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Is The Chatter Dying Down?

Discussion in 'Fred's House of Pancakes' started by The Electric Me, Aug 10, 2017.

  1. The Electric Me

    The Electric Me Go Speed Go!

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    I started hanging around this forum before 2010. Mostly right in the period before the release of the Gen 3 Prius, which very closely coincided with the release of Honda's new Insight.

    I was researching my "next" vehicle and the excitement surrounding Gen 3 Prius, and the New Honda Insight, was huge. The two products played off of interest in each other.

    IMO The Gen 3 Prius really broke the glass ceiling in terms of Prius becoming a much more mainstream product. Seemed like you had long time veteran Prius owners and operators "upgrading" and a lot of new 1st time Hybrid Owners finally taking the Prius plunge.

    But in any case this site, was hyperly active. The interaction between veterans explaining and sharing Gen 3 experience, along with "Newbies" looking for any and all information about owning a Hybrid for the 1st time, made this place super alive.

    Fast Forward 7-8 years, and I still participate at Prius Chat. Having owned a Gen 3 Prius, and now NOT owning a Prius.

    But it really seems like in the past year or two, the chatter has died down. A lot of familiar or veteran monikers have seemingly disappeared.

    Prius Chat is still more active than many automotive websites. Newbies sincere questions are answered promptly. Responses happen. But maybe with the familiarity now created by Prius due to it's own success, and coupled with the proliferation of other "alternative" options, the buzz has died down.

    Maybe it's inevitable with any vehicle or product that a "Golden Age" or high water mark is going to pass.
    Prius Prime has been successful and has it's buzz, but it doesn't seem to match the excitement or allure to the uninitiated that Gen 3 created.
    You had people literally clamoring to be among the first in their region to say they owned a Gen 3, you had people tracking on the sea shipments of Prius, like a child watching the December night sky for Santa.

    I don't know what to expect going forward. Does it just level out and remain about as it is today? Or does Toyota create excitement in a new Prius that breathes new life into the whole Hybrid market?

    How about the Prius Family? Does Prius c, get a refresh or update? With Prius Prime, Prius c, now looks to be more related to Gen 3 than Gen 4, IMO.

    Where does Prius, and where does this site go from here?
     
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  2. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    i think it's quieter at times, hard to believe when the 'database error' shows up. gen 4 has been pretty busy, but if you're not involved, it's not as exciting.
     
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  3. ETC(SS)

    ETC(SS) The OTHER One Percenter.....

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    Before.
    ;)
     
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  4. Kevin_Denver

    Kevin_Denver Active Member

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    One thing I know for me is true is that I rarely post to ask questions as a couple of Priuschat/Google/Youtube searches in most cases gives me the answers I need, so I don't have a need to start a new thread. In the past when the cars were new, this wasn't true. Also the Prius used to feel like you were on the cutting edge (in a way) driving one. That's no longer really true (I feel). All of the buzz is around Tesla these days.
     
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  5. The Electric Me

    The Electric Me Go Speed Go!

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    I agree, that a lot of the "cutting edge" pioneer feeling surrounds Tesla. Toyota is in great part, a victim of their own created mainstream success.

    I was just thinking, if I could magically MAKE anything happen, and were charged with reviving interest in Prius, what would I do? This was specific to reviving interest in Hybrids, not making a full electric Prius, or longer range plug in. I'm talking NON-Plug In Prius/Hybrid here.

    The only answer that I could come up with, was to significantly increase the MPG's. Toyota has held the impressive and very marketable 50 mpg mark with Prius.

    But my thought was....has that become the 4 minute mile? The barrier that nobody thinks can be broken? (I'm talking with a Gas/Electric Hybrid-classic ).

    It's easy to say, but maybe impossible to do. *I'm not an engineer.
    But my thought was, you could steal a lot of thunder away from full electrics, Tesla, and more expensive alternatives, and "extend the bridge" for hybrids, if you could make a reliable, affordable 60+ mpg hybrid.

    I think if you could reach that mark? You'd siphon away from a market of buyers that suddenly would question the desire or wisdom in plugging in, buying chargers and worrying about charging infrastructure.

    I realize what I'm proposing here, may be cotton candy being sold by angels. That I can't possibly be the ONLY one that has thought of this. That Toyota and other automakers have probably TRIED.

    So I actually am asking. I know Prius Chat is filled with engineers and people more technically trained than I.
    Is the ceiling for a ICE, Electric Hybrid irretrievably tied to an around a 50 mpg mark? I also know people claim to get more or less now. But I'm generally talking about going from an "marketable" average of around 50mpg to a marketable 60 mpg or more.

    Or could one expect with improvements on all fronts....more efficient engines, stronger batteries, better lubrication-synthetic oils, low rolling resistant tires, lighter..not weaker....materials used in interior....that the envelope could be pushed?

    If you went "All In" in making the most fuel efficient hybrid-(any size)...how fuel efficient could it be?
    Blasphemy to some, but just for fun, imagine removing the constraints of perhaps trying to reach the lower emissions standards that Prius currently offers. Not something that pollutes the air MORE than a standard regular ICE, but perhaps a hybrid that simply matches or meets standard ICE emissions standards. Could removing those standards and the software and additional equipment needed to make those lower emissions standards be met....result in a overall more fuel efficient vehicle, that perhaps was more toxic from the tail pipe?

    Would being able to market that vehicle as a 60 mpg or more, but NOT being able to sell it as a Low Emissions vehicle really hurt it's appeal? Would Prius lose market if suddenly, you were burning even less gasoline, but perhaps not keeping the air as clean as before?
    Is this a way to push the envelope towards better fuel efficiency that people would not accept?

    Or is there simply a point where if you are using gasoline...with electric motors, you reach a fuel efficiency point that is not passable?

    Toyota has used the phraseology of calling Hybrids a "Bridge Technology". I think as long as ICE vehicles still dominate the market, that bridge for hybrids has not been crossed.
    But I'm looking at ways to get more people on that bridge, and how to make that bridge even longer.

    Sorry, I know this post is basically a series of probably very difficult or impossible...to answer questions. Or ....questions that are just stupid. I don't fear being stupid, it's been an advantage at times. But...all these thoughts were born out of thinking about the "popularity" of Prius 10-15 years ago, and thinking about how you could revive that buzz.

    With Gen 4, it seems Toyota has tried by making a even more mainstream, performance driven, no compromise vehicle. With comparisons to sports cars, and commercials featuring beautiful models turning to smile seductively at the Prius as it drives past. But fuel efficiency standards, while not decreasing, really did not significantly increase.
     
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  6. JimboPalmer

    JimboPalmer Tsar of all the Rushers

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    There are 'easy' ways to improve on 50 MPG. A single seat car can have less frontal area (or even cockpit seating, one person behind another) less weight, and less rolling resistance. It is doubtful that it would sell as well, or be as safe, but it would easily beat 50 MPG. Drive train packaging would need to change, currently the inverter/transaxle is side by side with the engine, if we want a narrow car we want to rotate that 90 degrees.

    Assuming you can get HOV lane access*, a single seat commuter car could sell at a low enough price point.

    *Mississippi has 0 miles of HOV lanes, 0% of those allow hybrid preferences of any sort. (nor to they have any state rebates for hybrids. But some of you live in this century)
     
  7. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    looking at it from toyota's point of view: a quick review of their p&l suggests, do nothing.

    from danny's point of view: who cares?

    from members point of view: plenty of 10 year old prius to try to help with, and lots of interesting things happening in gen 4 and prime.
     
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  8. The Electric Me

    The Electric Me Go Speed Go!

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    When I said, any size, I was thinking more of like Prius c.
    But I tend to not go as extreme in my thinking as offering a Single Seater or 2 Seater...because I think a Hallmark of Prius success has been not only being a hybrid...incredibly efficient but ALSO a truly viable all around product. It's a very utilizable. In other words, it's also a real car usable in many ways in the real world.

    I'm not really thinking "Hybrid Smart Car" like product. Even though I suppose it's an arguable and interesting idea and direction.
     
  9. CoastRider

    CoastRider Active Member

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    The majority of the posts I see on this website have to do with problems/failures/mechanical issues. And I guess that's normal for an auto discussion forum. After all, you can only promote the "cotton candy" and the good stuff for so long... then it starts getting old, or nobody cares anymore. (The heck with the fluff, let's see that huge crack in the windshield! :eek: :D)

    You can say, everything you want to say, about a Prius in about 10 posts. I have no idea how I got up to over 250!? And with all due respect, I will never understand the guys that are in the 4000 or 5000 bracket… Let alone 50,000!??? (Somebody should start a thread about the Prius chat addiction!) Do those guys do anything else??? Do they visit any other websites? Have any other interests? Hobbies? Relationships? Some admit that they very rarely drive... I wonder if they at least get out of the house, and do some exercise for their health??? If nothing else, just take a simple daily walk. Man, you talk about a sedentary lifestyle! Again, I don't mean to sound snarky, but some of these guys are logged-on for about 20 hours per day! (Then they wonder why they have to take all kinds of heart medicine.)

    My apologies to the forum, but I think the Prius is just another car... and I just drive it. :LOL: Unless something breaks, busts, fails, or leaks... I really don't have anything else to talk about. That should make everyone very happy! :) (y)

    The Prius is 20 yrs old now? There is nothing to get excited about any longer. Frankly, I don't understand why these "Prime guys" are getting all giddy and beside themselves. Big deal, so it gets 25 or 30 miles on a charge? :ROFLMAO: WAKE ME UP when it starts getting TWO HUNDRED miles! ;)

    I'm in the Prius capital of the world… California, Los Angeles County. Home to 2 million Prii? Something like that. And I'm surprised at HOW FEW of the new Gen4 I see. Maybe only 8 in the last year and a half? And maybe 4 or 5 Primes? (Perhaps I'm in the poor part of the County. :unsure:) I just don't think they are selling as well as people believe. Let's face it folks, the Prius is OLD NEWS! And with gas prices being so reasonable, most people will continue to love their SUVs and pickup trucks. (When I bought my Prius, not one family member, and not one relative, and not one coworker or friend said… "Wow! You bought a Prius?? Cool!" It was more like: "Who gives a shit! It's old, man, and nobody cares anymore! Hell with being "green.")

    Well, it's been nice knowin y'all. The Coast Rider is cruising on down the road… Off into the sunset. And yes, I won't let the door hit me in the nice person on the way out. :ROFLMAO: Have fun, take care, and please turn off the computer and get out and WALK every day! Enjoy God's blue Earth... before the North Korean missiles start coming over the horizon... :eek: :eek:

    Lock & Load.... :cool:

    And GOD BLESS all our Military members... veterans and those currently serving... Our prayers are with you!

    "If all people are brethren, then why are the winds and the waves so restless?"
     
    #9 CoastRider, Aug 11, 2017
    Last edited: Aug 11, 2017
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  10. The Electric Me

    The Electric Me Go Speed Go!

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    I agree with a lot (not all) but a lot of what you are saying, and that is kind of the point of my post. Because I can tell you...a lot of the negative things you are saying.....weren't always true.
    Maybe I happened to jump in the waters at a high water mark. That is before the release of the Gen 3. So a recession was inevitable. But I don't believe the pure hybrid concept or Prius HAS to be over, or in permanent decline.
    I suspect your negative Prius co-worker, would of been one of those people that NEVER would like a Prius, in any decade or time frame.
     
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  11. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    The peak Prius sales were September 2013 and there has been a slow decline ever since. It was as if a dimmer switch were slowly turned down. Even Ford has out sold the Prius for about 3-4 months starting late last year and only this month 'fallen down.' A big part has been evolution of the technology.

    We passed on a 2001 Gen-1 Prius because it did not have dumb cruise control. So we got a 2001 Echo with dumb cruise control and I kept driving the 1991 Camry, manual transmission, with dumb cruise control.

    When we lost our Camry, we replaced it with a used, 2003 Gen-1 with dumb cruise control. There were lots of new technology that needed to be understood and when broke, fixed. Yet the original Monroney sticker listed 52 City / 45 Hwy. After three months, my lifetime average reached 52 MPG City and Hwy and we kept it for 120k miles.

    I skipped Gen-2 for a Gen-3 with dumb cruise control because the engine was much improved. But I almost passed on the Gen-3 because dynamic cruise control and collision avoidance would have jacked up the price $8k. It was an option only available on the top trim. Our Gen-3 also got 52 MPG at 5 mph faster. So we sold the Echo and had nothing but Prius on the driveway with each backing up the other.

    Our next car was a used, 2014 BMW i3-REx, our first plug-in hybrid with 72 mi EV range that had a sensible, serial hybrid system. The 0.6L, motorcycle engine was right-sized and though not throughly tuned for efficiency, still gets 40 MPG on the Hwy. Around town, it is one of the top three, electrical efficiency cars. Although optically based, it also came with dynamic cruise control and collision avoidance and became my standard. We were keeping the Gen-3 as backup until an infantile problem forced failover to the Gen-3 and I had a chance to test drive a Prius Prime with TSS-P (dynamic cruise control and collision avoidance.)

    I test drove a 2016 Level 3 Prius but really wanted a Level 2 ECO. But the Level 2 ECO did not have TSS-P and the Level 3 had a moonroof instead of MPG. The Gen-1 went to our house keeper so we had the BMW i3-REx and a backup Gen-3.

    We replaced the Gen-3 with a 2017 Prius Prime because of TSS-P and high MPG. Although the 25 mile plug-in range was nice, it was TSS-P and high MPG that sold the car. My third tank went 2,100 miles before filling up. I drove to Knoxville, 470 miles round trip at 58 MPG to deliver my spare, Gen-1 pack to someone rebuilding their traction battery. Today we have a Prius Prime and BMW i3-REx on the driveway and I simply swap the J1772 charger when I leave or arrive home.

    Now I've never claimed to be 'the average buyer' but the absence of dumb cruise control aborted a 2001 Prius sale. Absence of TSS-P stopped a 2016 Prius sale and almost a 2010 Prius sale. Presence of dynamic cruise control sold a BMW i3-REx and 2017 Prius Prime.

    MPG is important but automated cruise control is a hard requirement. When the car can finally handle all driving with high MPG, I will be ready to buy. Perhaps BEV and the charging network(s) will be advanced enough to support cross-country driving BUT I would have no problem with a high efficiency, sustaining engine in a serial hybrid.

    The history of the Partnership for Next Generation Vehicle was aimed at an 80 MPG car in the 1990s. There were three USA contenders and my studies suggest an 80 MPG car is entirely possible. Heck, there was an EV1 that with NiMH batteries would have beaten Tesla by half a decade.

    I'm OK with 40 MPG for the infrequent vacation trips but love the 58 MPG our Prius Prime returns. In reality, it should be closer to 70-75 MPG but there comes a point of diminishing returns. But I really like EV around town getting 117-133 MPGe.

    Toyota tries many approaches include the hydrogen fuel cell of the future where it remains since PNGV was killed in 2001. Personally, I think the current fuel cell cars are treating CARB like a dog owner might hold their muzzle to a pile of dog poo. But some of the other Toyota efforts have looked like 'Oh this works, Scion xB, so lets fix it!' and the car soon disappeared.

    In part because the 'sheet metal' stylists insist on screwing up the aerodynamics and light-weighting is too often compromised. Overall I like Toyota continuous improvement but not every experiment works. Certainly the BMW i3-REx threw down the gauntlet.

    So the simple answer, here are my requirements for the Prius of the future:
    • autonomous driving - let me be an interested passenger, perhaps catching up on a Harry Potter movie.
    • EV city - the 25 mile range is a good enough but would not turn down a little more.
    • Gas/diesel/CNG Hwy - 58 MPG is good enough but would not turn down a little more.
    Bob Wilson
     
    #11 bwilson4web, Aug 11, 2017
    Last edited: Aug 11, 2017
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  12. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    gas prices have been low for an unprecedented amount of time, and the foreseeable future.
     
  13. Mendel Leisk

    Mendel Leisk Senior Member

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    I do get the sense that the chatter is dying down. Not precipitously, but yeah.

    Where could Toyota take the Prius? Everyone has opinions. Personally I'm not that excited about further mpg goals, though they're nice.

    I'd prefer a refocus on utility and practicality, which seems to be losing ground to "edgy" and "infotainment" these days.
     
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  14. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    agreed. would a more utilitarian interior increase sales? idk, more likely competition and gas prices.
    i think a bev would increase chatter, if that's what is desired. the future is clear, up to a point.
     
  15. The Electric Me

    The Electric Me Go Speed Go!

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    That's interesting, because....
    It seemed to me with Gen 4, Toyota tried to sell it, indeed did sell it based on it being a "No Compromise" vehicle. It was as if years of Prius being the butt of jokes, about being "ugly" or "utilitarian looking", even girly or feminine, all back-lashed into the Gen 4 being marketed as being sports car beautiful, and having a no compromise driving performance. We were suppose to "love" this Prius, because of how much it was like other cars, not because of how much is was NOT like other cars.

    If The Movie "The Other Guys" showed a Prius riddled with bullets....The Gen 4 Prius Superbowl commercial presented The Prius as a viable "Get Away" vehicle...escaping capture in high speed pursuit.

    MPG, utility, and practicality were not attributes promoted. And I'm not sure it worked.

    To me however, MPG is key...and I don't separate it from practicality. Because bottom line....whatever anyone says about cleaner emissions, and saving the earth...nobody would buy a Prius, if it was everything a Prius is...but only got 24 mpg. In the end, I think most of us at least on one level, buy a Prius because we want that fantastic hybrid fuel efficiency.

    I think you keep utility...and you keep practicality. You can't afford to lose those attributes. BUT...
    I firmly believe to really renew, or create new interest or buzz, you do need a significant evolution forward in what Hybrid fuel efficiency can be.

    Part of this belief? Comes from my Honda Fit. In city? There is a significant MPG gap between my Fit and what my Prius offered. In mixed driving...The Prius won hands down as well...BUT....

    On a long straight highway drive? I can get The Fit up near the 40+ mpg mark. And that's pretty good. And that's without a battery or electric motors attached. The Prius was still the better long road trip vehicle in terms of fuel efficiency....but not that much better.

    At some point, I think improving MPG efficiency becomes the do or die prospect for Hybrids.
     
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  16. fotomoto

    fotomoto Senior Member

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    Lots of good reasons already posted especially Tesla and other makers with viable EV/PHEV products; however, I have another one.

    On adult forums (NO not those kinds!!! :p ), I've come to notice there's always a slow down in posts during the summer that peaks around August. I think it's because folks are away on vacations, family time, or just out and about more. I've also found another thing happens in the winter on motorcycle forums and so have others; in fact, there is an acronym for the slowly eroding behavior by those riders that occurs during the cold, dark periods: PMS (parked motorcycle syndrome). :confused:

    When gas prices rise again or Toyota comes out with a hybrid with.... ahem.... a little more "pizazz", you'll see a big uptick in forum traffic.
     
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  17. Tideland Prius

    Tideland Prius Moderator of the North
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    Depends what they do with c and v.

    How can they market the c (Aqua)? Sure, mpg will increase but can they make a hot hatch out of it? That'll get some attention and get some modders into the fold. Not necessarily a "GTI" level of performance but at least one that is 0-60 in 8-9 sec and can take advantage of the better chassis.

    v? Well you have to differentiate it from the R4h. They can either make it a shooting brake (since they'll probably lower the ground clearance for added mpg) or make a pseudo 7-seater for the North American market (like the Model S..5+2). A low floor and modest seat height will make for a very comfortable seating position (and an illusion that you're sitting up high) and allow for battery and fuel tank packaging under the 2nd row.
     
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  18. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    we've moved from the enthusiast phase to the 'help, my prius is broken' phase.
     
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  19. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Interesting, I checked my 'ignore user' list and two have been gone for a month. Hummmmm, the anti-troll effect, fewer posters.

    Bob Wilson
     
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  20. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    we've moved from@18. I see these as having a lot of overlap and not serial. In addition there is more recent discussion of other related vehicles. Because now there are more other related vehicles. How do the various Prius relate to those others? Where else would one look for such discussions? Also side discussions of how Prius get modified.

    A parallel development may relate to maturity (over maturity?) of this chat group. Here we also talk about non-Prius things, with folks with some shared Priusness. If somebody (let's suppose that I am not talking about me :rolleyes:) wants to pursue a non-Prius topic, here there may be a level of 'comfort' and expectation that it will not go to hellinahandbasket. This is a matter of congeniality, amplified by a broad range of expertise among participants. I suppose other car-chat groups might offer similar? No, really I don't.

    ignore user@19. Oh Baaahb.
     
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