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The USA Needs a National Hybrid Retrofit Program

Discussion in 'Fred's House of Pancakes' started by Rokeby, Nov 29, 2008.

  1. Rokeby

    Rokeby Member

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    In 2009, the broadcast TV signal is changing from analog to digital. IIRC, this
    whole scheme as launched by the electronics industry with the
    approval/conivance of the federal gov. to justify/ameliorate the costs of the
    broadcast equipment. Somehow, this is a necessary good for the country as
    a whole. If you don't have a digital TV, then you need a converter box and
    there are numerous info spots on TV about programs to help defray the cost.

    So, why isn't there a similar program to develop and implement some after-
    market system for upgrading the nations bazillion existing vehicles to some
    kind of electrically assisted partial hybrid? And why shouldn't the Feds
    fund/subsidize all, or a major part , or at least half of the cost to the
    consumers... who after all, are/will be footing the bill for every one else's
    bailouts.

    I know this sounds whacko, and I know that with gas at less than $2US a
    gallon this idea isn't going to get a whole lot of traction... but gas will go up
    in price sooner or later... and if we go into a full recession/depression this
    would help a lot of people; manufacturers, installers, just plain folks.

    The big question I guess is what would the system look like that would have
    universal application. I guess it would be something involving electric
    motors connected to the rear wheels and a battery pack in the trunk.

    I would think that a 20-25% FE/MPG improvement would be a good target.

    So let's hear your thoughts...

    I expect negative comment... but I'm more interested in how something like
    this could be done.
     
  2. FL_Prius_Driver

    FL_Prius_Driver Senior Member

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    The real story has nothing to do with the electronics industry and everything to do with the US government making money with spectrum auctions and the National Association of Broadcasters trying to keep this spectrum from being sold out from under them. The end result of this Congressional/NAB battle is what we have now. This is very important for the rest of your discussion since the initial government motivation was to GET money from communication firms, not GIVE money to individuals.


    A couple of questions:
    1) What basis (Constitution, legislation, lots of excess cash?) justifies the government getting into this business?
    2) Why do we have to look to the government for ALL answers to ALL problems? You would thing after 100s of years of inferior government "solutions" we would figure out that big brother is not very smart when it comes to technology selections.
    3) Why can't I spend my money on the solution I want, not the inferior result that is guaranteed to come from a government "solution"?
    4) What exactly will the government create that is not being done better by industry right now?
    5) Who pays?
     
  3. efusco

    efusco Moderator Emeritus
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    As pointed out it's about money.

    While I think much could be done by having such a program to force/promote more efficient vehicles the cost would be huge.

    And let's face it, what's more important...reducing foreign oil dependence while reducing emissions.....or digital TV?? Clearly we must have digital TV.
     
  4. Rokeby

    Rokeby Member

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    Was down your way earlier this week; in Brooksville, Hernando County. Nice
    area, with the possible exception being how everything is spread out far and
    wide requiring lots of driving in between.

    My thoughts come from conversations with family and friends who are
    economically hurting already and are looking at a bleak future. Some are
    driving up to 60 miles to their jobs, in 10 yr old cars, with no chance of
    getting a new car. They have no way to move closer to their jobs. And what
    good would it do anyway when they're scrambling for part-time and temp
    jobs to pay their bills? They are confused and angry about being put in box
    and feeling like the lid will be closed, and the box tossed into the river. Out
    of sight, out of mind.

    I can't directly answer your questions.
    1) What justification was there for the WPA during the Depression?
    2) I see the government's job to be forward looking and if not actually lead,
    then to point the way. It would be a govt program based on industry's equipment.
    3) You could do as you wish.
    4) It seems to me that the condition of Detroit's Big 3 argues that they aren't
    in a position to argue that they know what's best/needed.
    5)Where's the money coming from for all the bailouts already/soon-to-be
    implemented?

    Memo to Treasury/US Mint: Fire up the presses boys,we need another $100
    billion!

    I couldn't agree more. Give us more scripted Hi Def "reality" shows. :confused:
     
  5. DaveinOlyWA

    DaveinOlyWA 3rd Time was Solariffic!!

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    money is not the issue really. its feasibility. what car has extra space designed in under the hood "just in case?"

    unlike older cars (i had a 65 chevelle that i could just about hide in under the front hood... a child could easily fit.

    today, you lucky if you can find an area large enough to hide something the size of a six pack under the hood... where you could put another motor at??

    as far as moving from analog to digital, there is a millions to do so, only legacy conversion costs (which are relatively small) to not.

    power savings alone will far outweigh the costs in just a few years. plus it frees up bandwidth for more programing. allows for more wireless communication products, etc.

    and sure, if the government can make a buck selling it, why not?
     
  6. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    Television is a great analogy. No matter how impressive a backward compatibility upgrade could be (converter box), the shape itself will continue to mismatch movies. Widescreen was the standard long before television. It's about dang time the shortcomings of 4:3 are finally being acknowledged.
    .
     
  7. FL_Prius_Driver

    FL_Prius_Driver Senior Member

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    No debate that the derailing of the economy has caught many unprepared. But this larger problem would not be solved, or even slightly improved with a government technology initiative. Heck, the government has already provided $25 billion to "improve" car technology and I can bet that you and I will see NOTHING in new technology from this. The track record of the government advancing auto technology is horrible. The track record of small companies is vastly better. Hymotion is just one example, but it should be clear that the new technology is relatively expensive.



    I can't directly answer your questions. Some lighthearted responses
    1) What justification was there for the WPA during the Depression?
    Very little, and rather ineffective from many viewpoints
    2) I see the government's job to be forward looking and if not actually lead,
    then to point the way. It would be a govt program based on industry's equipment. I see governments job to legislate, and properly done, could be helpful. But when it comes to government types picking technology, then history has shown dismal results
    3) You could do as you wish. And I wish that same freedom on everyone else.
    4) It seems to me that the condition of Detroit's Big 3 argues that they aren't
    in a position to argue that they know what's best/needed. Agree, but Telsa, Hymotion, Toyota, etc. seem to do fine without government help.
    5)Where's the money coming from for all the bailouts already/soon-to-be
    implemented? You know the answer as well as I do.
     
  8. Rokeby

    Rokeby Member

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    FL_Prius_Driver,

    Thanks for keeping this on a friendly level.

    I agree, from what I've seen, the answers will probably come from small
    businesses.

    Let's not get lost in the political weeds here.

    This conversation needs some hard data. Somewhere in the internet fog I've
    read about two possible candidates for the retrofit. One was a whole electric
    rear axle -- European in origin? -- the other was motors added to the rear
    wheels.

    My problem is I'm a rotten internet surfer, and now I can't find them again.

    Can anyone find cites/sites for these or other applicable innovations for
    inclusion/consideration?
     
  9. DaveinOlyWA

    DaveinOlyWA 3rd Time was Solariffic!!

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    addressing people who cannot change their driving habits is also another issue. mass transit will have a very hard time being accepted but must be nevertheless, but make the option attractive and people will come.

    i work at a company that hires a lot of entry level workers, (we have more ex-employees than MacDonalds@!!) and most make entry level wages ($9-11 an hour) for the entire time they are there. so i talk with people daily who struggle with daycare, transportation costs, etc. although they work full time, they are one medium repair issue from being stranded with little or no options, so a new car purchase (in most cases ANY purchase at all!!) is completely out of the picture.

    in an area like mine, primarily rural going all directions but towards the water, most are spread out and mass transit is a pitiful option (with recent budget cuts, its even worse) couple that with our 24/7 facility and even that is not an option for a large percentage here.

    but i have lived in other areas were mass transit was brought in . i was living in Redwood City CA when BART was being expanded back in the 80's, and there was HUGE opposition to it. costs too much, no one would use it, etc...

    but BART made it convenient, lots of trains, capacity, comfort, etc... and people came. and so will others if we make it a better option....and right now, we cant afford to continue to do what we have been doing.

    my employer also provides things like free bus passes (works for a woefully few because of near zero service area out in the rural county area along with limited service hours but at least they provide the option) subsided van pooling (no car pooling yet, but we working on that) etc... but they are limited by what options the area provides.

    van pooling does not really work because of the 24/7 nature and the over 130 different shift options, and the minimum 5 people requirement makes the logistics nearly impossible...

    so a HUGE investment in the current bus system is the most likely way to go. my local transit system already invests heavily in mini bio-diesel and diesel-electric hybrid buses. sure it will be constant planning and re-evaluation to insure money is best spent especially on the rural routes where ridership is much lower. the bus system also provides free daily shuttle service in and around the capitol during lunch hours to reduce people using POV's for lunch. and until they started running buses every 10 mins, that project failed at first. its now a runaway success.
     
  10. Godiva

    Godiva AmeriKan Citizen

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    It also has to do with keeping pace with the rest of the world.

    We are woefullly outdated in our internet/wifi infrastructure too.

    I think hybrid retrofit is a waste of money. But replacing current cars with hybrids/EVs and increasing the efficiency and availability of our mass transit is where we should be going. We're about 30 years behind on that.
     
  11. donee

    donee New Member

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    Hi All,

    There has been a program that could be a model of what could be done to implement hybrids. But its not a retrofit program.

    Many states and metropolitan areas have had "cash for old-car programs". These are aimed at cars with poorest emissions.

    A similar thing could be done for people willing to buy a hybrid better than 40 mpg EPA combined (for example). Or for people that would switch to public transport for commuting.

    Give the goverment the old, functional car, and they give you either a voucher good towards the purchase of the Hybrid, or mass transit passes.
     
  12. DaveinOlyWA

    DaveinOlyWA 3rd Time was Solariffic!!

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    actually considering the mass transit system in Europe when i was there in 1979 and how long it had been around, i say we at LEAST 30 years behind

    the cash for old cars program sounds awesome
     
  13. FL_Prius_Driver

    FL_Prius_Driver Senior Member

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    It certainly has crossed my mind of what could I do with the 2001 Prius for a second (electric) life. In every possible case, it ends up requiring the owner to become the entire service center AND spend a great deal of money. There are certainly many who have done electric conversions (http://metricmind.com/ac_honda/main2.htm). So far they are pioneers, not saviors.

    At the end of the day, the expense just does not work out as a method to save money overall. Someday this will change, but not quite yet.
     
  14. Neddleton

    Neddleton Yacht Club Prius

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    with falling gas prices we can all see this has been a scam
     
  15. Rokeby

    Rokeby Member

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    What is the antecedent for "this?"
     
  16. eagle33199

    eagle33199 Platinum Member

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    Unfortunately, i think such a program would probably be too expensive to run, even for the government. Think about it - the DTV switch requires you to buy a $20 converter box for each TV you own - and then only if you don't have satellite or cable. So even if everyone in the US had 2 TV's working no the airwaves, the total cost would be 300 million * 2 * 20 = $12 billion. Less than the auto companies are asking for in their bailout. When you assume that 75% of people have cable or satellite, that number drops significantly.

    Now, for a hybrid conversion, we're talking what, $5,000 if you're lucky?If the government subsidized half of that for our existing cars - around 150 million, i believe - you're talking about a much bigger pot of money. 150 million * 2,500 = $375 billion. And thats probably being generous.

    I, for one, don't want to see our country get another trillion dollars of debt.

    But despite the money problems, i certainly would like to see or national mileage increase :)
     
  17. DaveinOlyWA

    DaveinOlyWA 3rd Time was Solariffic!!

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    do know what the ROI is for every mile of increase per gallon is??

    look at that first, then comment on how much it would cost. considering the manufacturing woes we currently have in this country, i think a buyback of older cars with deeply subsidized loans for new hybrids would be best. base the subsidy on what is "American made" if you must. Only allow American built TCH and Priuses to qualify along with the (hopefully) myriad of TRUE hybrid cars from the Big 3(nothing in passenger under 40 MPG or SUV/truck under 30 MPG need apply!!!)

    realize that a 10 mpg overall increase in fleet mileage overall would save us in YEARLY OIL EXPENSE....50 billion? 100 Billion...if talking last summer, maybe even 200 Billion... high gas prices are not over. lets do something before they come back
     
  18. PriusSport

    PriusSport senior member

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    I don't know if retrofitting is feasible, but it certainly makes sense in view of the huge inventory of new vehicles which are basically dinosaurs in the current market. Some of that $25 billion would be put to good use converting that inventory to hybrids. It will keep people working and improve marketability. $4 gas has killed the ICE car market.
     
  19. TonyPSchaefer

    TonyPSchaefer Your Friendly Moderator
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    A few quotes from President Bush's State of the Union addresses:

    January 29, 2002
    Good jobs also depend on reliable and affordable energy. This Congress must act to encourage conservation, promote technology, build infrastructure, and it must act to increase energy production at home so America is less dependent on foreign oil.

    January 28, 2003
    Join me in this important innovation to make our air significantly cleaner, and our country much less dependent on foreign sources of energy. ​

    January 20, 2004
    Consumers and businesses need reliable supplies of energy to make our economy run -- so I urge you to pass legislation to modernize our electricity system, promote conservation, and make America less dependent on foreign sources of energy.​

    February 2, 2005
    Four years of debate is enough: I urge Congress to pass legislation that makes America more secure and less dependent on foreign energy.

    January 31, 2006
    Keeping America competitive requires affordable energy. And here we have a serious problem: America is addicted to oil, which is often imported from unstable parts of the world. The best way to break this addiction is through technology. We must also change how we power our automobiles. We will increase our research in better batteries for hybrid and electric cars. Breakthroughs on this and other new technologies will help us reach another great goal: to replace more than 75 percent of our oil imports from the Middle East by 2025. By applying the talent and technology of America, this country can dramatically improve our environment, move beyond a petroleum-based economy, and make our dependence on Middle Eastern oil a thing of the past.

    January 23, 2007
    For too long our nation has been dependent on foreign oil. And this dependence leaves us more vulnerable to hostile regimes, and to terrorists -- who could cause huge disruptions of oil shipments, and raise the price of oil, and do great harm to our economy.
    We need to press on with battery research for plug-in and hybrid vehicles, and expand the use of clean diesel vehicles and biodiesel fuel.
    Let us build on the work we've done and reduce gasoline usage in the United States by 20 percent in the next 10 years. When we do that we will have cut our total imports by the equivalent of three-quarters of all the oil we now import from the Middle East.


    He said we should go to war and we went to war.
    He said we should reduce our dependency on foreign oil and we went to war.


     
  20. Rokeby

    Rokeby Member

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    Here's an interesting idea along the lines of a retro-fit, any-car-can-be-
    a-hybrid:

    Retrofit kit said to transform cars into hybrids

    "'What makes our approach different is we don't need to modify
    anything in existing vehicles to turn them into a hybrid,' said Perry.
    'We install the motor in the space between the brake mechanism and
    the hub without any other modifications.'

    "According to Perry, 80 percent of U.S. drivers make daily trips of less
    than 30 miles at 40 miles per hour or slower, all of which could be
    powered by his 10-15 horsepower electric motors to save as much as
    120 million gallons of fuel per day in the U.S. alone, he claimed. The
    motors would be powered by extra batteries installed in the
    automobile's trunk.

    "To develop the retrofit kit into a commercial product, Perry has
    partnered with the Tennessee Technological University (Cookeville),
    which will will build a working prototype within a year with about
    $100,000 in existing funding. The next step will be to retrofit the kit on
    30 state-owned vehicles for testing. If all goes as planned, Perry
    estimates that within three years the final kits will be manufactured by
    Palmer Labs in a new Tennessee facility that would employ about 2000
    workers.

    "Perry said the kit will cost between $3,000 to $5,000"
    :rockon:

    Yes, I know there are questions unanswered here: "extra batteries
    installed in the trunk," no MPG figures, ride quality due unsprung
    weight, etc.

    Still, with any luck, it might have some merit.

    A lengthy discussion here:

    http://www.cleanmpg.com/forums/showthread.php?t=23246