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VW says, fuel cells stupid for the next decade.

Discussion in 'Prius, Hybrid, EV and Alt-Fuel News' started by austingreen, Mar 16, 2013.

  1. Sergiospl

    Sergiospl Senior Member

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    Seems that it may work for them in Japan.
     
  2. hill

    hill High Fiber Member

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    really? under which scenario ... Is this where Japan imports lots of natural gas to make hydrogen ? ... or do you imaginine this happening when Japan builds more nuke reactors to distill hydrogen via electricity.
     
  3. Sergiospl

    Sergiospl Senior Member

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    I think carmakers just want to lease a few hundreds in California just like the Honda Clarity.
     
  4. Zythryn

    Zythryn Senior Member

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    I won't put up with the inconvenience of having to refuel during the day while I have places to go.
     
  5. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    I think its time for toyota to put up or shut up on that chart. Right now the EPA scores the best phev at about the same as the best fuel cell vehicles. The difference? The fuel for phevs is much cheaper today than hydrogen, and will be according to the DOE until at least 5 million hydrogen cars are on the roads. What are there 200 now? Toyota promised cars by 2012. Now its 2015? Do they think they will sell 5 million cars? of course not. Will their cars meet the chart. Not according to anything they have released.

    Its from at least 7 years ago. Its been discussed. They are promising really efficient hydrogen, and really inefficient electricity. Let toyota put out a fcv that is more efficient than their own Rav4 ev or prius phv or I ask them to throw away this garbage chart. Thc fcv-adv was not nearly as efficient, they ran it on a different test.
     
  6. ItsNotAboutTheMoney

    ItsNotAboutTheMoney EditProfOptInfoCustomUser Title

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    Well, right now they're importing lots of petroleum, and anything else they need. Natural gas is at least relatively easy to generate renewably (without taking up land) and has consistently been cheaper than crude. So, I wouldn't be surprised if Japan took a view that moving transportation to natural gas (using electric and hydrogen fuel cell) is the way to go to maximize efficiency.
     
  7. R-P

    R-P Active Member

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    [​IMG]

    This is from before the cracking revolution in the US, so doesn't include H2 production from natural gas :)
     
  8. El Dobro

    El Dobro A Member

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  9. wjtracy

    wjtracy Senior Member

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    Not quite sure what they are thinking either, but Japan imports nat gas via LNG so that is becoming increasingly important.
     
  10. iClaudius

    iClaudius Active Member

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    VW said the same thing about Hybrids and is not deperately trying to get into the market.

    Hydrogen is the fuel of the future, the fuel of right now had Honda gotten subsidies for full on production of the FCX hydrogen car that it is prototyping in CA.
     
  11. hill

    hill High Fiber Member

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    Ah yes ... More subsidies ... if only there were more endless subsidies ... then we could keep the space shuttle too ... maybe build a few more aircraft carriers ... fund another hydro electric dam or two ... Spend a few trillion cleaning up the toxic nuke waste we've created over the past 4 decades ... or? Name your poison. And if it's hydrogen cars? sure why not ... what's another four decades with little to show .... what the heck. You know - I hear mister fusion will be ready in just another 10 years+ too ... just around the corner ... All we need is more money.
     
  12. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    This is precisely the chart you need if you are talking ghg free transportation;) In reality hydrogen if it is going to work is not going to be ghg free. In europe, the place with the best chances of it working, I would expect the bulk will come from natural gas and coal. The question is, if the governments are going to subsidize this to a great extent for ghg reduction, will they require that the fuel is also done in a renewable fashion - biomass to metahane to hydrogen + wind and solar electricity to hydrogen. If that is the case then we get energy that is much more expensive before taxes than the energy going into phevs and bevs. Even conversion from natural gas or coal does reduce urban smog though, and pollution from coal to hydrogen can be treated at the plant and not the car.

    Europe does lead in the hydrogen highway for a test though, and if they were smart they would get california and japan to kick in money for the test.
    Hydrogen Cars Drive from Oslo to Monte Carlo Using Existing Infrastructure | Hydrogen Cars and Vehicles Blog
    high gasoline taxes and moderate driving distances make the idea of a fuel cell range extender in a short range plug in make a lot of sense if costs can come down. I don't think that will happen in the next 10 years though. The easiest way to meet the US 2025 cafe standards is a combination of increased hybrid vehicles and phevs along with some more clean diesels. After 2025, who knows, we may see fuel cells, but I would say the odds still are against them. If we see them in the US it will be because the europeans or asians drive down the price.
     
  13. ralleia

    ralleia Active Member

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    So what this chart is saying is that if you start with 100 kWh of power and use that in a compressed hydrogen-powered car, that you end up with .95 x .75 x .9 x .8 x .5 x/9 = 23% of the of the original power.

    Even assuming 100% efficiencies (unrealistic) from this natural gas production you refer to, one still only ends up with 32.4% of the original energy.

    Even liquified or compressed to 10,000 psi hydrogen energy density is still a fraction that of gasoline, so the range with be limited. Hydrogen at 10,000 psi is 121,000 Btu/cu ft v. liquid H2 227,850 Btu/cu ft v. gasoline 836,000 Btu/cu ft.

    No thanks, I will stick with my lovely Prius.
     
  14. Sergiospl

    Sergiospl Senior Member

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  15. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    The video is from November 2014, and before the OP article.
     
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  16. wjtracy

    wjtracy Senior Member

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    Old thread:
    T minus 7.5 years for FCV to not be stupid anymore...
    Actually maybe VW was wrong in the first place, since gov't forcing in Ca. and Japan has already made FCV important.
     
  17. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    Japan is a small market for foreign companies, and they still go BEV only to meet requirements in California.
     
  18. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Notice no fuel cell or diesels (well xl1 is diesel plug-in not sold in us, for safety and probably emisions regulations) in this newest vw internet advertising.

    After the diesel scandal, I wouldn't have started this thread. Winterkorn said fuel cell r&d only in case they were needed for compliance.



    depeche mode 'enjoy the silence'
     
    #38 austingreen, Sep 24, 2015
    Last edited: Sep 24, 2015
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  19. Troy Heagy

    Troy Heagy Member

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    This sentence does not parse.
    - natural gas is not "generated". Like oil you find it in the ground.
    - It is not renewable. Like oil when it's used, it's gone, and we must find a new fuel source

    My hydrogen Mercedes is really a CNG car, since both the Mobil and Shell stations told me they use CNG to make the H2. At a cost of 20/gallon. So why not just use the CNG directly at 1.90/gallon? That makes more sense to American & European wallets
    .
     
  20. Troy Heagy

    Troy Heagy Member

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    VW is ranked in the bottom 5 of least-reliable engines (because they break often). News that their emission controls also breakdown does not surprise me at all. If you want a quality diesel buy Mercedes or BMW or Chevrolet Cruze. In Europe diesel Mazdas, Toyotas, and Hondas are also available (the last two are ranked the best engines in the world). The problem is not diesel tech...... it's the lack of VW's quality control & a culture of cheating.