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Edmunds Smackdown #2 and #4

Discussion in 'Gen 3 Prius Main Forum' started by bwilson4web, Jun 15, 2012.

  1. cwerdna

    cwerdna Senior Member

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    Sigh... "40 mpg" is based upon EPA highway estimates. Not everyone lives and works on a highway and drives their entire commute at highway speeds. Plenty of people are stuck in stop and go traffic and doing a lot of idling.

    Per Compare Side-by-Side, the Elantra is EPA rated at 33 mpg COMBINED AND 29 city. Prius is rated at 50 mpg combined. $12K? Per Hyundai Elantra 2013 | Review Specs Features & Prices | Hyundai , starting MSRP is $16,695. Elantra didn't even make it at The most fuel-efficient cars. It got 29 mpg overall at Best & worst fuel economy vs. the 44 for the Prius liftback and 43 for the c.

    Maybe a better case would be 2012 Nissan Versa - Models, Pricing & Information | Nissan USA at $10,990 starting price .

    BTW, Prius was named at Consumer Reports names best new-car values as a best value. At Best values (you'll need a subscription to see it), Prius was #3 out of 25 for small hatchbacks, only behind Honda Fits. It got a "value score" of 2.21. The Elantra was #5 out of 13 for small sedans w/a value score of 1.64.
     
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  2. GCPExit12

    GCPExit12 Member

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    I stand corrected, let's all pack up and move on over to VersaChat!
     
  3. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    This underscores how Consumer Reports promotes 'value':
    The Consumer Reports buyer guides and news stand issues give a lot of print-space to their performance based "score" but value has to be sought out. It does not have nearly the emphasis as the "score." From what little we know, MPG has no significant impact on "score" compared to:
    • 11.0-11.2 second maximum allowed acceleration
    • noise
    • driver position
    • emergency handling
    • stopping
    Bob Wilson
     
  4. cwerdna

    cwerdna Senior Member

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    ^^^
    I haven't read some of your other CR analyses in detail, but I'm sure (off the top of my head) ride quality, interior quality, fit and finish and seat comfort (beyond just the driver) also count.
     
  5. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Ever since the "CNW Marketing" report of 2006, I knew one of his false claims was that hybrids would have lower, lifetime mileage than their gas equivalent. Add to that, the Volt advocates seem intent on cannibalizing Prius owners rather than focusing on vehicles whose driving profile suggests they are better candidates than the Prius. Fortunately, we have empirical data to address both, Ebay used car offerings with the model year and mileage.

    Here are the Prius offerings:
    [​IMG]
    The slope shows the miles per year for this sample. This ranges from:
    • 9,598 miles/yr - infrequently driven Prius, 30.8 mi/day, 6 day week.
    • 14,796 miles/yr - average Prius owners, 47.4 mi/day, 6 day week.
    • 20,395 miles/yr - high mileage Prius owners, like me, 65.4 mi/day, 6 day week
    The problem for Volt advocates is the average and high mileage Prius owners are easily exceeding the daily range of the Volt EV. Once the Volt EV range is exceeded, it becomes an ordinary car with reported ~36 MPG versus the Prius ~50 MPG. However, the infrequently driven Prius would be good candidates. But better case for Volt substitution can made by finding less frequently driven cars, the ideal Volt candidates.

    The most popular sedan in the USA has been the Toyota Camry which like the Prius is a 5-seat, full size vehicle:
    [​IMG]
    So here we find:
    1. 2,735 miles/year - infrequently driven, 8.8 mi/day, 6 day week.
    2. 9,004 miles/year - average Camry miles per year, 28.9 mi/day, 6 day week
    3. 10,548 miles/year - heavily driven Camrys, 33.8 mi/day, 6 day week.
    Every one of these Camrys are ideal candidates for Volt advocates because the Camry daily miles are going to be much closer to the Volt's EV range.

    Selling a Volt to the average and higher mileage Prius owners is a waste of time because of the much lower Volt, gas mileage and use of expensive, premium fuel. Finding the smaller number of low mileage Prius owners is more productive although giving up the 5th seat might be an issue. But the best place for Volt advocates . . . especially the reformed Prius type . . . would be with Camry owners. Near as we can tell, Camry owners could substantially reduce their cost-per-mile by going with a Volt. This situation is different for Plug-In Prius.

    The Plug-In Prius has Prius mileage after the EV mode is exhausted. This doesn't mean the EV miles are 'free' but they offer some discount and if the ICE warm-up can happen in this interval, significantly reduce the cold-start mileage hit. But how does this relate to the Edmunds "smackdown" results?

    The long distance, Edmunds test is representative of what we find in North Alabama. We have large numbers of employees who commute significant distances, easily more than twice the Volt EV range. These folks are not going to be happy with a Volt because they will spend a substantial part of their commute in Volt gas-mode. They would be a little happier with a Plug-In Prius since the gas-mode has substantially better values than the Volt. But their long commutes also mean the warm-up cost is a fraction of their commuting and an ordinary Prius would easily reduce their cost.

    Bob Wilson
     
  6. ItsNotAboutTheMoney

    ItsNotAboutTheMoney EditProfOptInfoCustomUser Title

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    A daily average doesn't tell you the CD:CS ratio. You need a better breakdown.
     
  7. Rebound

    Rebound Senior Member

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    You probably missed my earlier reply. By the way, I believe you are intelligent and reasonable, and this discussion between us will likely end with understanding and agreement.

    I agree with what you state re: daily mileage (although the 180 mile test was much higher than what people drive in a day).

    If you look at the daily miles driven by your colleagues at Marshall Space Center, you will find that IF Marshall provides vehicle charging, the Volt will provide the best fuel economy and total fuel costs. If you drive 80 miles r/t but you recharge at work, then you drive two 40 mile trips. Your gasoline consumption will be very low, perhaps ten miles total will be gas-powered, which works out to about 300 MPG if my math is right.
     
  8. Insight-I Owner

    Insight-I Owner 2006 Insight-I MT + 2011 Prius

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    Recharge takes about 10 hours on 120V. It takes 4 hours at 240V, but that requires a $500 charging station that somebody would have to pay for:

    SPX Volt - Recommended Charging Products

    One station could handle two Volts in a workday, but somebody would have to trot out to the cars and swap the plugs at midday.
     
  9. KeinoDoggy

    KeinoDoggy Member

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  10. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    Greenwashing stuff like that continues, despite years of their attempts and our efforts to point out things like generalizations and cherry-picking.

    Lots of real-world data is the only meaningful reponse. Of course, even then they attempt to dismiss. Here's mine so far... which makes it quite clear that daily distance varies dramatically:

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
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  11. JimN

    JimN Let the games begin!

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    If the MSFC employees bought Leafs & Teslas they would enjoy infinity MPG. The plug-in owners forget that electricity is not free. Operating cost per mile should be the benchmark. Using Tesla's calculator & 12c per kwh the Model S costs 3.4c per mile. Using my lifetime average & the $3.249/gallon I paid for the current tank the Prius costs 6c per mile. This gives the Model S a 95.6 mpg equivalent.

    I am sure some Volt owners can get away with using 87 octane without taking a performance hit.

    Volt & PiP owners, what do you end up paying per mile to run your cars?
     
  12. Rebound

    Rebound Senior Member

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    Let's talk about how expensive underground fuel storage tanks and gas pumps cost.

    Today, electric vehicle chargers are insanely expensive, but that's only because volume is ridiculously low. Virtually every building in America already has 240V electric service. The expensive part is done. True, is costs money to run conduit to a parking lot, but if this is done with new construction and renovation, the cost is fairly low. I ran a new circuit/outlet myself, and the building permit cost more than the materials.

    We don't argue with the notion of building parking lots nor with running electrical power to the street lamps which illuminate them at night, so yes, we have an electric infrastructure already and we can make public charging a reality. What's more, if battery technology continues to improve, maybe public charging will only be necessary for long distance travel on freeways.
     
  13. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    I love this:
    Like my long-distance, commuting co-workers, they have to get to and from work and a 'wish' for a non-existent, electric charging infrastructure is just that 'a wish' and not reality.

    For fun today, I surveyed the Ebay, used Hummer market:
    [​IMG]
    Now here is an excellent target for Volt advocates. In contrast, the Prius community is not such a good match:
    [​IMG]

    As John1701a points out:
    Yet I remain amazed at the hubris of hybrid skeptics who now appear to be joined by Volt advocates. They seem to think a 'declaration' is all it takes and we will ignore the 'facts and data' . . . like CNW Marketing and their nonsense "Dust-to-Dust" report.

    The old "Dust-to-Dust" report claims a Hummer has a 300,000 mile, life. Certainly a few of the heaviest used Hummers are about half-way there. But when they arrive, there will be a few 600,000 mile Prius and a whole bunch of average, 450,000 mile Prius. <GRINS>

    I wish the Volt well and the VW diesels too. Just I wish they would get a clue and 'convert the heathen,' missionary to the gas-only communities. Coming to the Prius community, well we've had to deal with hybrid skeptics long enough that we see through their claims pretty quickly . . . and answer with hard data . . . reality.

    Bob Wilson
     
  14. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    well. i pay .16/kwh and travel about 5.5 miles on it so that is... 3 cents per mile?
     
  15. Rebound

    Rebound Senior Member

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    By your logic, you shouldn't have bought a Prius, because a 46% reduction in fuel cost is meaningless.

    Electric vehicles are primarily charged at home, off-peak. Utility companies are gradually rolling out time-of-use rates which reduces the cost to charge EV's dramatically.

    For my PiP, a once daily charge costs about $13/month. My utility offers a $15/month rebate to EV owners who charge off-peak (honor system). So my electric cost is about negative $2.00/month, but that's really because PiP has a ridiculously small battery for a plug-in.

    I know Volt gets derided here a lot, and I think it's unjustified. Volt has twice the battery capacity of PiP. I really wish PiP had that larger battery. Jay Leno drove his Volt over 11,000 miles on one tank of gas. That would be extremely difficult for a PiP owner to do.
     
  16. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    And we have a winner:
    Funny you should mention this. Several years ago when the Jetta folks were pestering Prius people, I wanted some MPG vs mph data about the Jetta TDI. I joined a Jetta forum and found someone who had measured Jetta MPG vs mph. It was very helpful and I thanked him for sharing.

    Now if our Volt advocates would go back to their Volt forums and bring back:
    • kwHr vs mph
    • MPG vs mph
    We would then have a reasonable set of data to evaluate the Volt for our driving. But near as I can tell, our Volt advocates have never volunteered even this:
    Cost per Mile Comparison: 2012 Volt vs. 2013 Prius Plug-in

    I had found it when another Volt advocated decided they had 'found religion' and had to convert all of their former Prius companions. But along the way, he too forgot that 'facts and data' are respected and omissions or tall tales don't get any respect.

    In this thread, the Volt advocates seem to ignore the Edmunds benchmark by dismissing it with "most people" and 'pie in the sky' claims about non-existent charging stations for real co-workers who meet the Edmunds commuting criteria. One can only wonder how they deal with this recent posting in the Prius c forum:
    Turn over a new leaf and bring facts and data, some useful engineering data, and not warmed over advertising propaganda or a chauvinistic "most people." Cite credible sources or original metrics so your postings will be a delight to read and not something that suggests little more than advertising copy.

    Bob Wilson
     
  17. Insight-I Owner

    Insight-I Owner 2006 Insight-I MT + 2011 Prius

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    I'm for EV's and plug-ins, just injecting a modicum of practicality into the discussion. Several things about the present gas station setup:
    (1) it exists - pumps and underground storage already there, no need for additional investment - sure we have the basic electrical network, but the final step is missing - sort of like having a nice bridge but the offramp hasn't been built yet
    (2) the gas station network was built up over roughly 100 years with earnings from sales - either the vehicle charging network will build slowly or cash will have to be infused
    (3) government (and business) budgets are tight these days due to the economy
    (4) even with 500V chargers, the model will be quite different from the quick-in, quick-out gas station paradigm - the Leaf takes 15 minutes to charge on a 500V DC charger, and we can expect that longer range EV's will take longer

    A few other considerations:
    - we don't yet know what EV/plugin battery life will be, given the more intense battery usage than in hybrids to date
    - how will quick charging will affect battery life?
    - how much will recharging cost increase if it becomes a business and the retailer marks up the kwh to cover rent, chargers, and PROFIT?
    - fully 50% of US households don't have a place (garage) they could use for recharging a vehicle, so that will have to be dealt with somehow
    - if there are public stations, how will I know one will be available so I can charge my car to get to work tomorrow? how far will I have to walk to it if I have to leave the car there? - all solvable, but solutions will have to be figured out
    - is street lamp circuitry capable of carrying the power needed for EV charging? with sodium vapor lamps in use these days, I suspect not

    Here's a case study: Before I retired, I commuted 34 miles each way. If I were still working, I would probably want a Leaf or perhaps a PIP. The problem is that I own a condo and our carports have only 110v lighting circuits. Getting 240v to them would involve trenching across the roadway. The carports and roadway are being redone this year, and convincing the condo board to run power for car recharging to at least SOME of the carports has been a battle. At work, parking was extremely tight and I was lucky to get parking in a municipal parking structure. But it was built (poorly) in the '60's. An extensive repair program was under way (chunks of concrete from the ceilings were falling on cars) costing so much that persuading them to add EV chargers would have been an uphill battle. Yes there was power in the garage, but only enough for the fluorescent and sodium vapor lighting systems.

    Another: My GF lives in Medford, MA. She too owns a condo, one of two units converted from a house. Yes the house has a garage but it belongs to the other unit. So in effect no garage. And many of the other houses in the area lack a garage. It doesn't matter too much because we get around by bicycle, or could use buses/subway. But an EV or a plug-in wouldn't work for her, at present at least.
     
  18. yeldogt

    yeldogt Active Member

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    Can someone tell me the point of this discussion? I have two advanced degrees and I can't follow o_O . The three cars are grouped together as being comparable - but actually the high points of each are very different and unless you are going to hit the respective sweat spots ....... so to speak ... something else wins out. This is also not factoring in the higher initial costs of each vs another choice. Another major buying point is if this is a primary or a secondary car. I'm seeing an amazing number of hybrid cars in my neighborhood ... not as primary cars.
     
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  19. Rebound

    Rebound Senior Member

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    I think I'm the "Volt advocates" in this thread.

    I agree that plug-in vehicles are new, and they aren't for everyone. My commute is 80+ miles per day, which made a Nissan Leaf impractical. What conclusions can be drawn from that? That Leaf isn't for everyone.

    Now let's take the Volt. For 64 miles, it it more fuel efficient than any car on the road, including Plug-in Prius. That itself is an impressive statistic. And the car doesn't have the range limitations of a Leaf. Now, I chose not to buy one, although I could have.

    But here's the thing: Jay Leno drove over 11,000 miles on the car's original tank of gas. This amazes me. And I looked at other Volt stats, and see that many Volt owners are driving thousands of miles and using virtually no gas at all, getting 100's of MPG's.

    Those are facts. You can't bury them with statistics. Yes, GM's quality reputation is a problem, the car only seats four, it's expensive, some people drive farther, not everyone can recharge. I agree with all that. But if you can charge the thing at home and your average daily driving is 40 miles, you will get hundreds of MPG's.

    Edmunds' 180 mile drive in a city is indicative of the habits of a UPS driver, not an ordinary person.
     
  20. ItsNotAboutTheMoney

    ItsNotAboutTheMoney EditProfOptInfoCustomUser Title

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    Prius owners like and trust EV technology and many of them will pay a premium to reduce gasoline use or get an EV experience. Most Volt owners are former Prius owners and there are a lot of Prius owners.

    However, I've plenty of posts by Volt enthusiasts disappointed that GM doesn't advertise the performance of the Volt in order to attract a different kind of buyer.

    If you see Volt owner activity here I think it's a combination of having a current or former interest in the Prius and reality. It's normal for "outsiders" to discuss something in terms of averages, and with PEVs depending so much on individual location and usage patterns, averages are a terribly uninformative way to discuss them. Combine this with ideological clashes of energy efficiency v pollution v gasoline consumption and we end up with:

    [​IMG]
     
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