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What is an electricity guzzler?

Discussion in 'EV (Electric Vehicle) Discussion' started by Trollbait, Aug 8, 2021.

  1. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    The concept of electricity guzzling EVs has come up in various threads, but we do not a cut off metric for what makes an EV a guzzler. The US still has a gas guzzler tax for cars, which applies to anyone with a combined rating under 17.5 mpg. That was set in 1991, so it is probably due for an update. The lower end of the F150 is 20mpg. So I'll use that as the bar for what makes a gas guzzler. A higher bar could be used, but with the US fleet average around 25 mpg, there will be more pushback to actually implement a change to tax laws to shift buyers to more efficient vehicles.

    The question is how to calculate a MPGe figure from that 20 mpg to define electricity guzzlers. It could be based on CO2 emissions.
    "In 2019, total U.S. electricity generation by the electric power industry of 4.13 trillion kilowatthours (kWh) from all energy sources resulted in the emission of 1.72 billion metric tons—1.90 billion short tons—of carbon dioxide (CO2). This equaled about 0.92 pounds of CO2 emissions per kWh."
    Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
    That works out to 417.31 grams per kWh. A 20 mpg car emits 445 g/mile. It takes 1.07 kWh of electric production to equal that much CO2.

    Plug that into the MPGe formula(Miles per gallon gasoline equivalent - Wikipedia) for 1 mile(we are comparing the carbon emissions over 1 mile), and the calculation 34.02 kWh(energy in one gallon of gasoline) divided by the 1.07 kWh of electricity, which equals,
    31.8 mpge

    Another approach is to use the energy used to make the electricity. Since the inefficiencies of the engine is factored into the 20 mpg figure for gasoline cars, those inefficiencies for electricity generation need to be accounted for.

    Steam plants are the least efficient generators that make up a large portion of the electric supply. Worse case is that they are 30% efficient, or they use 3.33 kWh of energy to make 1 kWh of electricity. Of course include the efficiency of all the sources for the grid, and it is much better than that. I am aiming for the highest MPGe figure possible here.

    This calculation is simple. Just multiple the 20 mpg by 3.33 to get 66.7 mpge.

    Of the 2021 model year plug ins, known do worse than 31.8 mpge, and only PHEVs can be found to do worse than 66.7 mpge in EV mode.
     
  2. Zythryn

    Zythryn Senior Member

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    While there are certainly less efficient electric vehicles, I really don't like using the term 'electricity guzzler'.
    It makes it sound equivalent to a gas guzzler. Yet, the most inefficient electric car is still more efficient than the most efficient ICE vehicle.

    Barring that, I prefer your second option.
    The first is such a low bar as to be funny:ROFLMAO:;)
     
  3. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    Guzzler does exaggerate the inefficiency when applied to BEVs now available in the US. Part of the issue is the perception in using MPG. An EV with a MPGe rating in the 70's looks a lot worse than those getting something in the 100's. The reality is that it is more a Camry or Rav4 to Prius comparison than Prius to Tundra.

    The only BEV that might have been a guzzler was the BYD e6. I'm not seeing a 2021 listing for it though.

    I do think a guzzler bar in the 60 to 70 MPGe is the way to go if we could update the Guzzler Tax. The PHEV's that were under that were mostly performance oriented, or power hybrids.
     
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  4. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    personally, i don't think we should be denigrating any bev's at this point. let's just keep up the investment, r&d, and sales, in the hopes that efficiency will one day be a concern that needs addressing
     
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  5. iplug

    iplug Senior Member

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    #5 iplug, Aug 9, 2021
    Last edited: Aug 9, 2021
  6. ChapmanF

    ChapmanF Senior Member

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    Am I imagining it, or isn't that already roughly covered in the metric you chose for the first method? Those tons of CO₂ came out the stacks of the generating plants, so already reflect the plants' efficiency. Multiplying by an efficiency factor gives me a double-counting concern.

    That could be where a difference comes in: count the CO₂ from generating facilities, and forms of generation that don't make CO₂ will look 'free'. Doing it that way would move the 'guzzler' bar to lower and lower MPGe numbers as the grid further decarbonizes.
     
  7. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    CO2 emissions does cover a part of it, but it ignores the efficiencies of sources that don't emit it, or as you say below, makes them look free. Then different fuels have different carbon content, and different plant types have different efficiencies. PV solar is probably the least efficient source on the grid, as little of the sunlight hitting the panels is converted to electricity. Of course, that electricity doesn't have carbon emissions,

    Here's another way to look at it. A car burns a gallon of gas to go 20 miles. Only part of the gasoline's energy is converted to actually move the car. The rest is wasted as heat. Let's say a third of the energy isn't wasted. That means 11.04 kWh is what it took to do the work of moving the car. A power plant burning that gasoline has the same level efficiency, so an EV would have 11.04 kWh to work with from that gallon of gas, which is 61.6 mpge to go 20 miles.

    The efficiency level I choose was worse case for major sources to the grid. It covers about 40% of those sources; coal and nuclear. Natural gas covers another 40%, and is 42% to 60% efficient. Accounting for the efficiency of actual electricity production will result in a lower guzzler bar for EVs.

    Yes, but there are other reasons to keeping a guzzler bar up there. One is time spent at public charging stations; less efficient EVs take longer to fill up. Another is level of renewable energy production requirements. A fleet of FSP EVs will need more windmills and solar to be built, along with energy storage.
     
  8. fuzzy1

    fuzzy1 Senior Member

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    Would this PHEV qualify as an electricity guzzler?
    upload_2021-8-9_12-14-16.png

    Conceptually, I agree with having the label for models that squander low-carbon or no-carbon electric energy when there isn't enough to go around to completely displace high-carbon electricity. But whether or not any models are bad enough to actually earn such a label is another matter.
     
    #8 fuzzy1, Aug 9, 2021
    Last edited: Aug 9, 2021
  9. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    If an actual car, that just misses having to pay the gas guzzler tax.
     
  10. fuzzy1

    fuzzy1 Senior Member

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    Yes, it is an actual car. Or two of them.
    upload_2021-8-9_15-11-9.png

    And there were numerous others not far above it.
     
  11. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    It's an SUV, a truck, which makes it exempt from the gas guzzler tax. Otherwise the tax would apply, as the cut off 22.5mpg combined, not the 17.5mpg I quoted above.
    https://nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPDF.cgi/P100F3YZ.PDF?Dockey=P100F3YZ.PDF

    That would increase the MPGe ratings I came up with. Maybe enough to snag the Taycan as an e-guzzler. The 67.5 mpge value would go up to 75-76.
     
  12. Leadfoot J. McCoalroller

    Leadfoot J. McCoalroller Senior Member

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    I'm fine with the idea of e-guzzlers.

    Mostly because I'd like it if people just knew more about energy in the first place, and considering the efficiency of various electric generation methods appeals to me.

    So why wouldn't there be electric cars that use a lot of electrical power relative to the work they do? "It's electric" should never be a free pass.
     
  13. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Its important to realize that you picked the 670 hp V8 version. I would not call it an electricity guzzler though Its simply using a larger turbo charged v8 with a battery to be more efficient. Your call on if its a gas guzzler. Its over $170K out the door and we don't need to worry about them selling all that many. People buy a lot of things they don't need but very few buy one of these and drive it a lot.

    Now the Cayenne e-hybrid is a different story. It is in that sport luxury segment and @455 hp. Is 46 mpge really bad?

    Compare Side-by-Side

    The similarly sized Lexus RX @295 hp gets 22 mpg. The Lexus LX gets 14 mpg from its 383 hp v8. Not that the phev Porsche is efficient @21 mpg at hybrid mode, but ... I would not consider it a guzzler unless you pick lexus's best selling model as a guzzler too. The phev version of the Porsche is only about $2000 more than the ice version, making that substitute to electric power a relative bargain. I think we can all agree the Lexus LX is a guzzler especially compared to a BMW x7 x40i which goes 50% further on a gallon of gas. It is not categorized as a guzzler though because its an SUV like the porsche.

    Perhaps a turbo 4 in an efficient configuration like the Rav4 prime would be much better. Hopefully Porsche can learn from it. If the Porsche was more efficient it could use a smaller battery or accelerate faster with one similarly sized.
     
  14. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    I would consider them all guzzlers by the Gas Guzzler Tax 22.5 mpg limit.

    The car manufacturers switched to SUVs for personal cars because they had lower design costs, and could be made more appealing to buyers, because of the less strict standards for safety and fuel economy trucks had. Manufacturers have also taken obvious cars (ex. Outback, HHR) and classified them as trucks for various benefits.

    The guzzler tax excluded trucks at the time of its passing, because pick ups, vans, and the few SUVs were mostly being bought for farm or business purposes back then. Today, SUVs have replaced the family wagon. If the above examples were actual wagons, they'd be paying the gas guzzler tax.
     
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  15. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Is 46 mpge on electricity worse than 22.5 mpg on gasoline? If we are taking the outdated cafe definition then the phev is much better, but this was about switching away from oil. What about in terms of CO2? Its 460 grams/mile of CO2 on the national grid, 390 g/mile in california versus 470 grams/mile on a 22.5 mpg gas car. Obviously you can cherry pick places that are worse, but how many Porsche phev's do Indiana or West Virginia really have? The co2 on gas is higher than your estimate because I used the epa's upstream emissions also, as I did for electricity.

    Now if hill bought one of these, I'm sure he would just add some more solar panels instead of trying to build a 33% efficient steam generating plant.
     
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  16. Trollbait

    Trollbait It's a D&D thing

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    A guzzler tax is about discouraging vehicles of low efficiency. Decreasing carbon emissions is important, but there are other negatives with having poor efficiency. In an EV, it would likely mean a bigger battery to be competitive to more efficient ones in range. Batteries are in short supply now, and when they are not, that still means more damages from making those extra batteries.

    More materials will be needed to make the renewable electricity production, and that is renewable energy not going elsewhere.. In the near term, it will likely mean more NG used for the electricity. The guzzler will need to charge more often, or for longer, which can lead to public chargers not being available for others.

    Here's another example, Compare Side-by-Side

    . The Karma Revero GT with the larger wheels has the same MPG rating as the Porsche. It has a much better EV rating of 62 mpge. It pays the gas guzzler tax.

    The numbers of EVs that could be counted as a guzzler are tiny at this time. Closing the injustice of that truck loophole in the gas guzzler tax is more important than going after the EVs. If that does get down, we should also address EV guzzlers, because they won't be tiny forever.
     
  17. dbstoo

    dbstoo Senior Member

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    If it were up to me I'd base the "guzzler" status on how clean the car is VS how clean it could be. For instance, The average streamlined BEV can be made to be efficient enough that the C02 per mile is close to 150 grams when fed from the average electrical grid. Even the Prius Prime hits 160gm/mile and the e-mustang hits 170.

    So why not base the standard on what others can accomplish? Not that long ago, 50 MPG was considered nearly impossible to do in a car that was driven normally with normal fuel. Now there are a lot of cars hitting that target or close to it. It's obscene that we still accept cars that have only 25 MPG.

    It would be reasonable to say that an E-guzzler is a car that causes 20% more GHG (Tailpipe and "upstream" GHG emissions) than the most efficient models.

    For instance, the Chrysler Pacifica creates 270grams per mile. The Porche Tycan is 190 grams. They have two different purposes, but if it's being used primarily to commute it should be as efficient as any other 4 seat sedan.

    Light trucks are a different kettle of fish. The automotive industry has convinced people that they need an SUV or 4 seat Pickup for everyday use, just in case they need to pick up 1/2 of a basket ball team. They get a pass on mileage because they are "work vehicles". I propose that we relook that.

    A king cab truck with a 4 foot bed is not really meant for hauling things. Once in a while something goes in the back, but every pickup I've been in during this last 5 years have been used as a fancy sedan with an open trunk. If you can't show that you are going to be towing or hauling regularly, the sedan standard should be applied. If you are just hauling trash occasionally, it should match sedan standards.
     
  18. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    The gas guzzler tax was initiated in 1978 to reduce dependence on oil - yes I looked it up. Did it work? No it has failed miserably in both generating government revenue and and increasing effieciency. How did it fail? If you look at the effect it is mainly charged on low volume expensive luxury cars, sports sedans, and sports cars where the penalty is not a hinderance. It did push automakers to shift demand from thirsty large cars and station wagons to SUVS. This effectively lowered CAFE for fleets. I don't think this outdated concept can get fixed easily, certainly penalizing energy inefficient phev SUVs as much as gas guzzlers like the Lexus LX or Toyota Sequoia can only be counter productive.

    Sting of Guzzler Tax, Frozen for Decades, Fades - The New York Times
    If you are worried about battery supplies in the long term, you shouldn't. Its a matter of building capacity. VW group which this energy inefficient porsche phev is part of is building a great deal of capacity as is tesla and its suppliers. Each sold almost half a million plug-ins last year and this year are experience rapid plug-in growth despite the chip shortage. There is a cost and weight penalty to being inefficient electrically for plug-ins, so the market will likely decide. On Gas guzzling SUVs, the market seems to be choosing fewer of them, but they are still a major problem.


    If you build new ccgt natural gas plants they are about 50% efficient to the plug. Oil is about 93% efficient to the pump. That means same amount of fuel energy for a 42 mpge phev as a 22.5 mpg gasoline light vehicle. I expect phevs to get more efficient in the future. Again the bulk of plug-ins sold in the US and china are the efficient ones. A phev is going to be charged in the garage a lot more than public chargers, but we need more public charging infrastructure. Tesla and VW are helping to build it out.


    I actually think they will be tiny percentage simply because making them more efficient lowers costs, and Tesla with its model 3 and toyota with its rav4 prime have shown how to make bevs and phevs more efficient. Others will copy them or improve upon them, or not sell that many plug-in vehicles.