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prius phv world wide sales

Discussion in 'Prius, Hybrid, EV and Alt-Fuel News' started by austingreen, Oct 30, 2014.

  1. PriusC_Commuter

    PriusC_Commuter Active Member

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    October was another disappointing month for Prius PHEV sales in the US... Only 479 sold...
    Source: Monthly Plug-In Sales Scorecard
     
  2. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    i don't think you're going to see a major jump without incentive before the gen IV. volt is having the same issue on a larger scale. leaf is looking pretty good though.
     
  3. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    It's quite hypocritical to be told to be patient and wait for the second-generation plug-in offerings, then to criticize for not offering them before that.
     
  4. Jeff N

    Jeff N The answer is 0042

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    I don't think I've ever seen john1701a ever say anything critical about the Prius, the Plugin Prius, and maybe even about Toyota. I can understand that since he tends to defend against what he perceives as incorrect or biased negativity against the Prius by others.

    So John, can I ask what your negative critique of the Prius and Prius Plugin is? Is there any room for improvement? Has Toyota made any poor or just sub-optimal design or marketing decisions or made any engineering oopsies in the last generation of these cars, in your opinion?

    Also, what are the top 3 changes you think they should make that aren't obviously already on Toyota's agenda for the 4th gen?
     
    #44 Jeff N, Nov 3, 2014
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2014
  5. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    I state goals and make references to them. They immediately get drown out by the overwhelming amount of debate and defensive posts from others. So, that's quite likely. For the most part, they've been on the mark, paying close attention to audience & market.


    Since constructive criticism is almost always taken as negative, I'm not sure how to answer. The spin is quite annoying.


    Conveying the purpose of PLUG-IN HYBRID could have been handled better. The farce from Ford with C-Max could have been countered too. It's also a missed opportunity for not having exploited the smart-phone interface.

    Engineering has been audience & purpose focused. Not having given in to perceived need rather than actual is a major plus.

    The thermal efficiency gain from the next-gen is a biggie, very much a high-volume benefit. I agree with their "overall" perspective too, looking at emissions entirely. The convenience of wireless charging is another well worth waiting for, to help draw people to plugging.

    My only suggestion is beefing up the interface screens. We've revealed how important GAL & KWH are per unit. Let's have that data presented and readily available for comparisons.
     
    #45 john1701a, Nov 3, 2014
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2014
  6. Jeff N

    Jeff N The answer is 0042

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    Thanks for summarizing and sharing your thoughts.

    The advanced instrumentation and graphical user feedback on driving efficiency and hybrid battery level and power capability status have always been excellent starting with the 1st gen cars. I think Toyota could have done better about summarizing the basic core efficiency and charging statistics across restarts and longer periods of time. When I drove the Prius Plugin for a few days I had to keep taking pictures of the screens before turning off the car in order to keep track of things persistently. Also, some values were oddly rounded or annoyingly truncated -- presumably due to screen real estate limitations.

    I'm not as familiar with the Ford hybrids, but GM should really provide more detailed immediate and recent driving data and graphs to the driver for Volt 2.0 to at least match the feedback level in the 3rd gen Prius and plugin.
     
  7. wjtracy

    wjtracy Senior Member

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    The key stat we still don't have is %PiP sales in CA but several of us suspect that is a big number maybe over 60% US sales of PiP. I don't know why Toyota has not shipped any PiPs to US since June (according to one commenter) but that's when the HOV stickers ran out (only to be re expanded). But you got nice 2012s hitting the lots now so I do not know.
     
  8. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    There is no contradiction in my views. The prius phv, volt, and leaf are initial adopter cars IMHO. You on the other hand don't like the volt because its not mass market even though it sells more than your mass market vehicle. See the difference.

    I still hope toyota does a great job on engineering their second generation phev. That doesn't mean I shouldn't criticise their rhetoric aginst plug ins, nor does it mean that plug-in proponents don't want toyota to at least roll the car out beyond the political carb states, so other states that can increase sales and provide toyota with more feedback. I really don't think it would hurt toyota to sell them in Mineapolous, Austin, or Miami. Somehow the cancelation of the us roll out is some great strategy, well it seems like a bad idea if they expect the next generaion to sell well as they will then have to do all the work of the nationwide roll out in what 2018 or so.

    There is no doubt most prius phvs are sold in california. They were number 2 in plug-ins this year, but low inventory looks like they may move to number 4 next month behind tesla.
    Monthly Plug-In Sales Scorecard

    They finally dropped pricing to the right level. Come on toyota add more states and get decent inventory.
     
  9. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    Such blatant misrepresentation is quite desperate.

    It's really simple: GM STILL HAS NOT OFFERED A HIGH-EFFICIENCY VEHICLE FOR THE MASSES.

    Remember that "nicely under $30,000" goal? We're still waiting for something targeted at ordinary consumers.

    Toyota has sold over 1 million of them already this year.
     
  10. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Thanks for playing. I guess you are right. GM not offering a hybrid is why toyota should not sell a plug-in in texas? I just don't get it john. I know it makes sense to you but hey, let's not really argue about it.

    GM doesn't offer a hybrid for the masses. Toyota doesn't offer a plug-in for most of the country. OK. Agree?

    No I don't, but I'll take your word for it.

    Current price $34,170 MSRP, tax credits $9K in California, $10K in Texas, $7.5K in Minnisota that looks nicely under with tax credits $4170 over without them. Gen II should be the same or less expensive for more efficiency, greater aer, and better accelearion, so I expect low sales until the gen II comes out. Nissan is taking advantage of this oportuntity with the leaf, I wish toyota was with improved roll out and inventory of the phv.

    Silly me I thought I started a world wide prius phv thread instead of a volt versus Toyota and Lexus hybrid that doen't use any elecricity thread.

    Yes especially in japan those toyota and lexus hybrids sell well. I have no idea what the number is so far this year, but I'll take your word for this also. ;)

    Toyota has done a good job with hybrids. I wish they would put more effort in to rolling out the phv in the US. You know the thing this thread was about. :whistle:
     
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  11. Jeff N

    Jeff N The answer is 0042

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    It's worth remembering that Bob Lutz said this in 2007. Sure, he was off by quite a bit since the actual initial MSRP in late 2010 was just over $40,000.

    $30,000 in 2007 is worth $34,400 dollars today due to inflation and that's about the base MSRP of a Volt now. There are dealers that have advertised and sold new Volts for as little as $30,000 before tax credits and rebates, which is $26,000 in 2007 dollars.

    It will be interesting to see what the new 2016 MSRP will be.
     
    #51 Jeff N, Nov 3, 2014
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2014
  12. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    Since the topic has already been beaten to death and looking at the market without incentives is not taken seriously, I do have to wonder.

    After all, there was no purpose stated, no question asked, or even a prediction given.
     
  13. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    It was informational and for discussion. I thought people would want to know toyota's predictions versus actual results in the world wide market. Certainly relative to toyota's expections of the prius phv, sales should have exceeded expectaionts in the US and greatly disapointed in Japan.

    Toyota knew about the US subsidies when the prius phv was developed, but events in Japan were not known at that time.
     
  14. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    Like I said, looking at the market without incentives is not taken seriously.

    The next-gen offerings must thrive on their own.
     
  15. Zythryn

    Zythryn Senior Member

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    Sure it is taken seriously. You keep making claims that simply are untrue.
    Obviously rebates help speed the initial adopter phase.

    You are the biggest force trying to take threads off topic.
    Why in the world you would compare non-plugin 3rd generation hybrid sales to 1st generation plugin sales I have no idea.
     
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  16. wjtracy

    wjtracy Senior Member

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    ...as far as staying on topic, the global PiP sales figures are interesting but I don't think we have any details from Toyota about the factors leading to the numbers. Are they short batteries? Are they worried about battery life? Are they making a choice to make higher profit margin cars? Is it low demand? We're just pawns in the game of cars, or whatever it was Mongo said.

    From Mel Brook's Blazing Saddles of course:
     
    #56 wjtracy, Nov 3, 2014
    Last edited: Nov 4, 2014
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  17. Ashlem

    Ashlem Senior Member

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    Just my hypothesis, but the PiP was probably never really intended to be released, at least in its current form. I think they rolled it out partly due to competition that was coming out with plug-in capabilities, such as the Volt and C-max energi. Though the PiP has extremely limited ev range, Toyota probably didn't want to lose too much market share to its competitors, who would then have a stronger argument for "See, Toyota doesn't care about plug-ins!" Admittedly people will still use that excuse ("Toyota has crappy plug-in capabilities, which means they don't care for it!")

    Another reason may be because some people retrofitted their gen 2 prius with working plug-in capability. Though it was/is pretty expensive it showed there were people who'd like it.

    A third reason may be as an experiment in testing out lithium ion batteries in the prius. They had to keep the battery small partly to not have to radically redesign the gen 3 for it (remember the PiP loses its spare tire spot, along with a slightly smaller gas tank), and likely to keep costs to a minimum hence why the PiP was originally much more expensive than a non-plugin liftback. It's almost like they're throwing us a bone, despite being very against bigger batteries due to the current issues of cost, recharge time, and range.

    Hopefully Toyota's engineers got good real world info on the PiP, so that they can work kinks out in the gen 2 PiP, especially considering that it's being developed at the same time as the gen 4 prius. And more importantly, I hope they make it available nationwide. It can be the most awesome car ever, but if Toyota won't make it easily accessible to people not living in the East or West Coast, they probably won't want to get it, aside from a few determined people.
     
  18. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    How automakers will achieve high-volume sales when there are no subsidies available, has yet to be addressed. What do you think I said?

    After all this time and so many posts, you still don't understand the importance of considering the entire market. Really?

    We already know that the design was intended to be verification for next-gen. Toyota has been taking that approach all along. Remember how Camry-hybrid got the two-speed upgrade before Prius?

    Engineering can be worked out in great detail. But market response and political/competitor spin is quite unpredictable. Being able to observe a wide variety of real-world data & reaction before going all-out can payoff big-time later on.

    Think about this. The small pack currently being used can be squeezed even smaller as battery energy-density increases. Cost will hopefully drop quite a bit too. Eventually, it would be realistic to use in a Prius C. That's a major potential benefit of starting small.
     
    #58 john1701a, Nov 3, 2014
    Last edited by a moderator: Nov 4, 2014
  19. FL_Prius_Driver

    FL_Prius_Driver Senior Member

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    It is certainly clear that Toyota has throttled back on getting the PiP sales maximized, so your hypothesis is consistent with Toyota's actions. One other possibility is the development of Plug In battery kits for Prius retrofitting really bothered Toyota. That may have motivated them to come up with something to stop widespread modification of the Prius as a viable third party industry. With the availability of getting PHEV or EV directly from multiple dealers, that goal may have been accomplished.
     
  20. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Well they definitely intended to roll it out, they promised 2010, and delayed it for batteries. The competition came from promised volt and kit makers in the US, but this car was obviously specified for the Japanese market, and indeed they expected 2/3 of sales in Japan. The failure in the Japanese market, especially coming in 3rd with the outlander phev outselling it in that market,

    Now in the US sales were actually in line with toyota's corporate expectations in 2012, and may have exceeded them if toyota had done more of a roll out, as well as better dealer training. In 2013 toyota PR turned quite anti-plug-in, and it and Fiat are alone on that island. It may simply be politics. IDK.

    These people definitely may have moved on to the ford energi, volt, and leaf in the non-carb states. With the tax breaks there no longer is a modify market that takes significant cars.

    According to Toyota PR material they designed the gen III to plug-in. They successfully lobbied congress to lower the minimum battery size for plug-in allowance to 4kwh in 2007, the size they wanted to build. They funded carnegy mellon research to say smaller batteries made sense. No it was not dictated. But now with their market research in Japan and the US they know the market demands biggre batteries. That shouldn't stop them from rolling out further to take advantage of the growth in the US plug in market, or to stop them from training dealers how to sell these things.
    +1
    I do hope the marketing folks pass on the information and allow the engineers to design a better plug-in that they roll out at least to half the US. We should only have to wait 2 years to find out.