2022 North Atlantic Hurricane season

Discussion in 'Environmental Discussion' started by tochatihu, May 19, 2022.

  1. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    Tropical Storm Fiona is centered southeast of Puerto Rico:

    TS Fiona.png

    At 7:14 PM Saturday their time. The entire island will probably get 5 cm rain, with high elevations >15. Then Dominican Republic, then start recurving over Atl Ocean. Looks like not much in Haiti which is good because they have weak infrastructure.Off shore for FL and so on. May eat some surfers there.
     
  2. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    Now-Hurricane Fiona has stayed south of friction mountains of Puerto Rico. How soon it turns north seems less sure than models assert. Haiti might get more action from this than we were hoping.

    It is still raining a lot across Puerto Rico, and electricity is not being supplied. Island leaders say that fix will be quick this time; let us hope it will be.
     
  3. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    governer declared disaster, president declared disaster, it sounds like a disaster :unsure:
     
  4. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    Rain seems to finally have stopped in PR. This was a good setup for very large rainfall totals across the island.

    It will be among the large events recorded in offshore sediments, possibly to be 'cored' by future researchers. I have mentioned sediment-core records before. Seems worth mentioning that events detected are not exactly hurricane intensity. They are rainfall amount and intensity in an interesting combination.

    H. Fiona is forecast to become much stronger by the time it reaches Nova Scotia or thereabouts. But first, Bermuda. Not Boston this time.
     
  5. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    Arrival in Nova Scotia may be the strongest weather event up there in a long time. Fall foliage viewing Friday only. After that it's downed trees for firewood collection season.
     
  6. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    i wonder if we'll get any rain from it. it hasn't stopped raining since the drought ended
     
  7. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    One lesson from the climate models is the extremes tend to become more so. The dry becomes dryer; the wet becomes wetter, and; the sea level rises.

    Bob Wilson
     
  8. fuzzy1

    fuzzy1 Senior Member

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    During my one visit to NS, relatives showed us some remnants and memorials from hurricane damage around Halifax. I don't directly remember name and date, but mr. google suggests it was Hurricane Juan in 2003.

    This one is appearing to be stronger.
     
  9. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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    H. Fiona's center of circulation is now tracking more eastward. Through easternmost Cape Breton, part of Nova Scotia. This is not a small difference ... if I may explain :)

    On eastern side of these spinners, wind speeds are increased by along-track speeds. On western side they are equally diminished. Our Fiona is moving fast. All of Nova Scotia thus now presents itself to diminished wind speeds. Those are still enough to remove leaves from trees, and do other damage. But overall wind-energy damage should be less. Yay.

    Total rainfall and coastal storm surge will still be large. Sydney (major city on Cape Breton, part of Nova Scotia) will still get whacked. But a small change in track (compared to earlier models) looks very helpful.

    ==
    Meanwhile not distracted, we see TS. Ian forming up, and intending to do very typical things to Florida's west side.
     
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  10. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    we're getting some strong winds from her
     
  11. tochatihu

    tochatihu Senior Member

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  12. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    looks like trouble with a capital t
     
  13. ChapmanF

    ChapmanF Senior Member

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    Just don't get caught
    with the cistern empty on Saturday night
     
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