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murai fuel cell gets a video and plans for other states.

Discussion in 'Prius, Hybrid, EV and Alt-Fuel News' started by austingreen, Nov 17, 2014.

  1. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Toyota Fuel Cell Sedan Now Named "Mirai" (w/video)
    That is a true announcement, but one that makes you say huh. They don't even have a price on the car but look like they are rolling it out to 5 additional states in 2016.


    Will The Mirai Be The Next Prius? Toyota Calls Its New Hydrogen Fuel-Cell Vehicle the 'Future' - Forbes
     
    #1 austingreen, Nov 17, 2014
    Last edited: Nov 17, 2014
  2. El Dobro

    El Dobro A Member

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    I won't be holding my breath to see one on a NJ highway.
     
  3. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    With 12 in 5 states, that should be enough to sell dozens of fcv. You will see one on an advertisement, but not likely in person.

    I do give this a little credit though, unlike most of the fcv rah rah toyota and lexus do, there was no plug-in bashing in this spot. They even showed a plug-in connector.
     
    #3 austingreen, Nov 17, 2014
    Last edited: Nov 17, 2014
  4. PriusC_Commuter

    PriusC_Commuter Active Member

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    Blind spot monitoring at 53 seconds and backup sensors at 2:33 (not to mention CHAdeMO at 1:15). Give me those on my PiP instead. KTHXBAI
     
  5. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    discouraging for ev'ers, i would love to be a fly on the toyota boardroom wall. am i really going to have to switch brands for my next car?
     
  6. PriusC_Commuter

    PriusC_Commuter Active Member

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    I love my two Toyotas (PriusC and PiP), but these will likely be my last Toyotas (already thinking about selling my C for a Volt). Once these two cars are paid off, it's Tesla for me.
     
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  7. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    can't blame you, i think i'll be in the next gen leaf or equivalent.
     
  8. Paradox

    Paradox Prius Enthusiast / Moderator
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    When Toyota wants someone here in the northeast to put one through its paces, I'm available. :D
     
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  9. Jeff N

    Jeff N The answer is 0042

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    I'm hoping they will reveal the Mirai's EPA window sticker numbers. The Honda Clarity is 58 mpg equivslent (essentially 58 miles per kg of hydrogen) in the city, 60 highway.

    A recent US national labs study found that a vehicle with a combined rating of about 68 miles per kg would effectively emit 250g per mile well-to-wheel of carbon dioxide using hydrogen from natural gas (which is where 95% of it comes from in real life). A Prius is rated to emit about 220g per mile burning actual gasoline at 50 mpg.

    So, the Mirai will have to get an estimate of around 75 miles to match the exist 2015 Prius much less next year's 4th gen Prius which should do a little bit better.

    I'll also be looking for details about the Mirai's climate control system. Will it utilize waste heat from the fuel cell stack?

    I'm not sure if any of the Toyota/GM/Honda/Hyundai prototype cars have done this. It's challenging to do effectively since fuel cells are ~60% efficient and generate lower temperatures (80C or 175F).

    I'm just starting to read a 2013 Toyota patent for doing this but I don't know how cost effective such a unit would be in a production car. Much of the energy needed for heating a vehicle in the winter is used in the first 5-10 minutes after the cold vehicle is started to bring the cabin up from ~20F to 70F.

    There is probably going to be very little inherent initial waste heat from a fuel cell stack driving on icy/snowy city streets or congested highways during that initial time. Fuel cell waste heat is probably most useful for maintaining cabin heat at highway speeds while driving longer distances.
     
    #9 Jeff N, Nov 17, 2014
    Last edited: Nov 17, 2014
  10. Ashlem

    Ashlem Senior Member

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    Nice video, but I can't buy one in Wisconsin. On top of that, even if I somehow managed to get one, I'd have no way to fill it up. And I'd rather not have to foot the bill via taxes/fees to build the hydrogen infrastructure needed.

    An electric vehicle, on the other hand, I can easily charge from a power plug in my garage. And if I have a PHEV, then I can also use gas, which is readily available almost everywhere in the US should I decide to road trip or travel long distances. As much as I try to think long-term, a fuel cell vehicle is expensive and will be even more limited than EV's. And I need a practical car today, not twenty years from now.
     
  11. drash

    drash Senior Member

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    It already has a battery, why in heavens name didn't they make it a plug-in FCEV I'll never know. That would make it an easier sell and could future proof their customers who wouldn't be required to go get hydrogen if its not going to be somewhere in the neighborhood. And it would save a little hydrogen along the way as well as limit the pressure to keep building stations they don't even want to build.
     
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  12. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    i don't even understand why it has a battery.
     
  13. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    If it didn't have a battery it would probably take 15 seconds to go 0-60, and would get about 40 mpge in the city. It needs a boost at start up and to store energy from regen braking. Fuel cells can't change power levels easily like ices.
     
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  14. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    thanks! now it makes even less sense to me over a pure ev.
     
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  15. Ashlem

    Ashlem Senior Member

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  16. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    I think the key is more in the sales estimates finally out

    2015 200 cars
    2016-2017 2800 cars total or an average of 1400 cars per year

    That is in line with the skeptics against fuel cells.

    California prices if toyota gets the $8000 federal credit renewed.
    mirai
    $57,500 - $13,000 state and federal credits = $43,500 after credits
    bmw i3+rex
    $45,000 - $9000 state and federal credits = $36,000
    volt
    $35,000 - $9000 state and federal credits $26,000
    tesla S 60kwh + super charger
    $73,000 - $10,000 state and federal credits $63,000

    I think they will need to drop the price to sell those 3000 cars by the end of 2017. The lease rate will have to drop too, but with only 3000 cars toyota won't lose too much by discounting.
     
    #16 austingreen, Nov 17, 2014
    Last edited: Nov 17, 2014
  17. fotomoto

    fotomoto Senior Member

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    Tin hat speculation: Was one of the reasons why Toyota held back the roll out of nationwide PIP sales was to save the limited number of tax credits for the FCV which will need them more?
     
  18. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    No, the pip credits can't be used on fuel cells and vice versa. The late roll out of the pip simply means ford or bmw will take some of the credits Toyota could have gotten.

    The federal fuel cell credit for fcv expires at theend of this year, but toyota and CARB lobbiests are working hard to get congress to renew it. I don't get what states other than california get, so it may not be renewed. CARB and Toyota have some of the stroggest lobbies though in the congress and can actively twist arms. Really congress should tell toyota to eat it. It is only $8000 x 3000 cars, or $24M for toyota, and provides no benefit in 49 states. I'm sure after toyota has spent over $1B on R&D for this project they will have no trouble eating a measly $24M. They made over $700M just on Tesla stock.
     
    #18 austingreen, Nov 17, 2014
    Last edited: Nov 17, 2014
  19. telmo744

    telmo744 HSD fanatic

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  20. Richard Jones

    Richard Jones New Member

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    [​IMG]

    This is a step in the right direction imo, hydrogen power is clean and very safe. Will be great when it goes mainstream, looking forward to it :)

    Excerpt:
    "The world's largest car maker will begin selling fuel cell cars in Japan on December 15 and in the US and Europe in mid-2015. The sporty-looking, four-door Toyota Mirai will sell for 6.7 million yen (£36,700) before tax. Toyota hopes to sell 400 in Japan and 300 in the rest of the world in the first year."

    Source:
    Toyota to launch hydrogen power car - Yahoo News UK