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ice cores and the temperture record

Discussion in 'Environmental Discussion' started by austingreen, Jun 18, 2011.

  1. mojo

    mojo Senior Member

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    "(This is GISP2 in green, NGRIP, another Greenland core, in cyan, and the Vostok Antarctic core in blue. The Vostok has been scaled and shifted for a best match with the others; the temperature in Antarctica is colder, with smaller variations, than in Greenland. Furthermore, there are some time-scaling issues — note the temporal divergence of the two Greenland records before about 40 kya. It’s possible that NH/SH actually match better than this plot indicates. Look here for data.) Nowhere near a perfect match, but it’s pretty clear that these are all from the same planet. Even Vostok shows the Younger Dryas, which is generally believed to be a mostly northern-hemisphere event. The NH has more variability in ice ages, notably the Dansgaard-Oeschger events, but the SH more, on a relative scale, in the Holocene.
    The GISP2 people also compared their core’s record with Antarctic ones; on this page they say that it “shows close correlation between GISP2 and Vostok in the delta 18O of air in these ice cores.†"
    Rebuttal to the Skeptical Science “Crux of a Core” | Watts Up With That?

     

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  2. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    It seems like the watts up author like chogan2 has put up a hard to read plot that really doesn't say anything because of the scaleing. Then he has used some distortions that he seems to imply is ok 'cause gore did it.

    Look at the page I refereed you to, and you can clearly see the cores from antartica show it was colder while Greenland was warmer

    Ice Cores
    Its in figure 7. Figure 4 shows a more high resolution of Antarctica. I put my comment only to clarify, but that watts up piece seemed to be there mainly to distort.


    Steffensen does talk about a very quick warming period that may have warmed faster than today that is consistent with the antarctic cores. He appears to be a skeptic to man being a main driver behind climate change, but he does not seem to fall into the distorted charts, only a longer term perspective. He also disagrees with the hypothesis that ghg warming is the only thing that is going on.

    Which gets back to the question, how good are the proxies, and how good are the models that use them. If the ice cores are extremely accurate for a 50 year period within the last 15,000 years, we do need to reject the hypothesis that the earth has never warmed this fast before. We also need to understand that this is comfirmatory evidence that there are tipping points, and there is the possibility that Anthropologic contributions may be pushing the world towards one. But I would rather stick to the science instead of the politics behind that last statement.
     
  3. mojo

    mojo Senior Member

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    Im more interested that the variations generally do coincide.Ice age is concurrent in both.In both, the interglacial begins and is warmer in the past 10,000 years than today.
    Heres another which I posted before.
     

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  4. mojo

    mojo Senior Member

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  5. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    You seem to not like the graph I presented, but... these graphs show more raw proxie data. If you have a better model for both local and global temperatures great. But otherwise why not use a mathematical model that uses both hydrogen and oxygen isotopes which should be more accurate, as the section I quoted suggested. The reconstruction I posted is consistant with these proxy graphs.

    Now onto your point.... The ice age ended 9703 BCE, according to greenland records, from previous post. It all depends on where and how you define it. Interglacial starts then. It was warmer in greenland most of the time in the interglacial. In antartica is was colder most of the time. On other places on earth, I simply do not know. I also am skeptical about the errors reported in proxies as we seem to continuously find new data and models moves things beyond the error bars.