One week before season opens, there have been some hurricane forecast updates. I have not seen notable changes in them. Sahara dust is crossing the Atlantic. As it often does this time of year, until the ITCZ moves north and washes it out.
H. Erick underwent rapid intensification (tropical storm to Category 4 within 24 hrs) before west coast Mexico landfall as Cat 3. In contrast, the Atlantic has been 'pacific'. Nothing in remote sensing hints at formation in Atlantic basin, so we can pretty much set aside the month of June.
