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Selling some TSLA for $420

Discussion in 'Tesla' started by bwilson4web, Dec 19, 2019.

  1. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    read the most ridiculous article in business insider yesterday. must have been one of the shorts.

    trying to defraud the public (investors?) by claiming that fcev's will soon take over and surpass bev's, and tesla and musk will be left in the dust.

    'they already have 5 minute refuel time'

    'they already have longer range'

    'all they need is':

    infrastructure
    a deal with natural gas companies
    mass production to bring down costs.

    yeah, no problem :p
     
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  2. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    I saw a synopsis of the same article and remembered, "There’s a Sucker Born Every Minute." There was also a brief YouTube showing a Taycan Turbo doing a maximum acceleration ... pathetic.

    Bob Wilson
     
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  3. DavidA

    DavidA Prius owner since July 2009

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    These drag race videos must stop. They're making the new tech look as if only fools and idiots drive these, though, and sadly, that is partly also true. More videos from Bjorn, Ben Sullins, Joy, Raj and others like them are so much better, but unfortunately hardly ever filter to the top of "the news" that most people read and view.

    There's so much going for EV's and that needs to be conveyed to more eyeballs.
     
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  4. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    I see little evidence that Internet video/stories have any effect. Those I meet and demo our Model 3 remain surprised by what they experience.

    Bob Wilson
     
  5. hill

    hill High Fiber Member

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  6. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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  7. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    I’ve got a put for $560. Based on activity, I may increase it to $590 if evidence of a stronger SHORT ‘hug’ is going on.

    Yes I’m banking the results in gold stocks.

    Bob Wilson
     
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  8. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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  9. DavidA

    DavidA Prius owner since July 2009

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    OK, OK, I might have been off by almost two years in my statement above. TSLA is hovering around $520 right now. Wow!

    EDIT: Oh dear, $532 in aftermarket trading today. Could hit $536 tomorrow.
     
    #69 DavidA, Jan 13, 2020
    Last edited: Jan 14, 2020
  10. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Rats! Raised my most recent put to $595. If Tuesday is like Monday, I'll have to go to $645.

    Bob Wilson
     
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  11. DavidA

    DavidA Prius owner since July 2009

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  12. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Actually I set the next tranche to $990 because the buy/sell performance suggests a slow-motion, SHORT squeeze is going on. My primary clue are the huge, single daily buy events frequently followed by a day or two of 'quiet'. I'm seeing 2-3 such buy spikes events every week. The quiet periods allow the stock to 'settle' for the SHORTs' next raid.

    Basis of Estimate: Tesla, Inc. Common Stock (TSLA) Short Interest | Nasdaq

    12/31/2019 - $26,259,152​

    The $26 B has per share increased with the share cost BUT the SHORTs clearing out their position has reduced their exposure (at some loss today.) Just the current situation if not kind to the last SHORTs to leave.

    Another patten I'd noticed is three days before the earnings report data, Jan 29, 2020, there is a local peak in TSLA stock price. So if I see a good opportunity on Monday, Jan 27, 'carpe diem.'

    Bob Wilson
     
  13. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Source: Global Surface Temperature: Going Down the Up Escalator, Part 1

    [​IMG]
    Called climbing the down escalator, it happens when the primary signal is mixed with noisy data. So anyone with a 'short range' view will select temporary downward trends only to ignore the upward spikes. This pattern is what I'm seeing the TSLA price. But there is a calculus trick that attenuates the noise:
    • plot the first smooth line connecting the local 'maximum' values
    • plot a second smooth line connecting the local 'minimum' values
    • a trend line between these two curves is the long term, rise (or lower) curve
    My expectation is the next price jump should be after hours Thursday and/or Friday. There will also be another early Monday. Then a period of 'noise' while the stock trends downward.

    Bob Wilson
     
  14. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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  15. Priuslover09

    Priuslover09 Member

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    Is the Tesla 2020 model?
     
  16. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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  17. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    'tesla short files unintended accelleration petition with the nhtsa, stock rises'. :ROFLMAO:
     
  18. hill

    hill High Fiber Member

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    that's got to be frustrating.
    shorters may need to pull a Carlos Ghosn on him ~

    .
     
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  19. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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  20. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Then there is the pending Model Y release. CARB already has a Tesla communication with that EV characteristics.

    Bob Wilson