Tesla stock

Discussion in 'Tesla' started by bwilson4web, Aug 6, 2018.

  1. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Sold a little TSLA to round-out my holdings:
    • 10/25/10 - $327.79 sell (buy "Full Self Driving")
    • 10/14/19 - $252.00 sell (taxes and tags)
    • 06/18/19 - $228.72 buy
    • 03/29/19 - $275.00 buy
    • 03/14/19 - $290.00 buy
    • 03/05/19 - $282.49 buy
    • 03/05/19 - $281.10 buy
    • 03/01/19 - $294.95 buy
    • 02/01/19 - $310.00 buy
    • 01/18/19 - $320.00 buy
    • 11/08/18 - $355.00 sell
    • 09/08/18 - $260.26 buy
    • 08/29/18 - $305.00 buy
    So I just got confirmation of having bought "Full Self Driving" which is covered by the stock sale. I still hold TSLA which of course in Q4 will have my purchase in the profit/loss.

    [​IMG]

    We know 'full self driving' will have a price increase so I wanted to lock mine down. This includes upgrading the video and sensor processing board with the high speed version Tesla designed. It is also 'Thanks' for the expected 5% increase in power which may also increase the range a touch.

    My expectation is there will be a 'SHORT squeeze' over the next few days or so. Trying to minimize their losses, the SHORTs will bid-up the stock price. But this is a transient effect. Looking at the Q3 financials will take a little time to absorb and that will raise the price more efficiently. My expectation is ~$350/share before the end of Q4. However, $420 is possible thanks to Gigafactory 3.

    Bob Wilson

    ps. I've noticed some Tesla competitors have recently made announcements about their self-driving and driver assists products. Having read Robot, Take The Wheel, Jason Torchinsky, I'm more convinced Tesla has the right approach and a fair price.
     
    #621 bwilson4web, Oct 26, 2019
    Last edited: Oct 26, 2019
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  2. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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  3. markabele

    markabele owner of PiP, then Leaf, then Model 3

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    nice! I just decided to buy Full Self Driving as well with the big stock gain and things said on the conference call. I just bought a ticket for a front row seat in one of the great tech stories of all time. Each step is fascinating.
     
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  4. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Let me know if you’ll have to get Hw3 and if so, how it goes.

    Bob Wilson
     
  5. markabele

    markabele owner of PiP, then Leaf, then Model 3

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    I'm pretty certain it will get installed eventually, but probably not until well into next year. My guess is it won't be until late next year or the year after that where you'll need it to get new features. Right now the current card works for everything they are doing.
     
  6. hill

    hill High Fiber Member

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    don't forget the berry pies.
    .
     
  7. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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  8. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    My experiment begins as I bought "Full Self Driving" Friday afternoon (10/25//19) AFTER selling part of our TSLA holdings:
    • SR+ Model 3, odometer 15,117 mi, +90% on Autopilot with 'thang' ;)
    • Very low traction battery capacity loss, 238/240 ~= 0.83%
    • Quarterly report that a "5%" improvement is coming
    • Cost avoidance of $6,000 versus future price increase
    Positive operational experience:
    • Basic AutoPilot has already saved us from adverse medical incidents
    • Auto-steer no longer 'hugs' the inside lanes but sits in the middle
    • Below 50 mph, default Traffic Aware Cruise Control (TACC) limits to +5 mph
    • TACC following traffic comes to a complete stop and resumes when lead moves out
    • 360 degree monitored, turn signal initiated lane changes are safe and predictable
    • NoA (Beta) works but lane suggestions are still a little strange
    • Summon works for short, 10-30 feet segments
    • Auto, parallel parking works sometimes
    Needs work, operational experience:
    • Intersections with angled cross street and curved, dashed lane line from left
    • Left turning intersection can lead to an attempt to drive toward the right-hand corner
    • TACC only uses Google Map, speed initially without a manual "I want this" speed set option
    • Does not read speed signs, stop signs, or traffic lights
    • Driving into sun with shadows can trigger phantom braking
    • Does not understand new laws to 'use left lane just for passing'
    • Does not change lanes to maximize distance from stopped police, fire, and shoulder vehicles on either side
    • Does not change lanes to makes space when traffic merging from on-ramps
    • Does not also sound horn prior to or part of impact (untested)
    So I'll contact Tesla support and ask if buying $6,000 "Full Self Driving" will improve existing functions. In particular, I want full range, parking lot summon and other function of other "Early Adopters". Also, how does the car show I've ordered "Full Self Driving"?

    Bob Wilson

    ps. Thang's cousin:
    [​IMG]
     
    #628 bwilson4web, Oct 28, 2019
    Last edited: Oct 28, 2019
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  9. markabele

    markabele owner of PiP, then Leaf, then Model 3

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    It should just be pushed to your car and is likely already functional on it. Look in your app. If you now have a summon option, then you have FSD.
     
  10. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    i asked my financial advisor about buying some tesla stock at $220. in august. he told me to run away as fast as i could :( needless to say, he lost a client :whistle:
     
  11. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    uplicate D (eat that Autocorrect!)
     
    #631 bwilson4web, Jan 13, 2020
    Last edited: Jan 14, 2020
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  12. markabele

    markabele owner of PiP, then Leaf, then Model 3

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    I got a few down in the $180's :)
     
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  13. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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  14. William Redoubt

    William Redoubt Senior Member

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    Why would you run? He gave you sound advice. Stocks are speculative purchases, and based on his analysis was not a good buy. Advisors give advice. You can do what you want with your money. I keep my spending hundos in a cup in a kitchen cupboard, and stuff my savings into mattresses Scrooge McDuck style.
     
  15. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    that's why he's not my advisor anymore
     
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  16. markabele

    markabele owner of PiP, then Leaf, then Model 3

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    That's a recipe for a poor retirement. Savings in cash is a good way to lose 2-3% of that money every year (inflation).
     
  17. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Pre-Q4 report, the stock seemed to wander between $545-565. It is the calmest its been since the recent price tear.

    Bob Wilson
     
  18. bisco

    bisco cookie crumbler

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    all quiet. here's hoping corona doesn't affect china factory or sales
     
  19. Zythryn

    Zythryn Senior Member

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    Not calm anymore ;)
    Seem Wall Street liked what they saw. At this moment, they are up to $647.39 in after hours trading.
    I suspect lots of the shorts that 'doubled down' are trying to close out ASAP.
     
  20. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    I had a sell order at $650 but got back in time to cut the quantity in half. I want to see the activity over the next few days to see if a "VW SHORT squeeze" Tsunami is happening. If so, the other half will be higher. If not, take the profits.

    Bob Wilson
     
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