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It's official Toyota is full speed fuel cells for compliance after 2014

Discussion in 'Prius, Hybrid, EV and Alt-Fuel News' started by austingreen, May 13, 2014.

  1. hill

    hill High Fiber Member

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    thing is...... no one is gona inefficiently waste electricity via electric hydrogen distillation - when NG distillation is so much less wasteful..... and we needn't rehash how wasteful that is again.
    .
     
  2. 70AARCUDA

    70AARCUDA Active Member

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    ...in my best Forest Gump voice: "...Stupid IS as stupid DOES..."
     
  3. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    ha. Well merecedes and hyundai are calling their fuel cells electric cars just as you asked. ;)

    Hill who would possibly support inefficiently produce the hydrogen by electrolysis, why the california tax payer.
    News Release - California Investing Nearly $50 Million in Hydrogen Refueling Stations

    One reason for the failure of the hydrogen highway in 2004 was the all out corruption in bidding and requirements for renewables. We see here 6 of the 28 use electricity to produce the hydrogen. IIRC 3 of the 9 existing stations also use electrolysis. The only station in northern california uses remote electrolysis then the hydrogen is transported on a diesel truck to the refueling station. That should bring us to 9 of 37 stations in 2016 will use electrolysis. I don't expect that the inefficiency will really matter, as I expect that very few fcv, less than 10,000 will use the hydrogen.

    39% of plug-ins in surveys in california use renewable electricity today. That is about 70,000 vehicles, IIRC.

    Sonoma Index-Tribune | Sonoma News, Entertainment, Sports, Real Estate, Events, Photos, Sonoma, CA
     
    #263 austingreen, Jun 3, 2014
    Last edited: Jun 3, 2014
  4. Scorpion

    Scorpion Active Member

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    From the article:

    "By changing guidelines for fuel cell vehicles: By the end of the month, Japan's Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry will loosen regulations on fuel cell vehicles. Soon, FCV owners will be able to fill their hydrogen tanks to 875 atmospheres, substantially higher than the 700 atmospheres allowed under current law. The boost in capacity will allow fuel cell vehicles to travel 20 percent farther than they currently do."

    875 atmospheres!? Isn't that like 12,900 psi?!
    Are there tanks that can even handle that? I thought CF tops out at about 10,001 psi

    I don't think 'eco-minded drivers' are necessarily "anti-fuel-cell" as opposed to just being very "pro-EV".
    Environmentalists don't have anything against FCV's per se, but they do against H2, and its possible production methods.
    And it's not just about the environment.......even if we could produce H2 on a large scale using reformation of NG with 100% capture and sequestration of all CO2 (making it a truly 100% Zero-Emissions Vehicle), I think most environmentalists (and those concerned with reducing foreign oil usage, such as myself) would STILL object to FCV's/H2 on economic/cost grounds.
    In that sense, FCVs+H2 are sort of in the same category as nuclear power and coal w./ carbon-capture.....definitely lower emissions than what we have, but not necessarily the best use of scarce funds, as opposed to (in the environmentalists' minds, at least; I don't agree) more improvements in solar/wind/grid storage.
    Bottom line: building the H2 infrastructure is way too costly compared to improving the grid (that we already have) to accommodate EV's.
    You many not care whether your 'EV' is powered by electricity stored in a battery or H2, but the average consumer sure will, because it will make a substantial difference in how much the fuel is going to cost.
     
    #264 Scorpion, Jun 3, 2014
    Last edited: Jun 3, 2014
  5. Scorpion

    Scorpion Active Member

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    And, from the original incident that coined the term (and, coincidentally, involved a vehicle using Hydrogen as fuel):

     
  6. Troy Heagy

    Troy Heagy Member

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    So basically a fuel cell car is a natural gas car.

    And oil companies sell natural gas.

    I think I see who has hijacked the Japanese and California governments & told their politician slaves to start pushing for Natural Gas Cell cars. It appears the environmentalist/liberal leaders are just as "corporatist" as the GOP..... aka fascist. (The marriage of government & corporate power.)
     
    #266 Troy Heagy, Jun 3, 2014
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  7. El Dobro

    El Dobro A Member

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    Actually, the Hindenburg used diesel for fuel. ;)
     
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  8. Scorpion

    Scorpion Active Member

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    Oops....yep your right, H2 was only for ballast. :notworthy:
    Still, probably worst Hydrogen-related disaster in history.
    Makes me worried how our conflict-driven media will spin things if (when?) there is an accident with 12,000+ psi Hydrogen.
    This is probably worst disaster where I am pretty sure Hydrogen fuel was used :cautious:
    [​IMG]
     
  9. hill

    hill High Fiber Member

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    It's not just corruption in bidding req's that get me - it's the corruption in advertising via the California Fuel Cel Partnership and its crock of members that are truly damning - almost like when folks were fighting against the tobacco lobby's lies:
    [​IMG]
    Anyway - nice expose from
    Auto Industry Playing Dirty With Hydrogen - Blogs - Tesla Motors Club - Enthusiasts & Owners Forum
    .
     
    #269 hill, Jun 4, 2014
    Last edited: Jun 5, 2014
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  10. Troy Heagy

    Troy Heagy Member

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  11. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Its not false its misleading. The study actually says that bevs charged in california have lower ghg emissions than fcv will have, but they provided a graph that did not show the real data. Why CARB endorses misleading statements for fuel cells is likely a matter of corruption, since they are part of the fuel cell lobby. So here is the full statement where we can analyze it.
    Ok the first thing we see is it was produced by UCI, you know the university where the CFCP (the fuel cell lobby) paid for research that was favorable to them, then gave the professor that did the research the bulk of the money to build hydrogen fueling stations, even though it was clear he used his inside information and had never even worked at a gas station, let alone built a commercial hydrogen station. That just lets us know there may be questionable practices, not that we should discount the information if done right.

    First problem is with the second note. APEP used the average US grid to compare to new natural gas produced on-site hydrogen. This is a major problem since plug-ins don't go on the average grid, and fuel cells will only be at least until 2020 (5+ years) only be sold in small areas of california, and plans seem to include much more energy intensive trucking of some of the hydrogen to get it to stations.

    Here we have the second chart.
    http://www.apep.uci.edu/3/Research/pdf/SustainableTransportation/WTW_vehicle_greenhouse_gases_Public.pdf
    If you open it, you will find if you use the california grid instead of the national grid, the plug-ins bev has lower ghg emissions that hydrogen, and a phev40 is only slightly higher than hydrogen if charged from the grid. If you understand that 39% of plug-in owners in california actually use solar, the ghg reduction in a phev or bev is even greater.

    The answer is plug-ins in california according to UCI produce lower ghg emissions than fcv, unless california pays even more and gets a large percentage of its hydrogen from renewables. They did this work for members of the fuel cell lobby, and provided a misleading graphic that they could use for people that didn't actually try to read the report.

    When fcv are actually sold in california and someone actually tracts the trucks and reforming its likely to get much worse, as this letter suggests.
    Severe Issues with Fuel Cell Vehicle GHG Emissions Claims and Hydrogen Refueling Infrastructure Grants | CleanTechnica
     
    #271 austingreen, Jun 5, 2014
    Last edited: Jun 5, 2014
  12. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Toyota’s hydrogen fuel cell powered car ready for sale this December | RocketNews24
    The good news is we finally have some pricing and production figures from toyota, the bad news is this is for japan US pricing may be very different.

    So much for the toyota fcv being priced much lower than the tesla S as Lentz said in the fortune interview. In California though they may price it at $499/mo like the hyundai, but if only 50 are produced each month for the entire world, that means toyota won't lose much money as they won't really sell very many in california.
     
    #272 austingreen, Jun 6, 2014
    Last edited: Jun 6, 2014
  13. El Dobro

    El Dobro A Member

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    Not sell like hotcakes!? Heck, I don't think they're going to sell like Zeppelins.
     
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  14. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    Toyota may match the Hyundai lease, but if they don't release a price to buy it, they can't claim first FCEV for sale in the US.
     
  15. Troy Heagy

    Troy Heagy Member

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    Thanks.

    I don't have a problem with this, because the ultimate goal is to sell EVs and FCVs across the whole continent, using the national mix of coal, natural gas, hydro, etc. EVs are superclean in California & New York (hydro states), but they are barely better than a 30mpg gas or diesel car in Illinois, Ohio, other coal-dependent states (Source: Union of Concerned Scientists).

    I think if EVs are sold nationally (like the Leaf, Tesla, etc) then the national mix should be used. Also the graph shows solar-powered Fuel Cell Cars (hydrogen from electrolysis) is cleaner than California-grid power Electrics.

    BTW what do California EV owners do in months like this past May? It was cloudy almost every day, so less solar power generated. (Just curious.) I imagine they have no choice but to power their cars or homes off the grid.
     
  16. 70AARCUDA

    70AARCUDA Active Member

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    'Mother Nature' is fickle, while electric power companies are simply greedy (wink,wink).
     
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  17. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    How many fuel cell vehicles do you think will be sold in the next 20 years in states that use coal for most of their power? If you said less than 1000 you are on the right track. In fact NY is not even a hydrogen state, they have no public fueling infrastructure.

    Now these surveys used 2006 for the national grid, but if the new EPA law works the US will produce 30% less ghg from power generation in 2030 than 2005, which should be easy since the grid is already cleaner by 14%,hell we are probably halfway there that figure was old. So is it proper to use an old national grid to predict the future emissions? The fuel cell lobby told us so in 2005, it said the grid was not getting cleaner.

    Now Mary Nichols, in sucessfully fighting the DOE cut, said hydrogen was ready for commerialization, and CARB predicted 53,000 fcv on california roads by 2017. She also said it was because fuel cell cars would be much cleaner than Indiana. What she didn't tell you, is CARB never hits a sales goal, and today estimates are less than 10,000 fcv in california or less than 20% of the prediction 3 short years ago, and Indiana, they definitely don't want fcv, and are not going to tax their citizens to put in fueling stations. Most believe, and that includes executives in GM, Ford, VW that fcv are at least a decade away from the technical breakthroughs needed for widespread sales. So what should the comparison set be? Should it be where fuel cell cars are likely to be, with a wrong assumption of how fast they will be adopted? Or should we say that fuel cell vehicles produce more ghg than plug-ins in California today, and will continue to burn more fossil fuel, and create more ghg than plug-ins in the future.

    Now UCS is right one of these efficient diesels or hybrids may produce fewer ghg in some states than plug-ins. A lot of the idea of plug in was to reduce dependance on foreign oil, and to reduce tail pipe emissions in our polluted cities. fcv also do these things, but there really isn't much of a chance they will sell in any kind of volume those states in the next 2 decades. If they won't do any good for 20 years, perhaps the US tax payer doesn't need to pay to force commercialization. Once they are ready and we have a price ($96K for a toyota fcv in japan, its a 4 seater that doesn't accelerate as well as a volt) that is at least doable for some volume, then maybe we should talk about big subsidies, but by then plug-ins likely will need no government help at all.

    Shouldn't they get counted by the energy they actually consume. These mainly sell in the states with at least average electricity, and people in California (39% poll) and Florida buy solar, and in Texas and Colorado buy wind, Oregon and Washington are so low in fossil fuel electricity it doesn't even matter. Now how are you going to compare that to the small number of fuel cell cars in California, and tell me that even though they produce more ghg than what plug-ins actually do, we should handicap those plug-ins because they need to run on the dirtiest oldest coal, and fuel cells with have perfect natural gas or renewables on site for generation. It just makes no logical sense to say plug-ins are worse because we have sold some in Indiana, but since we are keeping all the fuel cell vehicles in california they can be kept from electrolysis on the dirty grid. Its just terrably misleading, when you don't spell out that real plug-in owners actually buy renewables, and don't live on the national grid.

    Yes its a book keeping thing you are asking. Solar customers to get full credit for their system are not living off grid. They displace natural gas, often from ocgt out of state during the day, then charge off of natural gas often more efficient local steam or ccgt at night. If they set timers to not charge at peak (3pm-7pm in texas, noon to midnight in california) they add reliability to the grid.
     
    #277 austingreen, Jun 6, 2014
    Last edited: Jun 6, 2014
  18. Troy Heagy

    Troy Heagy Member

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    This question demonstrates short-term thinking. The goal is to replace gasoline/diesel with the cleanest technology available, whether it is EV or FCV, and clean California or dirty electricity Illiniois, Ohio, etc.
    I am not aware of this law. I know companies have been phasing-out coal with CNG electricity, so yes the grid will become cleaner in the future. Perhaps the study should use a projection of U.S. grid in 2050 and then estimate how clean EVs will be.
     
  19. 3PriusMike

    3PriusMike Prius owner since 2000, Tesla M3 2018

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    A lot depends on what the definition of better means (and other assumptions).
    Is better purely based on CO2 emissions? Or do they consider power plant emissions (NOx, CO2, mercury) vs conventional car NOx, CO2, etc?
    Or are they conmparing one clean car to one almost as clean car?

    If, for example, you build a perfectly clean car (whatever that is) but it is expensive or unpractical that very few are sold, what is this point?
    Perfect is the enemy of good enough. It is my position that pretty much any electric (BEV, FCEV, PHEV) is better than the average ICE car so why argue over minor differences. Even in coal states. A few cars aren't going to make any difference. If/when one or more of those choices becomes a major use of electricity, where will the ADDITIONAL power come from? Not new coal plants, IMO. So, IMHO, people should stop talking about this or that study that claims some differences between grid power in different states. Let's get to 5 or 10% EVs (BEV, FCEV, PHEV) then worry about the differences in choices. Universally it is better to fuel up with domestic electricity (clean or dirty) than imported oil. Once the cars are in place then fuel source can be changed. If you have an ICE car you aren't going to be changing the fuel source.

    Mike
     
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  20. 70AARCUDA

    70AARCUDA Active Member

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    FWIW...thanks to the "interstate" electric GRID system (powerlines between states), electricity goes & is consumed where the damands are, with total impunity as to HOW that electricity was actually created.