1. Attachments are working again! Check out this thread for more details and to report any other bugs.

Update on James Hansen

Discussion in 'Environmental Discussion' started by bwilson4web, Jun 18, 2018.

  1. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

    Joined:
    Nov 25, 2005
    27,165
    15,409
    0
    Location:
    Huntsville AL
    Vehicle:
    2018 Tesla Model 3
    Model:
    Prime Plus
    Source: James Hansen wishes he wasn't so right about global warming

    Hansen projected that by 2017, the globe's five-year average temperature would be about 1.85 degrees (1.03 degree Celsius) higher than the 1950 to 1980 NASA-calculated average. NASA's five-year average global temperature ending in 2017 was 1.48 degrees above the 30-year average. (He did not take into account that the sun would be cooling a tad, which would reduce warming nearly two-tenths of a degree Fahrenheit, said the Scripps Institution of Oceanography's Jeff Severinghaus.)
    . . .
    Hansen, still at Columbia University, has been arrested five times for environmental protests. Each time, he hoped to go to trial "to draw attention to the issues" but the cases were dropped. He writes about saving the planet for his grandchildren, including one who is suing the federal government over global warming inaction. His advocacy has been criticized by scientific colleagues, but he makes no apologies.

    "If scientists are not allowed to talk about the policy implications of the science, who is going to do that? People with financial interests?" Hansen asked.

    Bob Wilson
     
  2. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

    Joined:
    May 11, 2005
    107,801
    48,998
    0
    Location:
    boston
    Vehicle:
    2012 Prius Plug-in
    Model:
    Plug-in Base
    does he drive a prius?
     
  3. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

    Joined:
    Apr 10, 2004
    8,995
    3,507
    0
    Location:
    Kunming Yunnan China
    Vehicle:
    2001 Prius
    "sun would be cooling"

    :rolleyes: Wrong ideas just jump off pages and hurt my eyes :rolleyes:

    Not cooling - not getting its magnetic field in so many localized twisties.

    Who is it gets to decide how much things should be dumbed down for mass market? Not Seth Borenstein I hope.

    This was attributed to Severinghaus but I can't quite bring myself to troll him about it.
     
    #3 tochatihu, Jun 19, 2018
    Last edited: Jun 19, 2018
  4. Leadfoot J. McCoalroller

    Leadfoot J. McCoalroller Senior Member

    Joined:
    May 12, 2018
    6,844
    6,487
    1
    Location:
    Pennsylvania
    Vehicle:
    2018 Prius c
    Model:
    Two
    More like, "Does he drive?"

    I mean, I like the fact that our new car uses a lot less fuel than the old one, but try as I might I can't convince myself that anything with empty seats and air conditioning is doing the planet any favors.
     
    Trollbait likes this.
  5. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

    Joined:
    May 11, 2005
    107,801
    48,998
    0
    Location:
    boston
    Vehicle:
    2012 Prius Plug-in
    Model:
    Plug-in Base
    if we're alive, we're killing the planet. it's only a matter of degree.
     
    Dxta likes this.
  6. srivenkat

    srivenkat Active Member

    Joined:
    Feb 28, 2011
    596
    91
    0
    Location:
    IL
    Vehicle:
    2021 Prius Prime
    Model:
    XLE
    Some recent issues with the HV battery in my 2007 HyCam have caused me to look at proposals for HV battery replacement. I am trying to recondition the battery. But it has left me wondering about the potential environmental footprint of 2 NiMH batteries for many hybrids on the road today. I am curious. Is the environmental footprint of the fuel saved by a hybrid battery failing at 10 years/120K miles more than environmental footprint of the HV battery production itself?

    TIA.
     
  7. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

    Joined:
    Apr 10, 2004
    8,995
    3,507
    0
    Location:
    Kunming Yunnan China
    Vehicle:
    2001 Prius
    Fuel savings amount to about 18 tons of CO2 in 120 k miles.

    I do not know envtl. footprint of battery manufacture. Perhaps someone will say. Metals go in, but they are apparently mostly or fully recycled. A pure guess that $100 worth of electricity is required. It surely could not be $1000 if a replacement battery retails for $2000.

    $100 electricity based on US (not Japan) data leads to a half a ton of CO2 emission. compare to fuel savings above.

    EDIT - using other numbers $100 electricity could be a ton of CO2. Not half a ton.

    Again this is not a complete analysis. Looking around web for better work, I found a May 2013 reference to a famous study called "Dust to dust" that old timers here will remember as being debunked long before 2013. But myths are durable - perhaps even more so than big batteries.
     
    #7 tochatihu, Jul 18, 2018
    Last edited: Jul 18, 2018
    srivenkat likes this.
  8. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

    Joined:
    Nov 25, 2005
    27,165
    15,409
    0
    Location:
    Huntsville AL
    Vehicle:
    2018 Tesla Model 3
    Model:
    Prime Plus
    If you had a big pit, 50m diameter and 30m deep filled with no longer serviceable NiMH and LiON batteries, a mining company using Congo kids would make a mint!

    I continue to offer myself and a shovel to dig up landfills with hybrid batteries.

    Bob Wilson
     
    srivenkat likes this.
  9. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

    Joined:
    Apr 10, 2004
    8,995
    3,507
    0
    Location:
    Kunming Yunnan China
    Vehicle:
    2001 Prius
    Toyota still pays bounty on batteries although it may be less than $200 now and in other countries. Other car mfrs??

    Press releases here and there about retired batteries used for electrical grid support. But what fraction goes thataway vs. recycling??

    Landfilling, I feel confident, is fate for about none of these batteries.

    And lay off those Congo kids, Bob-O
     
    srivenkat likes this.
  10. srivenkat

    srivenkat Active Member

    Joined:
    Feb 28, 2011
    596
    91
    0
    Location:
    IL
    Vehicle:
    2021 Prius Prime
    Model:
    XLE
    Thanks for the info. I was also wondering about emissions (GWP) with mining and the eventual dumping of these batteries in the landfill and streams once there's no more demand for NiMH (and in 2 or 3 decades for LiIon, once some other battery tech becomes prominent) and manufacturers are not mandated to receive and recycle them for free. I wish Governments would charge a recycling fee for every consumer product sold and then accepted them for free for recycling, that way protecting landfills and streams, rather than leaving recycling to market forces which don't care for the environment.
     
  11. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

    Joined:
    May 11, 2005
    107,801
    48,998
    0
    Location:
    boston
    Vehicle:
    2012 Prius Plug-in
    Model:
    Plug-in Base
    we can't even pass a bottle bill in a blue state.:rolleyes:
     
    rbdigital likes this.
  12. Zythryn

    Zythryn Senior Member

    Joined:
    Apr 28, 2008
    6,176
    4,171
    1
    Location:
    Minnesota
    Vehicle:
    Other Electric Vehicle
    Model:
    N/A
    That’s because the myths are even more recyclable than the batteries :rolleyes:
     
    srivenkat likes this.
  13. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

    Joined:
    Apr 10, 2004
    8,995
    3,507
    0
    Location:
    Kunming Yunnan China
    Vehicle:
    2001 Prius
    Global nickel mining about 2 million tons per year (but seems to vary a lot). About 70% goes into stainless steel, which seems to be a moderately well-recycled category. Long typical service lives, but a market for melting exists when that ends.

    Secondary batteries took ~5% of nickel when I first looked about a decade ago. It is probably higher now, but 10% may be doubtful.

    Other nickel goes into superalloys. Aerospace and outer space stuff.

    As so often it is hard to infer energy consumption of nickel ore mining. Just now a kilogram of nickel costs about USD$13. But If a Prius battery has 20 kg, that becomes $260. If all that money was for electricity (CO2), it may represent as much as 2 1/2 tons. But it cannot possibly be all.

    If a Prius battery has 20 kg, $260, it also makes a $200 bounty looks like short sheeting. But Toyota has got to make a buck here or there.

    In any case, secondary batteries will recycle not landfill, especially in future when more numerous. Bob W is offering less than it might appear with his shovel. Knows it ain't gonna happen.
     
    srivenkat likes this.
  14. wjtracy

    wjtracy Senior Member

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 2006
    11,314
    3,588
    1
    Location:
    Northern VA (NoVA)
    Vehicle:
    Other Hybrid
    Model:
    N/A
    Well 2007 Camry is not the best case to salvage, as far as calculating footprint..
    Let's say a 2018 CAMRY getting 50 MPG vs. say 35 MPG without hybrid.
    You save about 800 gallons gas over 150k miles.
    My thought that probably pays off in eco sense.
     
    srivenkat likes this.
  15. srivenkat

    srivenkat Active Member

    Joined:
    Feb 28, 2011
    596
    91
    0
    Location:
    IL
    Vehicle:
    2021 Prius Prime
    Model:
    XLE
    Thanks for the info. I wonder which is more detrimental to the environment, between NiMH and LiIon. Or which is more easily recyclable?
     
  16. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

    Joined:
    Apr 10, 2004
    8,995
    3,507
    0
    Location:
    Kunming Yunnan China
    Vehicle:
    2001 Prius
    Lithium batteries have several different chemistries, differing in recycle-trouble. NiMH is easier than any of those.

    Looking into this I learned of company named Toxco. They are tooling up for large-scale battery recycling for when the fleet grows.

    It seems hard to rank ugliness of metal-ore extraction. Ni and Li may both be around the middle. Gold is a real stinker, sorry to say. If coal belonged in this group it would win for sure.
     
  17. Zythryn

    Zythryn Senior Member

    Joined:
    Apr 28, 2008
    6,176
    4,171
    1
    Location:
    Minnesota
    Vehicle:
    Other Electric Vehicle
    Model:
    N/A
    I’m not sure how much should be read into this, the US government categorizes Li batteries as ‘non-toxic’. I believe Ni batteries are categorized as ‘toxic’.
    However, both should be recycled and treated properly.
     
  18. Dxta

    Dxta Senior Member

    Joined:
    Nov 7, 2016
    1,932
    766
    0
    Location:
    Lagos
    Vehicle:
    2008 Prius
    Model:
    II
    Bisco!!! So funny with comments. I don't think he drives even a VW. He's kinda looking for publicity maybe.
     
    bisco likes this.
  19. mikefocke

    mikefocke Prius v Three 2012, Avalon 2011

    Joined:
    Nov 3, 2012
    3,647
    1,629
    0
    Location:
    Sanford, NC
    Vehicle:
    Other Hybrid
    Model:
    Limited
    Hybrid batteries can be used as power storage devices even after they are no longer suitable for automotive use. The balance between cells is not so critical for lower instantaneous power draws apparently. I've seen articles where Nissan batteries are being used that way. Probably because there are so many Nissan batteries that have become marginal because of the way they don't cool them.
     
    tochatihu likes this.
  20. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

    Joined:
    Apr 10, 2004
    8,995
    3,507
    0
    Location:
    Kunming Yunnan China
    Vehicle:
    2001 Prius
    Have read many times that some traction batteries were getting retired into grid storage. But no one makes a list it seems?

    Biggest drawback of this application appears to be combined recharge/discharge efficiency. It just adds to other inefficiencies in power generation and transmission.