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This is the worst time to buy a Prius Prime in terms of cost to buyer

Discussion in 'Gen 5 Prius Main Forum' started by Gokhan, Apr 13, 2023.

  1. Gokhan

    Gokhan Senior Member

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    KBB just announced that average new car is now selling a couple of thousand dollars below MSRP. Priuses are still selling with fat markups, and Toyota included an especially large profit margin (about $10,000?) on Prius Prime.

    I expect a new Prius Prime to sell for $10,000 less in a year if not even at a lower price. I think there will be deep dealer discounts (up to $4,000) and large factory rebates (up to $2,000) again in a year, and Toyota may even reduce MSRP.

    The only reason I would trade in now would be if I can get a good price for my 2021 Prius Prime Limited.
     
    #1 Gokhan, Apr 13, 2023
    Last edited: Apr 13, 2023
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  2. fuzzy1

    fuzzy1 Senior Member

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    On a similar vein, I've been watching this CarGurus' price index for several months. Though not being previously familiar with this outfit, I don't have any feel for how to judge them.

    upload_2023-4-13_4-3-53.png

    The 2023 Prius Prime doesn't yet appear on this so-called "used" data:
    upload_2023-4-13_4-8-36.png


    I have been watching RAV4 Prime pricing. 2023 model down more than $4k in two months, but still far over MSRP, even without any federal tax credit since August:
    upload_2023-4-13_4-11-23.png
     
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  3. Perpetual Waffle

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    I’m desperate to get out of this frumpy, 26 MPG SUV I’ve been driving. I’ll gladly pay MSRP, but I’m not paying a markup. I’m sure things will cool down eventually, but I think right now dealers are just banking on people being willing to pay more to be the first to have the shiny new toy that is in limited supply.
     
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  4. ColoradoCrow

    ColoradoCrow Active Member

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    EXACTLY....THEY ARE COUNTING ON THAT!....when nobody buys for awhile it will cool and drop. Look at the housing market......
     
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  5. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    saudi's are cutting supply. if gas prices go up, all bets are off
     
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  6. Gokhan

    Gokhan Senior Member

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  7. Salamander_King

    Salamander_King Senior Member

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    I just checked with a local Toyota dealer. They don't even know if they are getting 23 PP to sell. Then they asked me if I am interested in Rav4 Prime instead. Apparently, they have brand-new Rav4 Primes in stock. Wait! This is the same dealer that told me that I have to put my name on a waiting list for over a year to get a Rav4 Prime last year.

    I bet, by next year this time, a 23 PP will be selling for a discount.
     
    #7 Salamander_King, Apr 13, 2023
    Last edited: Apr 13, 2023
  8. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    i hope so! how much do they want for the rav 4?
     
  9. Salamander_King

    Salamander_King Senior Member

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    Didn't even ask. But I assume MSRP starting point for negotiation. If it is in stock right now, and they are asking for a telephone shopper's interest in purchasing it, then I am confident that I can negotiate that price down. I did the same thing with the 22 Escape PHEV last fall to bring the initial asking price down to the final price at $5K lower.
     
  10. fuzzy1

    fuzzy1 Senior Member

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    Edmunds.com has been suggesting that they already should be selling at a discount, at least in some zip codes I checked. Different prices in different areas. But their suggested price also seems unstable. Unfortunately, I haven't saved any history for charting.

    I'm at a double disadvantage. Toyota doesn't send any new ones to my state, so we have to go to Oregon. But Oregon dealers were not selling to buyers residing across the border more than 50 miles for an extended period, until very recently. Though there have long been a number of used ones available here for astronomical markups, higher than what people paid new in Oregon back when it was allowed and the federal tax credit still existed.

    Plus, it appears that Oregon has a plug-in incentive program for its own residents, $2,500 - 7,500. Though it has limited funding, first come first served, when it is gone it is gone. Those applying slightly too late get put on a waiting list for more funds to arrive in that account next year. But the waiting list is being closed April 30, so those who buy May 1 - Dec 31 this year are not even eligible for the waiting list.
     
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  11. Salamander_King

    Salamander_King Senior Member

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    Just checked the website, and they have 7 Rav4Primes all SE trims, priced from $44K-$46K MSRP, no markup. Surprisingly, they also have two bZ4X AWD XLE priced slightly higher than Rav4Prime at ~$46K MSRP, no markup. And, this is the dealer who told me that they will not get ANY bZ4X to sell when I asked last year. I am sure I can negotiate the price of a bZ4X below MSRP. But why should I? I got a 22 Escape PHEV for ~$32K after incentives ($3k) and tax credit ($7k). Apparently, after 4/18, 23 Ford Escape PHEVs will only qualify for a $3750 tax credit.
     
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  12. Gokhan

    Gokhan Senior Member

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    Yep, it is yet more sign that Prius Prime wil sell a lot cheaper next year.

    The only reason for me to trade in now would be because used-car prices will go down, too. However, perhaps I should recalculate.

    The interest in Gen 5 Prius and Prius Prime will die out soon—it is typical for people to rush in when a new model arrives, making the car very expensive.
     
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  13. macmaster05

    macmaster05 Senor Member

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    Hahaha. This thread is silly. Wahhhhh "prices are so highhh" "they'll come down next year when demand drops!"

    You're betting against the American public to buy cars? This is the UNITED STATES OF AMERICA. It's not like houses at all. People LOVE cars. Even if it brings them into debt. Demand is never going to drop. Stop crying and buy the car.
     
  14. Stevevee

    Stevevee Active Member

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  15. model464

    model464 Junior Member

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    I talked to a salesman yesterday and he made a point of printing out a "dealer invoice" to show me the dealer only makes ~$800 on a SE at MSRP. Either I caught him in a baldfaced lie or Toyota themselves are making the profits at the dealers' expense.
     
  16. Gokhan

    Gokhan Senior Member

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    I learned a while back that the dealer's invoice is not what the dealers actually pay to Toyota. So, yes, this is a trick. They also showed me the dealer's invoice when I bought my silver 2020 Prius Prime XLE, and no, that was much higher than the actual cost to the dealer.

    Consumer Reports explains car pricing.

    Guide to car-pricing terms—Consumer Reports

    Guide to Car-Pricing Terms
    A glossary of common terms shoppers need to understand when pricing a new car
    By Consumer Reports
    August 01, 2017

    The most effective way to negotiate a new car's price is to find out what others in your market have paid for the same vehicle. You can gather information from a variety of sources and put it together yourself, starting with the dealer's cost and bargaining up from there. To figure out the true dealer cost on your own, you have to piece together the various elements of the auto-pricing puzzle.

    Alternatively, you can use the ConsumerReports.org Build & Buy service, which does all the legwork for you. Whichever way you go, here are the terms with which you should be familiar when shopping for a car:

    Manufacturer's Suggested Retail Price
    The Manufacturer's Suggested Retail Price (MSRP) is the price that the automaker publishes for any given model and trim line. Because it's "suggested," dealers are free to sell a vehicle for a figure that's higher or lower than the MSRP.

    The base price, excluding any options, destination charge, or other fee, is the initial figure you'll find in pricing guides, most car reviews, and on pricing websites.

    The total MSRP, commonly called the sticker price because it's the bottom-line figure on a car's window sticker, is the base price plus any options, option-package discounts, and destination charge.

    Unless a model is in very high demand, you can generally buy a vehicle for less than the sticker price.

    Dealer-Invoice Price
    The invoice price is the figure printed on the dealer's invoice from the manufacturer. Once difficult to find, invoice prices are now commonly available online and in print, including our new-car buying guides. In fact, dealer-invoice prices have become so ubiquitous that they are even listed on some automaker websites. In addition, at many dealerships, salespeople will show you the invoice for the car you're interested in, often as a way to let you know how "little" markup there is.

    The dealer-invoice price, however, is not necessarily what the dealer really paid for the car because there are often behind-the-scenes payments, such as unadvertised dealer sales incentives and holdbacks (or manufacturer refunds) that give the dealer extra profit. What you see on the invoice is only part of the pricing puzzle. You'll need a few more pieces to form the complete picture.

    Dealer Sales Incentives
    These are unadvertised payments that the manufacturer offers a dealer for selling certain models. The dealer can pass along the incentive to the buyer in the form of a price reduction, or keep it as added profit. These payments are usually used to push sales of slow-selling or overstocked models. These types of incentive programs can come and go quickly depending on supply and demand, and some can be regional, depending on local market conditions.

    Holdbacks
    You can think of a holdback as a refund for the dealer that he or she gets after the vehicle has been sold. Depending on the automaker, a typical holdback is about 2 or 3 percent of either the MSRP or the invoice price.

    For example, if a vehicle has an MSRP of about $25,000, a dealer's holdback might be as much as $800. Holdbacks are a way of reimbursing dealers for the financing costs of keeping vehicles in inventory. Because the dealer will receive the entire holdback amount, the sooner the vehicle sells—thereby reducing the finance costs—the more hold-back that can be kept as profit.

    Dealers usually won't bargain away their holdback, but knowing about it gives you perspective on their profit margin. So when the salesperson claims that the dealership isn't making any money on a car, you'll know whether it's just a line or not.

    Rebate
    This is a direct-to-the-buyer payment from the manufacturer to encourage you to purchase a particular vehicle. Many buyers use it as part of the down payment to reduce the amount that needs to be financed. Rebates are widely promoted in advertising but they can be national or regional, and they don't last forever. It pays to check out the details.

    Market Adjustment
    A market adjustment, or dealer adjustment, is an amendment added to the window sticker that can pad hundreds or even thousands of dollars over the manufacturer's sticker price. You'll typically find these on a highly anticipated model that's been recently introduced or one that has a long waiting list of buyers.

    You can try to negotiate this figure, but if the vehicle is selling well, the dealer won't have much incentive to work with you. If you have to be the first on your block with a hot new model, this could be the premium you pay. But if you can be patient and wait awhile to buy—sometimes only a few months—these dealer adjustments will usually disappear.

    Ultimately, that markup will become added depreciation once supply and demand level out; there are few cases where you'd have the potential to recoup that money.
     
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  17. fuzzy1

    fuzzy1 Senior Member

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    Don't confuse the dealer's profit with the manufacturer's (Toyota's) profit. Those are separate items. The possible $10k Gokhan referred to is strictly on the manufacturer's side, before the vehicle gets to the independently-owned dealer's lot.
     
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  18. Bob P.

    Bob P. Junior Member

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    It shouldn't be hard to find them for MSRP soon. The banks are cutting back on credit to the dealers because of rising car loan defaults and this will cause some buyers to be unable to qualify for car loans. Most people don't have $30k sitting around for car purchases.
     
    #18 Bob P., Apr 19, 2023
    Last edited: Apr 19, 2023
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  19. ukulelegeek

    ukulelegeek Active Member

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    Well, I don't mean to be nosy, but assuming your 2021 is paid for, why get rid of it?
     
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  20. Gokhan

    Gokhan Senior Member

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    No, not paid for—in fact, my loan payments will be reduced by $200 or more after trade-in, and I want TSS 3.0. TSS 3.0 is the main upgrade over my 2021 Prius Prime Limited, and I use the driving-automation functions of TSS 2.0 all the time.