Manmade Global Warming

Source: UAH - News

A research paper finding a significant global warming bias in climate models that was co-authored by the interim vice president for research and economic development at The University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH) has been cited by John Wiley & Sons Inc. as a top 10 download over the past 12 months in the American Geophysical Union (AGU) Earth and Space Science journal.
...
“So, what drives the interest here is the incessant drumbeat of climate doom and gloom based on model forecasts, and the corresponding political reactions that create for us challenges like $100 per fill-up and attendant price increases – and some scarcity – for everything else,” says Dr. John Christy, who is also a distinguished professor of atmospheric science, Alabama’s state climatologist and the director of the Earth System Science Center (ESSC) at UAH, a part of the University of Alabama System. “When an issue hits people squarely in the pocketbook, it becomes important.”

“Pervasive Warming Bias in CMIP6 Tropospheric Layers” was co-authored by Dr. Ross McKitrick, an econometrician at the University of Guelph in Guelph, Ontario, Canada.​

Bob Wilson

 

About those claiming a bias in the climate models:

"You're either part of the solution or you're part of the problem." - Eldridge Cleaver​

Because Prius owners were and are accused of being "greenies," I paid for the book and took an online course to understand what the heck this former Prius owner was being accused of. I knew from the 1960s Venus satellites about CO{2} and planet killing, solar warming to ~900 F (475 C).

I don't fault those who offer counter claims about man made global warming. After all, I bought my past Prius because I am 'Yankee Greenback Dollar' cheap. That Greenback dollar is why I moved to a Tesla that I just completed an 850 mi trip from Florida coming $78.60. But I have paid to learn about man made global warming.

It is going to take some hard, from your fingers, data to even begin to make a credible argument. I don't discuss with 3d parties who are not here.

Bob Wilson

 

I knew of 17 simulations when I took my training course:

But the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change simply averages up the 29 major climate models to come up with the forecast for warming in the 21st century, a practice rarely done in operational weather forecasting. Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change simply averages up the 29 major climate models to come up with the forecast for warming in the 21st century, a practice rarely done in operational weather forecasting.​

So which one(s) are bad?

Bob Wilson

 

In fact, many of the models are designed for specific, regional issues that are important to the sponsors: For example, a country dependent on one region for growing food doesn't really care about their model accuracy of distant areas. Others may want flood control and population growth. So locally accurate is often more important than glaciers a continent away. But how extreme can these critics be:

Skeptic arguments matching the search climate model accuracy:

Arctic was warmer in 1940
BEST hides the decline in global temperature
CO2 effect is saturated
DMI show cooling Arctic
Glaciers are growing
Increasing CO2 has little to no effect
IPCC admits global warming has paused
It's the sun
Models are unreliable
UAH atmospheric temperatures prove climate models and/or surface temperature data sets are wrong​

Notice that some skeptics claim the exact opposite of observation such has "DMI show cooling Arctic." Fortunately, the source I use does a critical analysis of these often narrow claims, Skeptical Science. So why do I care?

A prominent climate denier, lives in Huntsville and works for University of Alabama Huntsville (UAH):

John R. Christy is the Distinguished Professor of Atmospheric Science and Director of the Earth System Science Center at The University of Alabama in Huntsville .​

He is also The Alabama Office of the State Climatologist

Dr. John R. Christy. It is the role of the Office of State Climatology to provide weather and climate information to the public and private interests.​

I have a more relaxed opinion about climate denial ... Mother Nature Doesn't Care. I don't care that much either as the physics and chemistry of man made CO{2} remains as real as lead melts on Venus. Rather, I am a "Greenback Yankee Dollar" parsimonious person (i.e., cheap.)

I've long since narrowed my climate interest to satellite observations of polar ice, overall decreasing, and sea level, overall rising. Both are subject to local variations that unethical people have and will claim proves there is no global warming. Including a fabled king in England:

Today, Cnut is remembered primarily for the fable about the king and the sea. This asserts that King Cnut sat on the seashore and tried to command the tide not to touch his feet, yet the sea ignored him.​

A funny thing is those who deny manmade global warming seem to be unreliable in other empirical areas too. Regardless, there is a Nobel Prize awaiting the climate denier who shows CO{2} has no thermal properties affecting planetary temperatures. ... Go For It ... without me.

Bob Wilson

 

Source: ‘Cascading impacts’ warning as Farmers becomes latest insurer to quit Florida | Florida | The Guardian

Farmers Insurance became the latest property insurer to pull out of Florida on Tuesday despite repeated efforts by the state’s legislature and its Republican governor, Ron DeSantis, to try to calm the volatile market that is making home ownership less affordable.

Farmers informed the state that it was discontinuing new coverage of auto, home and umbrella policies. The company said in a statement that the decision would affect policies issued through its “exclusive agency distribution channel”. It said there would be no effect on 70% of current policies in Florida.

... The legislature has grappled with the issue each of the last two years, including a special session in December.

Most of the focus has been on shielding insurance companies from lawsuits and setting aside money for re-insurance to help protect insurers. The state’s insurance regulation office sent a letter to Farmers responding to the notice that it does not plan to write new policies.​

So if individuals and companies can not get auto or building insurance, can anyone afford to live in Florida? Or anywhere else?

Lamentations about climate models and advocacy means nothing when Muther Nature picks your pocket.

Bob Wilson

 

I have been 'day dreaming' about a solar concentrator to a steel pipe connected to a piston engine:

• Forced ambient air flushes into a cylinder.
• Cylinder compresses 8-15 times and exhausts air, one-way valve, into high pressure hose.
• Compressed air enters a steel pipe with an inner pipe so the air passes twice through the pipe.
• Pipe is at the focal point of a large linear, parabolic reflector, 1.5-2 m sun side, that tracks the sun.
  • The reflector ends are half parabolas but flat reflectors could also work.
  • For 1 m, the sun side would have 1 m**2 + .79 m**2 with pipe ends at highest temperature
  • Peak solar constant, 1.79 m**2 x 1370 W ~= 2.45 kW, 745 W ~= 1 hp
  • Solar collector pipe might have in a transparent cylinder to reduce convective losses
• A measured quantity of solar heated air is valved into the cylinder now at peak dead center.
  • Electronic controlled, cylinder, hot air injection valve as this is the throttle.
  • Rigid, insulated, pressure pipe attached to piston engine.
• Air expands as the piston travels down.
• Hot air is exhausted away from engine (Up?)
• Forced ambient air pushes last of it out and restarts the cycle.

A 'poor man's' Sterling inspired engine, the cold air heat exchanger is the atmosphere. The hot air is the high pressure cylinder at the focal point. So how does this relate to CO{2}?

Most Sterling engines use expensive helium as the working fluid with a gas tight, cold side heat exchanger. However, cheap CO{2} might be more efficient picking up heat from the focal point pipe. It would still require a cold sink heat exchanger. But the cold sink heat exchanger should have a second one located indoors. So in cold weather, we get space heating as well as mechanical or generator power.

For the cheaper open air cycle, the exhaust air would exhaust into the house and/or pass through the combustion flu of a gas fired, water heater.

The design goal would be generating 7.45 kW of power, enough for L2 electric car charging. Given at best a Carnot temperature difference efficiency of ~30%, it would require capture of ~25 m**2. So a 2.5 m width would require a 10 m run length. Not impossible but a substantial structure that could fit in my back yard. A modular design would allow scaling from smaller, experimental size to expandable structure as time and budget permits.

Bob Wilson

ps. On a cold, clear night, it could make cold air.