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Dashboard Feb-May 2013

Discussion in 'Prius, Hybrid, EV and Alt-Fuel News' started by bwilson4web, Jun 4, 2013.

  1. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    How would offering a plug in c and v with the same design trade offs as the PPI increase Toyota's take rate for plug ins? When do they plan to offer them and the dedicated model? Three other mainstream manufacturers now offer a PHV. One offers two. It is no longer the early 2000's when most of were unsure or out righted dissed hybrids. Toyota risks being passed on PHVs at this point.

    Going by Mays sales numbers, the number of PPI sold was 7.4% of the number of Prius sold. Using 60% to represent the sales region of the PPI. The C-max Energi was 13.8% of the C-max. You said mainstream acceptance is the goal. Without the success of the Prius itself, the PPI is not doing as well as the C-max in getting there. With different decisions in the PPI's design balance, it could have been selling better. Why aren't more Prius shoppers choosing a PPI?

    For giggles, the Volt is at 7% when compared to the Cruze. Not a fair one considering the price and amenity difference between the two I admit. Maybe 7% is what we can expect in a hybrid to PHV sales ratio, and the Ford Energi's are just hot now

    The buy in bulk and get a discount can work. Of course it relies on having selling the end product.

    Besides, how much has lithium batteries dropped in price since the introduction of the Volt and Leaf?
     
  2. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    Not when the other party has you on ignore.

    Drinnovation's frustration is understandable considering that he, and other Volt owners, were open and honest in their discussions in the beginning. But this is a Prius site, and some fanbois all over don't want to here the positives on the other.
     
  3. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    That's not where I was going. The liftback model of Prius is already offered with 2 different battery-packs. Why not a third, the choice of a high-capacity package?

    Things change over time. That's why quoting from the past is so misleading without context & detail. That's also why getting off of ignore is just a matter of making an effort to disassociate from the past.
     
  4. FL_Prius_Driver

    FL_Prius_Driver Senior Member

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    The following vehicles were built from a blank sheet for their targeted niche:
    1) Prius
    2) Volt
    3) Tesla
    4) Leaf

    The following vehicles were built with compromises in order to use existing infrastructure:
    1) Plug In Prius
    2) Ford Hybrids and EVs
    3) All other GM Hybrids

    It's no coincidence that the first group is doing OK to great and the second group is best described as mediocre. I would claim that is due to engineering, not marketing.
     
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  5. 3PriusMike

    3PriusMike Prius owner since 2000, Tesla M3 2018

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    I challenge you (or anyone), to quote from the future.

    (OK, everyone is being so serious I thought I'd have a little fun)

    Mike
     
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  6. 3PriusMike

    3PriusMike Prius owner since 2000, Tesla M3 2018

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    Just to throw a little gas on the fire...

    No one has discussed another aspect of sales. There are some who "want" to only buy "Made in the USA."
    I don't know if this is having any effect, but I think some of the Volt sales comes from this, especially from government agencies. And I'm sure there are some who want to only do the opposite.

    Mike
     
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  7. drinnovation

    drinnovation EREV for EVER!

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    Agreed, its exceptionally ineffective, but it it still a little more effective than ignoring the truth.
    In this case I was mostly though I was going for humor.. (since the person to whom it was aimed is ignoring me ;-)




    Hopefully I'm still viewed as open and honest in the discussion, as I try to keep it that way. I'm here to learn and to share what I know, and correct the misconception and mis-stated data some others try to pass off as "fact". There are people here that want real information, and unfortunately there are some here that make vauge statements as if they are facts (with no supporting evidence) while a few still toss out factually incorrect statements. But mostly Priuschat is a great site with meaningful discussions on a broad range of energy efficient vehicle topics.




    Sure, I'll play along. I can quote from the future
    Thats from Dr. Brown in the 1985 "Back to the future" and what is cool is now we now can even buy an electric delorean:

    [​IMG]


    Okay back to your serious comment

    yep Buy USA is an issue for many volt (and ford) buyers but not many agencies. Fleet sales for volts are about <10%.. and most of that is corporate fleets. But a many of buyers over at gm-volt are definitely Buy USA types -- though others have not bought a USA car in decades. Would be an intersting poll.
     
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  8. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    Niche? Prius has been the top selling vehicle in Japan for several years now. What part of that doesn't make it mainstream?
     
  9. Zythryn

    Zythryn Senior Member

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    He may have been referring to the original 'niche' market for hybrids.
    However, I can't say for sure, it all depends how you define 'niche'.
    Hybrids as a whole have a pretty small market share here in the USA although it is a substantial number.
     
  10. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    The true measure change is the production of each individual automaker.
    Toyota has clearly shifted a large chunk of their production to hybrids.
     
  11. FL_Prius_Driver

    FL_Prius_Driver Senior Member

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    Niche just means a specific market target, not a narrow market target. I would consider a four door pickup truck to be a niche market (but an extremely large one).
     
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  12. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    yes, but who is defining meaningful? to me, it is.
     
  13. SageBrush

    SageBrush Senior Member

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    If the electricity is from the grid, then NOT EVEN CLOSE.

    If by listening you mean begging for a bailout, then sure.

    But then wouldn't every car model be serving a niche ?
     
  14. FL_Prius_Driver

    FL_Prius_Driver Senior Member

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    Bingo.
     
  15. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    The roll-down data comes as three, drag forces:
    • Target Coef A (lbf) - rolling drag which is constant regardless of speed
    • Target Coef B (lbf/mph) - transmission drag which varies proportional with speed
    • Target Coef C (lbf/mph**2) - aerodynamic drag which increases by the velocity squared
    Once you know these coefficients, the motive power does not matter:
    • momentum - what is used in the roll-down tests to measure A, B, and C on a flat, no-wind, standard day.
    • down grade - a soap box derby, put a Volt and PiP at the top of a two-lane, down grade and the PiP will leave the Volt behind. If it is steep enough that the cars can reach ~85 mph, both will be rolling the same speed, neck-and-neck if the Volt has enough lead. At higher speeds, the Volt will overtake the PiP.
    • JATO - put enough ballast in the lighter car to equal the heavier and then in Mythbusters style, light the fuse. Up until 85 mph, the PiP will be slightly ahead. At 85 mph, their relative distances won't change. Above 85 mph, the Volt will overtake the PiP. Upon hitting a slope, the Volt should impact the cliff higher that the PiP, clearly superior.
    Bob Wilson

    ps. Sometimes physics humor is a little subtle.
     
  16. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Back then:
    • 2000-2003 market - Honda Insight had the highest known MPG of all hybrids - it used an aluminum body and frequently got 70 MPG or more.
    • Honda Civic and NHW11 Prius were neck-and-neck - there was a real horse race.
    • 2004 NHW20 - Honda kept up a presence but soon killed the first Insight and mostly just marched in place.
    • 2009 Honda "Prius Killer" Insight - the car they needed in 2004.
    • 2010 Prius - game over as we wait for Honda's next generation hybrid.
    We've had nearly 10 years of plug-in hybrids:
    • 2004-2010(?) home-made and aftermarket kits - typically using a Prius but I've seen efforts with the first generation Honda Insight
    • 2010(?) Volt and other commercial plug-in - includes the spectacular Fisker
    I'm seeing a '2000-2003 market' for plug-ins with pretty much first generations by Toyota, Ford, and GM . . . and Fisker. There are 'lessons being learned' and the next generation is going to be awesome. My hat is off to the pioneers, the 2000-03 hybrid buyers and 2010-current plug-in buyers. But I'm not tempted to be one, yet.

    However, there are two dandy EVs, Tesla and Leaf and they are selling very nicely for the past months. IMHO, an electric with some kind of fuel-independent, heat-engine, range extender makes a lot of sense. Personally, I'm fond of Sterling engines but would have no problem with a refractory temperature, fuel-cell.

    Today's plug-ins are interesting but short of a law preventing any more from every being sold, the race is not over. It is premature to call Toyota "left behind" as it was in 2000 when Honda sold the first North American hybrid, the original Insight.

    Bob Wilson
     
  17. SageBrush

    SageBrush Senior Member

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    Stuffing a big battery in a crappy car does not the competition, leap.
     
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  18. John H

    John H Senior Member

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    I think the PiP's sales numbers have proved your point.
     
  19. SageBrush

    SageBrush Senior Member

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    Nah, that would be:

    Stuffing a small battery in a great car does not the competition, leap
     
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  20. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    You do realize "ignore" is not overridden by shouting? All it does is alienate those who have yet to "ignore" someone who has lost it.

    I can't answer 'history' as I was not part of those discussions. I can only address what happened in this thread and certainly when he was sharing engineering metrics, useful data, and no problem. Facts and data will always get respect and attention but shouting is not an acceptable substitute.

    Now my practice is after a 'cooling off' period, I'll take someone off my ignore list. If their postings show some attention to facts and data, I'll keep it off. But if I still see the same 'noise' as before, well back they go . . . it is really their problem, not mine.

    Bob Wilson