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The cost of gasoline

Discussion in 'Environmental Discussion' started by bwilson4web, Mar 10, 2022.

  1. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    The number of people browsing for green vehicles has increased in recent weeks as gas prices climbed, according to Edmunds. Availability of electric vehicles is scarce; of all the vehicles for sale at one Illinois dealership, only one is fully electric.

    Source:


    Agreed Captan Obvious.

    Bob Wilson
     
  2. ETC(SS)

    ETC(SS) The OTHER One Percenter.....

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    This an ill wind…

    I’m thinking that in a year or two some good, one-owner, off lease BEVs and PHEVs will arrive on the market.
    The growth in BEVs has been explosive but I’m not sure that infrastructure is keeping pace, and recessions in the past have resulted in the creation of a lot of new apartment dwellers.

    Also, the human animal quickly forgets pain.
    Our designer did that for a pretty good reason (multi-child households) but sometimes painful lessons do NOT make for lasting memories.
    The last time gasoline got close to $4 a gallon was due to a supply disruption caused by ‘natural’ forces.
    10 years later people were driving gas guzzlers again.

    @ profit:
    I’m agnostic about this, but there’s something of a lag time between the spot price for your crude flavor of choice and the pump price. For those who like to get into silly arguments about the difference between epidemic, pandemic, and endemic, It’s sort like the lag time between positivity rates and death rate.

    I remember another Carteresque administration grappling with inflation and gas.
    THEY also had a mismanaged foreign crisis to deal with, and THEY also threw lots of spaghetti on lots of walls to try and draw the eye away from the numbers on the pump….and in the grocery store…..and in department stores….and bank mortgage rates….

    Pretty soon I predict that somebody will get the shovels out and dig up THIS old body:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crude_Oil_Windfall_Profit_Tax_Act_of_1980
    It didn’t work for them…but hey….people will probably be buying gas guzzlers and tinkering with socialism again too.

    Ecclesiastes 1:9.
     
  3. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    My Significant Other's daughter complained about paying $70 for a tank of gas. But my SO has advised all of her kids to get an EV like her 2014 BMW i3-REx. They seem incapable of understanding:
    • ~25 MPG USA fleet average
    • ~52 MPG my past Prius mileage including 2017 Prius Prime
    • ~120-130 MPGe our current EV mileage equivalent: 2014 BMW i3-REx, and; 2019 Tesla Model 3
      • $2.75 - $2.90 / 100 miles around town NOT including free charging
      • $3.00 - $3.50 / 100 miles cross country with cheaper rate at free breakfast and charging motels
    She Who Must Be Obeyed probably would not have gone EV except I gave her the backup, 2014 BMW i3-REx. She soon learned how affordable an EV is when her weekly gas expenses all but disappeared.

    With a lifetime commitment to efficiency, my war with Entropy, I have little to no sympathy to those who don't do as I do. Regardless, there are plenty of PriusChatters who share my goals and objectives. Our community is special.

    Bob Wilson
     
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  4. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    have bev's grown explosively? what percent of registered vehicles, or sales?
     
  5. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Certainly the ‘press releases’ have exploded.

    Sad to say, there are a lot of suspicious claims.

    Bob Wilson
     
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  6. Zythryn

    Zythryn Senior Member

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    In terms of growth, BEV sales were up 89% in 2021 over 2020. That type of growth could be called “explosive”.
    It is starting at a very small percentage though.
    The market share of BEVs in 2021 was about 3.5%.

    If you add in plugin hybrids that number grows.

    We have a long way to go, but we are getting there.

    https://www.globalfleet.com/en/manufacturers/north-america/analysis/ev-market-share-modest-us-wave-coming
     
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  7. ChapmanF

    ChapmanF Senior Member

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    I can remember a funny mirror-image of that just since the 2008 crash.

    During the several steady-but-not-rapid growth, low-interest, low-inflation years following the crash, I had one family member whose favored media sources were incessantly claiming a (huge! double-digit!) "real" inflation rate that the published BLS figures were supposedly lowballing. This despite what you could see just by looking around at the pump or the grocery or department stores or banks.

    After years of those discussions, some time around 2014 or 2015, I dug out old grocery receipts, etc., from 2007/8, and some current ones from 2014 or '15, and sat down with this family member and we calculated what inflation rate they worked out to, and lo and behold, it was very close to the supposedly lowballed BLS published rate.

    I guess if there were government functionaries somewhere who were publishing an artificially-low BLS inflation figure, as long as they were also coming into my house and editing my old shopping receipts to match it, and getting my bank balances to match those, it's all good. :)
     
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  8. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Called a sigmoid function, it defines an “S”
    curve that defines adoption of a new technology. It has an exponential growth that then tapers down as saturation is reached.

    Bob Wilson
     
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  9. dbstoo

    dbstoo Senior Member

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    It's not hard to see why your SO's kids don't understand your point of view. You advocate buying an old car with only 117 MPGe, a small battery and a skimpy 2.6 gallon gas tank. The cargo space is only 15CF, which is much smaller than even the Prius Prime. New price was what? $43000? And now it's $15,000 to $23,000 used with an 8 year old battery? Many Prime users get better than 5 miles per kWh, and cruise down the freeway at better than 60 MPG.

    To convince her kids you'll probably need the same incentive. Give each of them a free car. :)
     
  10. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    "my war with Entropy" post 43. Can't win that bro. Redefine terms of engagement.
     
  11. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Fighting for a draw. <grins>

    Bob Wilson
     
  12. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Funny seeing this posting while completing a 190 mi, round-trip to Birmingham which was a tale in itself. My SO had to pickup some inventory in Birmingham by a set time Sunday afternoon which we did:
    • Towing trailer needed receiver parts that had been 'borrowed.'
    • Drove down using REx to preserve the battery SOC.
    • A damaged J1772 and tight schedule gave no chance to add charge.
      • The only Birmingham CCS-1, fast DC charger is in the closed Mercerdes Service Shop
    • Exhausted battery SOC on return so we continued on just the REx.
    • In Cullman AL, an obscure ChargePoint J1772 put 8 miles on the battery for $0.24
    • Arrive home just after sunset, 190 miles total
    Other PHEVs could have done this trip. Just we used what we had: paid-off; '8 year old'; 2014 BMW i3-REx with +64,000 total miles. The battery still has just under 70 miles range from the original 72.

    Switching to a different technology means a learning curve and adaption to new operational procedures. We found the Prius Prime 25 mi EV range was insufficient compared to the BMW i3-REx 72 mi. Worse, the Prime control laws required running the engine when not desired. These may have been fixed or maybe not. I can only recommend a Prius Prime ... to my competition.

    Bob Wilson

    ps. The BMW i3-REx got a full charge last night:

    Home_Base finished charging.
    Charging added 17.684 kWh in 3h 7m 52s.​

    Original charging was +18 kWh so this looks like normal, expected battery degradation.

    pps. What sold me on the BMW i3:
     
    #52 bwilson4web, Mar 21, 2022
    Last edited: Mar 21, 2022
  13. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    From Eric Boehlert e-mail list:

    Right before Russia invaded Ukraine, crude oil was trading for $99 a barrel, and American motorists were paying $3.61 at the pump. Crude then quickly jumped to $130 and gas prices soared to $4.30. Last week, crude tumbled back down to $99, but we’re still paying the same $4.30 for gas, according to AAA.

    For a press that obsessed over gas prices as they climbed, while platforming Republican claims that President Joe Biden was to blame for the energy inflation (another White House “crisis”), the media have now lost interest in the gas station saga. It’s another case of putting extra energy into chasing Bad News for Biden stories. And news outlets have shown no interest in putting Big Oil under a microscope to highlight what role they play in today’s stubbornly high gas prices.

    Is price gouging a factor today? Democrats think so. “As American families work to make ends meet, Congress must take action to investigate reports of illegal profiteering, anticompetitive business practices, and price gouging within the oil and gas industry and hold public hearings, as appropriate,” wrote 32 members of Congress who signed a letter to U.S. House and Senate leaders urging “immediate investigations.”
    . . .
    There was a time when the mainstream media cast a constantly skeptical eye not only on Big Oil, but on Big Business in general. Today, they get a pass, while Biden gets the blame.

    Bob Wilson
     
    #53 bwilson4web, Mar 21, 2022
    Last edited: Mar 21, 2022
  14. Rmay635703

    Rmay635703 Senior Member

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    People see high transient prices and forget the days they got 50% discounts a week later .

    Ground Turkey is still $1.25 a tube, carrots are still a $1 a package, got green Bananas $0.19 /lb they ripened later that week
    don’t like “expensive “ food buy different food.

    Main trouble is if you enjoy eating at establishments, those are twice the price, gotta budget if you insist on 3 meals a day ordered out.

    Also a good time to hit a diet
     
  15. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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  16. dbstoo

    dbstoo Senior Member

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    Let me get this straight... It was OK to use gas engine in the i3 for 110 miles despite getting only 31 MPG, but the Prius use of the ICE when it was appropriate at 60 MPG was unacceptable? And the range of the REX (70 miles) was OK, but the 600 mile range of the Prius was not? This just makes no sense. I do have to wonder why you bother with that piece of crap when you have a perfectly good model 3 sitting at home like driveway art. The Model 3 was not able to handle the extra load of the trailer? Not enough internal storage space?
     
  17. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    'price gouging' never sticks, it's not even illegal. but congress always panders to their constituents, without ever actually doing anything, because they know there is nothing they can do.
     
  18. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    what's the opposite of hypermiling, lead foot? anyone notice any change in driver habits? not me.
    people want cheap gas, they don't want to alter their behavior
     
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  19. dbstoo

    dbstoo Senior Member

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    I've not noticed a lot of changes. The techniques work on EVs as well as ICE vehicles. I've played with the hypermile techniques in my Prius Prime and have found that I can use as little as 165 watt hours per mile by gentle acceleration, leaving big buffer zones and coasting to the red lights.

    The opposite of hypermiling would have to be "side shows" where they drive around in circles, drifting so that the engine is working hard but the car is going nowhere.

    Stop and go commute traffic is a close second. I once used half a tank of gas in San Francisco just to go the few miles from downtown to the bridge on-ramp. That was a 4x4 Ford F150 pickup, so it had a few strikes against it before hand.
     
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  20. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    • The Prius Prime became driveway art because of the too short EV range, 25 mi then and 27 mi today, and poor control laws. The control laws did not have the hard EV mode of the BMW.
    • I have a receiver hitch for the Model 3 but need half a day to install. Thanks to the better SuperCharger network, it will become our first choice.
    Bob Wilson