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Toyota considering battery production in Europe

Discussion in 'Prius, Hybrid, EV and Alt-Fuel News' started by spwolf, Oct 9, 2012.

  1. spwolf

    spwolf Senior Member

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    Toyota overweegt accuproductie in Europa - Autovisie | Het laatste nieuws over auto's op Autovisie.nl van De Telegraaf [Toyota]

    What about USA? :)
     
  2. John H

    John H Senior Member

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    Do you think Toyota will build batteries in the USA as well?

    I think people are increasingly seeking labor content from their own markets.
     
  3. spwolf

    spwolf Senior Member

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    i think big difference is that in Europe, popular hybrids are Auris (Corolla) and Yaris, which are produced in Europe. Future Avensis and Verso will probably have hybrid versions as well, all produced in Europe, so they could easily use 100k/year factory for batteries for their Euro produced vehicles.

    While in US, it is different, with Prius having hybrid crown and being produced in Japan.
     
  4. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Europe has tarrif's that may make this battery factory happen.

    Previous stories about toyota potentially building the gen IV prius in North America said that toyuota would not build Nimh capacity in North America because it would be a poor investment. They did state that they were looking at lithium production. Note in 5 years does anyone expect that toyota will need the nimh they have now? Without a tarrif there is no reason to build temporary factories here. Lithium and gen IV prius would be lower cost than building in Japan, but that must be balanced by toyota corporate with japanese jobs.

    The american produced camry hybrid has sold 34k ytd. I wonder what European produced hybrids have been so far this year. I have not seen a break out.
     
  5. GrumpyCabbie

    GrumpyCabbie Senior Member

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    After all the recall and unintended acceleration bad press in 2010? Unlikely.
     
  6. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Toyota is losing money by making cars for America in Japan. They talk about it in every quarterly statement, about how costs are higher in japan. They also have been recently hit with a major reduction in sales in China.

    Toyota hopes to make more money on financial services in Europe this year than they lose on car manufacturing and sales. In other words they are treading water, which is better opel, peugot, or fiat which are bleeding heavily. Yaris hybrid sales increase comes with a decrease in higher ASP prii.

    In NA toyota is making huge profits. Investments in NA seem to have much lower risks than investments in Europe or Asia for the automaker. The only money losing move they made in NA manufacturing is the San Antonio truck plant, but now that they moved Tacoma from NUMMI it can make money, but they did need to close NUMMI.
     
  7. spwolf

    spwolf Senior Member

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    actually Toyota hopes to make money from car manufacturing in Europe as well, last year they had profit overall, this year it should be more.

    What they are showing here is the growth in last 3 months, which nobody else has (except for Koreans), even germans are now selling less cars as Germany is down as well.

    Yaris and Prius sales in Europe dont touch at all... very big difference in pricing, nobody would cross shop the two. Prius sales are more influenced by Auris Hybrid sales, and Toyota sells more Auris than Prius overall. Heck last year they sold similar numbers of CT200h and Prius in Europe.

    So in Europe, people preffer conventional cars with hybrid engine option, opposite of USA.
     
  8. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    There financial reports showed that they lost money in cars last year, and forward looking statements say they hope to lose less this year, not make a profit on the segment. In the fiscal year ending March 2012, they made more on financial services than they lost on cars. That is what they expect this year.

    Yep Europe looks like a very bad market right now. The german's are the only ones doing it profitably.

    The news item in august said auris and yaris hybrids sales were up, and prii down. They do touch, they are toyota hybrids.

    In Europe people prefer diesels. They also prefer cars manufactured in Europe, especially if they don't come with a tarrif. It would be expensive to try to make the aqua or prius in europe, so the auris and yaris seem like a good strategy. Camry hybrid in america sells more than auris hybrid in europe, it just is the prius liftback sells much better than the camry hybrid. The american hybrid market is much more mature.
     
  9. spwolf

    spwolf Senior Member

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    Toyota as a company made profit in Europe last year.
    Toyota as a company will make bigger profit in Europe this year.

    GM and Ford both have financial operations in Europe and they lose money still... I dont understand why are you focusing on financial services as trying to prove something, they all make most money on their financial services.

    And as I said before, Europeans prefer conventional cars with hybrid powertrain to unique cars like Prius.

    You can see by hybrid purchase ration in Auris vs Camry hybrid.
    Camry has around 15% while Auris has around 30% and Yaris will have more than 30% (40%-50%).

    I dont see what does the rise of Yaris and slight decline of Prius have to do with one another. It doesnt. Europe has prefference for conventional cars and with more and more hybrids in Toyota stable, Prius sales will drop more and more. Toyota would never even consider bringing Aqua to Europe, because Europeans preffer Yaris. It wouldnt make any sense.
     
  10. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Well because it's how you read financial statements. You said toyota was going to make money on cars. They said they hope to lose less money on cars. They are trying to turn around their car business in europe. They do make money on banking in Europe. They make more money in banking than they lose on cars. Opel has lost money on cars for 14 years, and its very questionable whether it should stay in business. Toyota could easily lose much more money on cars in europe in 2013, which means investments are risky. Banking isn't the car business. THe gm banking arm when bankrupt in the US and needed to be bailed out. Banking in Europe is not a business that I would project would continue to have long term profitability without government help, and most of the banks have been getting heaps of it.


    How many cars in the 2012 fiscal year? In 2011 they sold about 59K toyota nameplate hybrids in europe and 26K lexus hybrids. Are european hybrids doubling this year? They sell a lot more camry than auris, which is why they can sell more camry hybrids at a lower percentage of sales. Toyota projected 835K cars this fiscal year up a little less than 2% from last year. Have yaris sales increased enough for them to up this estimate? I really don't know, but there isn't anything about a revision in the business news, only news about the recalls.


    In marketing we call it cannibalization. The analysts would not expect for prius sales to fall without the lower cost hybrid in europe.

    THe yaris and aqua are very similar cars. We all know the yaris hybrid was created so that it could be manufactured in europe and avoid the tarrif. Its all about prices and taxes. They could have just labled the aqua a yaris hybrid there, as they labled it a prius in america.
     
  11. usbseawolf2000

    usbseawolf2000 HSD PhD

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    Good, that's shut up Jeremy Clarkson from Top Gear.
     
  12. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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  13. spwolf

    spwolf Senior Member

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    What in the world are you talking about?
    1. Toyota Finance Arm is part of Toyota Motor Marketing Europe - TMME. Its results are included combined together in Toyota in Europe report. Just like with any other manufacturer. They all make massive profits with their financing arms.
    2. TMME President has stated several times this year that they will make money on vehicle manufacturing this year in Europe, without "help" of Finance arm.
    3. Why would Toyota Finance arm need government help in Europe and why would Toyota easily lose money in Europe in 2013, when their sales are rising right now when everyone is dropping? What are you talking about?


    I dont understand what are you talking about. Auris Hybrid sells better than Prius in Europe, Yaris Hybrid sells better than Prius in Europe. Camry hybrid sells less than Prius in the USA.

    Camry Hybrid is 15% of sales of Camry in USA. Yaris and Auris Hybrids are >30% of Yaris and Auris Hybrid sales.

    What in the world do the overall sales of Camry hybrid have to do with anything? We were discussing Prius in Europe - As I said, European customers preffer conventional cars with hybrid powertrain. They dont preffer prius. It isnt hard to understand if you look at data above.

    Toyota will likely sell 30%-50% more hybrids in Europe this year compared to last... If thats cannibalization......

    Yaris Hybrid was created because people preffer Yaris in Europe. Just like they have 3 other engines in Europe, they now have Yaris Hybrid.
    I dont know why is that so hard to explain.

    Prius c was created so they can sell Prius brand name in markets where it is liked better.

    How could they labeled Prius Aqua Yaris Hybrid in Europe? Wth? It doesnt look like Yaris, inside or out...
     
  14. spwolf

    spwolf Senior Member

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    Here so we are clear on this... Toyota will grow marketshare by 10% this year, despite having very old models in Europe (where it matters a lot)... New Auris and Rav4 are coming next year and thats what they are counting to significantly up the sales.

    But those sales will, at best, be half of US sales no matter what, as Toyota has low marketshare in Europe.

    As to the profitablity, profitable for last 2 years overall, and this year in manufacturing side... keep in mind that Toyota manufacturing in Japan is not profitable for them either. However you can not look at it the separatly, it is all part of the same company.
     
  15. JamesBurke

    JamesBurke Senior Member

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    It costs $2000 to $4000 to ship vehicles from Japan to Europe depending on their size. It also takes up to 8 weeks. Those components that need to be imported to the factory can be packaged and container shipped more efficiently than an assembled vehicle.
     
  16. John H

    John H Senior Member

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    Ouch! I thought it was more like $200-$400. Has the trade imbalance between Europe and Japan shifted so much that the ships are empty for the return trip to Japan?
     
  17. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Interesting:
    I remember one criticism was that Toyota makes no profits on the Prius. The claim by a couple of Europeans was the Prius is just a big 'Green' marketing ploy by Toyota to fool the gullible Americans.

    Bob Wilson
     
  18. usbseawolf2000

    usbseawolf2000 HSD PhD

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    Go back about 10 years and see what he said about Prius battery pack.
     
  19. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    The official numbers, and I'm guessing the ones in that link are toyota europe projects going from 822K to 835K, but also expects the market to contract increasing its market share. They stated this as recently as September, along with the explanation that part of this was recovery from the tsunami.

    Yes, europe is a sick market, and toyota has lost a great deal of market share since it sold 1.3M cars in 2007. This year they may regain a little. Toyota europe covers more than just europe so these numbers that endat continental borders look a little different. and here is the geographic breakdown from yesterday.


    You'll notice over the time period 2009-2012 toyota has grown sales everywhere but europe where sales have gone from 909,544 in 2009 to a projected 783,840 this year. That is a drop of 14% in europe while growing 23% world wide.



    Just to note your quote said exactly what I said it was profitable last year because of financial services,. Note toyota calls this out, and it is important disclosure to shareholders and other stakeholders. Greatly expanding manufacturing is not going to change your banking business. So if you are going to analyse investment in manufacturing you should look at the automotive unit and not banking. Your quote says they hope to make european car manufacturing profitable this year, but that is only a hope, and they have been clear that automotive europe as a whole that includes imported cars will not be profitable this year.

    Its important to note the overcapacity and weak european market when we look at risks to expansion to manufacturing. That was my point, and its true for all those manufacturers. Building a nimh battery plant in europe doesn't look like a great investment to me. Building prius production in profitable north america looks to be a much better investment. Companies often make bad decissions based on politics and not practicality.
     
  20. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Clarkson is entertainment. He definitely is not positive about the yaris hybrid, he seems to dislike the car. I don't think his opinion matters much.