas taxes to shift those that do not need these vehicle so more efficient ones is much more likely to make the fleet more efficient then crazy cafe standards.
     
  14. spwolf

    spwolf Senior Member

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    well if Toyota keeps their cars same price, and GM has to up the price, then GM will lose sales to Toyota... so GM will absorb these costs and not be able to pass the costs to customers.
     
  15. Flaninacupboard

    Flaninacupboard Senior Member

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    In the UK cars/truck prices are set this way already. The V8 land cruiser starts at $96,119. They don't sell many, Toyota can't sell many. it works fine.
     
  16. cwerdna

    cwerdna Senior Member

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    Side note: We have a "gas guzzler tax" (Frequently Asked Questions). Unfortunately, the mileage needed to so that the buyer has to pay the (not very high) tax is poorly set and ALL light trucks (SUVs, pickups, vans, minivans, etc.) are exempt! :rolleyes: Good going! The class of vehicles that consumes the most and makes up 40 to ~50% of vehicle sales in the US is exempt.

    To top it off, vehicles that had GVWRs of >8500 lbs. were exempt from fuel economy testing (so there was no rating at all). That included were vehicles like the Ford Excursion, Hummer H1 and H2 (more listed at Which Vehicles Are Tested). At one point, it seemed like some trims of Lincoln Navigators (like 4WD models) were over that GVWR and thus exempt too.

    Oh yeah, we used to have this insanity: It's not just a Hummer, it's a tax break. Curb weight typically on an H2 was >6400 lbs. and because of its weight carrying capacity, GVWR was >8500 lbs., in order to make it fuel economy testing exempt.