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It's official Toyota is full speed fuel cells for compliance after 2014

Discussion in 'Prius, Hybrid, EV and Alt-Fuel News' started by austingreen, May 13, 2014.

  1. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Did you read the comments?

    Owner satisfaction is much higher for all three cars, but the volt and tesla are far beyond. This came from the author about the study and leaf.



    IMHO even if you do get quick chargers, there is weather and Wth situations. That means the leaf needs to add range to get user satisfaction ratings up (they also mentioned they were going to change the styling). This all would mean that if the leaf was the only BEV, fcv would have that marketing space. Unfortunately for fcv proponents the volt and tesla S do not have these problems. By the time toyota says fcv will have hit 10,000 in the US (end of 2017 or later), the leaf and volt should be in the next generation. Blue star should either be shipping or soon to be shipping, and tesla X should be profitable, dropping the price of 200 mile+ bevs. The leaf has already sold 50K units in the US, and is the best selling bev in the world. The volt is the best seller in the US, and the Tesla S led in $ sales last year and profit margin. I don't think the hyundai tucson fuel cell, honda clarity II or this toyota fcv (still don't know the name or price) will be challenging on sales, profitability, oil free miles, etc.

     
  2. 70AARCUDA

    70AARCUDA Active Member

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    "Range (High) Anxiety" is alive & well in Leaf owners:

    What Leaf drivers chant to themselves as they drive "...I think I can...I think I can......get there."
     
  3. Sergiospl

    Sergiospl Senior Member

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    No, Gassers use waisted heat, they do not use extra gasoline to heat the cabin.
    Chevy Volt's HVAC system designed for grueling winter weather
     
  4. fuzzy1

    fuzzy1 Senior Member

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    That is what most people thought. Then the hypermilers discovered that cabin heat, even in ordinary gassers, increased fuel consumption. The engine burns more fuel to replace that siphoned-off heat and keep the engine at operating temperature.

    This becomes far more noticeable in hybrids such as the Prius, where the higher engine efficiency and part time ICE operation leave much less 'waste' heat. Diverting some of that 'waste' to the cabin causes the engine coolant to fall below its minimum setpoint sooner, causing the ICE to cycle back on earlier, consuming more fuel.

    The proportion is different than in BEVs, but the raw effect is present in gassers too.
     
  5. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Good deal!

    A Leaf coming off of lease should be a good bargain.

    Bob Wilson
     
  6. Troy Heagy

    Troy Heagy Member

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    I'd rather just let the Volt run on electric (if <40 mile commute) or gasoline (roadtrips). The EV will be cleaner per greenercars' well-to-junkyard estimates. Plus if you really hate foreign oil, then use electric choice to get CNG-powered electricity.
     
  7. Sergiospl

    Sergiospl Senior Member

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    This driver started at 115 km range, drove 20 km with the heat on and ended his morning trip with 65 km projected range left; 50 km difference = 20 km of driving+30 km worth of energy use for heat+cold+..etc....
     
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  8. 70AARCUDA

    70AARCUDA Active Member

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    Just gotta get your priorities in order: HEAT or RANGE? RANGE or HEAT?
     
  9. Jeff F

    Jeff F Member

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    I'd correct that to heat or range. Even with the heat cranked on my Leaf in the dead of winter the mileage (equivalent) beats the prius. But the range decreases. I don't know any Leaf owner who cares that the cost per km goes from (roughly) 2 cents/km in nice weather to 4 cents/km in very cold weather, but many care about the decrease in range on a charge.

    In my case we rarely drive the Leaf more than 50 km in a day, and in fact it's a fabulous vehicle for our cold winter conditions - the heat is instant and strong, and the car can be preheated on demand from a smart phone. The only concern in winter is that it gets plugged in every night rather than every other night in the summer. No range anxiety here, even when it's -25.
     
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  10. GrumpyCabbie

    GrumpyCabbie Senior Member

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    And if you only use a car for small trips, then wouldn't an EV be better ? I know the small engined cars we get here barely warm up (with the heating on) in winter before you arrive at your destination in 4 or 5 miles. A small engined diesel is even worse.

    At least with an EV the heat is pretty much instant and also has the benefit of pre-heat.
     
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  11. 70AARCUDA

    70AARCUDA Active Member

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    Words aside, the ULTIMATE point is: (a) using WASTE heat is effective recovery, (b) using RANGE-reducing electrical power is IN-effective use of your motive energy.
     
  12. Jeff F

    Jeff F Member

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    Yeah you're right. We should continue to use a grossly inefficient way of propelling our cars that generates more heat than we can ever use vs using a vastly more efficient means and generating the heat when needed. My Leaf uses about 1/3 of the energy of my Prius except when I need lots of heat, and then it uses about 1/2 as much energy.

    Nexus 5 ?
     
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  13. Sergiospl

    Sergiospl Senior Member

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  14. GrumpyCabbie

    GrumpyCabbie Senior Member

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    Which is why I'm soo glad I never got a Leaf as a taxi.

    A Tesla S with it's 300 mile range would work. OK, that might reduce to 150 in cold weather, but that could still work. But 30 miles after a few years in winter like the Leafs in that link of yours is just crazy. They 'sell' the Leaf on the basis that it'll do 120 miles. It won't, it doesn't. It'll do 85 if you're careful or 60 in town in ideal conditions.
     
  15. 70AARCUDA

    70AARCUDA Active Member

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    "Who you gonna believe?" [Ghostbuster's Theme in background]

    1) ...there's the TRUTH.
    2) ...there's the MARKETING HYPE
    3) ...there's the SALESPERSON's lips moving.
    4) ...there's EPA guesstimates (YMMV).
    5) ...there's REALITY that YOU encounter.

    Then, suddenly, you remember your high school Latin and--BINGO--the answer is CAVEAT EMPTOR! ! !
     
  16. Jeff F

    Jeff F Member

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  17. Jeff F

    Jeff F Member

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    Yes. No question. And as has been pointed out here, that describes a lot of people's use of a car, particularly a second car. I'd suggest that even today's mainstream BEVs like the Leaf satisfy the needs of a lot of people, and to bring the conversation back to Toyota, I can't understand why they're not making an effort to be a player in this segment.
     
  18. Sergiospl

    Sergiospl Senior Member

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  19. fuzzy1

    fuzzy1 Senior Member

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    He lives in a different country where buyers don't get to see the U.S. EPA estimate. Their official 'gummint' figures use a much more optimistic & unrealistic scale.
     
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  20. movingforward

    movingforward Member

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    On the macro level, I'm guessing Toyota engineers probably figured out that there's simply not enough lithium brine in the world to mine and used as a an energy source for BEV's and therefore cannot even replace 1/4 of our transportation needs around the world. The Tesla Model S, E & X lol is a brute force approach IMO.

    The battery is often half the weight of the entire car, how is that efficient? The weight of the battery alone is parasitic to the system, then add in extreme temperatures, fast charging cycles reduces battery life sooner, I think Toyota knows something we don't and that is there has to be a better way other than pure bev's, hence more commitment to FCV.

    Also, you cannot gauge the success of pure BEV based on TSLA's stock price, the market's more rigged than a soccer match these days, TSLA's P/E ratio trades at 100 to 120 times! 10X more than Ford or GM. I used to be a hardcore BEV believer but as time goes by especially in the last 5 years, I'm starting to see its serious limitations. I want to be wrong about this just as much you Jones-town kool-aid drinker want pure BEV to succeed but I think the writing is beginning to show on the wall.