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What steers your vote? Check your car

Discussion in 'Fred's House of Pancakes' started by jkash, Oct 6, 2004.

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  1. jkash

    jkash Member

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    What steers your vote? Check your car

    Driving around Long Island yesterday, it dawned on me the folks at Kelley Blue Book might be right: George W. Bush will beat John Kerry in November.

    He will beat Kerry, because Americans drive a whole lot of sport utility vehicles, pick-up trucks and minivans. He will beat John Kerry, because hardly anyone in America owns a Toyota Prius.

    Bush will beat Kerry because of the cars we drive.

    I can't prove this. But, if we are a reflection of what we drive - and, the folks at Kelley Blue Book, otherwise known as the automotive "Bible," say we are - then forget the bumper stickers that say "Bush is a Four-Letter Word" and prepare to "Flush the Johns, 2004."

    The president drives a Ford F-250 pick-up at his ranch in Texas. His challenger is best known for driving an old Dodge 600 convertible around Washington, D.C., which some might surmise is the real basis of the nickname "Senator Flip-Flop."

    "Voters support candidates with similar vehicles to their own," the folks at Kelley Blue Book said.

    Read entire column by clicking this link.
  2. daniel

    daniel Cat Lovers Against the Bomb

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    An amusing theory.

    The election will go to the side that manages to motivate its supporters. On each side there are die-hards who will vote and who will not be swayed by any form of reason, evidence, or developments. And we are told that the undecideds are few. But there are lots of folks who nominally support one candidate or the other, but who are not motivated to vote because they do not care that much, or believe their vote does not really matter.

    Three things put Bush in the White House last time, and number 3 was the most important:

    1. Outright electoral fraud in Florida: Election officials systematically denied the vote to 5,000 elligible black voters.

    2. The electoral college system, which denies any representation whatsoever to the minority side in each state. And, most importantly:

    3. The Democrats failed to motivate their own supporters. They managed this difficult feat by nominating a dull candidate who was unable or unwilling to conduct an inspiring campaign.

    And they've done the same thing again. Kerry quibbles with Bush about details: Kerry (so he says) would have conducted this illegal and unjustified war "differently." He'd have pursuaded more countries to assist, he'd have sent more troops, he'd have planned better for the aftermath. Kerry would be a bit better for the environment and a bit better on women's issues. He'd make health care a little bit less expensive (so he claims). But he's smack-dab beside Bush on too many of the issues that traditional Democrats consider important, and so they are not motivated to vote.

    On the other hand, a large number of progressives are so angry at Bush that they are working hard to get out the vote. The election will be determined by their efforts, and how effective the republicans are at pulling off electoral fraud. The new player this year is Diebold, a big Bush supporter, and manufacturer of the new voting machines, many of which leave no paper trail and use software that has not been tested independently.
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