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4th generation coming 2015!

Discussion in 'Gen 4 Prius Main Forum' started by edmcohen, Nov 6, 2012.

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  1. windstrings

    windstrings Certified Prius Breeder

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    They know they aren't or they wouldn't have fudged. That either shows a character trait of incompetence or dishonesty... Not sure which, if not both.

    Alan.. Sent with Tapatalk 2
     
  2. Tideland Prius

    Tideland Prius Moderator of the North
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    Well, better hope that Toyota has recoup its expenses then. The NiMH works because it's been dead reliable so far and of course it helps spread out the R&D costs the longer they use it. In addition, you can see that they're putting in the 2.5HSD system in a lot of vehicles (Camry, ES, Avalon, GS, IS and soon in the "NX" or whatever they end up calling the small Lexus crossover). You can bet the RAV4 isn't far behind (The "NX" will be built on the same platform as the RAV4).

    And again, I'll quote what the Chief Engineer told us in Prius Connection Detroit when we asked about Li-Ion batteries, "we don't want to be the first, we want to be the best."

    Now I don't know if the Prius PHV and Prius+/Alpha means that they've done it as they all have Li-ion batteries but there's also a cost issue. (The Prius+/Alpha was done for packaging issues to fit 7 people. The cost of the 7 seater over the 5 seater in Japan isn't trivial spec for spec). Will there be enough of a perceived difference to charge the extra cost for a Li-Ion battery over a NiMH? What can Toyota give the consumer in exchange for that? (e.g. 2 extra seats in the +/Alpha but you lose the centre console box storage).

    I think Toyota's better off with being "behind the curve" on the battery technology if they're able to bring the cost down to within $1,000 over a "regular" vehicle. That will kick the mild hybrid systems off the market because now their price advantage (which is why you bought a mild hybrid in the first place) is gone.

    Or maybe they'll offer two versions? The base model will have NiMH batteries and upscale models will have Li-ion?
     
  3. windstrings

    windstrings Certified Prius Breeder

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    That would indeed be an interesting option...
    They can't sit forever on old tried and true technology though while the riskier more expensive takes over.

    I suppose that's always the story with old tried and true... It's only good until better comes along for cheaper given the same performance.

    It's a bit deceptive in that our prices do creep up, but we keep getting better in place of it.

    We would have never had the hybrid prius of today if Toyota hadn't stepped away from the tried and true to be a forerunner.

    The hungriest dog fights hardest for the bone.

    Alan.. Sent with Tapatalk 2
     
  4. Tideland Prius

    Tideland Prius Moderator of the North
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    That's true and I suppose it has been over 10 years since Toyota introduced the current battery pack.
     
  5. usbseawolf2000

    usbseawolf2000 HSD PhD

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    Oxymoron. :p

    NiMh can absorb the charge quicker than a typical Lithium battery. There are some Lithium battery chemistry that may be able to as well but they lose the other advantage of Lithium (energy density and weight). Yea, cost is another sticking point.
     
  6. Tideland Prius

    Tideland Prius Moderator of the North
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    Hahaha. Good point.

    Yeah maybe Toyota is working on a different lithium battery chemistry. Li-ion isn't the only Lithium battery out there.
     
  7. windstrings

    windstrings Certified Prius Breeder

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    I wonder how they are comparing that?

    Lithium is smaller and denser and holds more energy for a given size, I have found it to be more efficient in discharging as well is charging but maybe my experience is skewed.

    I have a 550 cold cranking amps shorai motorcycle battery on my motorcycle and it charges quite quickly as well as the discharge is easy also to deliver the punch .
    And its true there are several lithium types out there now it wouldn't take much to change the chemistry once again and have even more benefits.


    Alan.. Sent with Tapatalk 2
     
  8. usbseawolf2000

    usbseawolf2000 HSD PhD

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    NiMH in gen3 Prius can recharge from "empty" to "full" (no bar to 8 full bars) in about a minute. That's the nature of HV application and demand from a small pack.

    A123 LiFe cells and Toshiba lithium titanate may come close (5 mins?) but I am not sure if they'll be able to maintain that toward high SOC or in cold weather. I believe they are about half as energy densed as a typical laptop lithium-ion batteries.

    Is your 550 cold cranking amps shorai motorcycle battery lead acid or Lithium? I found a model that uses LiFe but it does not say CCA. Warranty is 2 years, far from automotive grade/requirement.

    As Tideland Prius mentioned, Toyota has HV Lithium pack they put in the Prius+ (Alpha). They are higher power (not energy) version of the more energy densed cells in PiP. Sanyo offers 5Ah HV cells and 20Ah PHV/EV cells. They are tuned for both applications as power and energy are a trade-off.
     
  9. windstrings

    windstrings Certified Prius Breeder

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    Mine is lithium... Pm me if you need the exact specs.

    But the prius NiMh from 1 bar to full, is actually a pretty small battery when you consider 1 bar is still 30 percent or so... Maybe 40..i can't remember and full bars is not full either, there is still another 20 percent or so to full.

    Meaning, there isn't that much your having to charge.

    Now compare that with a lithium of which they have programmed to use much more of the batteries capacity, plus it's bigger and more dense meaning there is quite a bit more storage capacity your charging.

    I don't know if my facts are straight but you get the idea. :)

    Would be interesting to know if they charged at the same rate of current and what the total capacity of each battery was full too.

    Alan.. Sent with Tapatalk 2
     
  10. markabele

    markabele owner of PiP, then Leaf, then Model 3

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    I can't tell, do you like lithium, Alan? ;)
     
  11. usbseawolf2000

    usbseawolf2000 HSD PhD

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    I believe Prius Alpha (Japan) has 1 kWh Lithium so it is 0.31 kWh less than NiMH -- Lithium-ion has wider usable SOC. I think it is about 20 lbs lighter and a bit smaller so it was moved inside the center armrest. That gave room for the third row in the back. Very clever.

    If I recall, the 3rd row option with Lithium pack costs $4-5k more. What comes down to is.... for the benefits it offers, is it worth it?
     
  12. windstrings

    windstrings Certified Prius Breeder

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    Certainly for my household items... Much more robust power without wavering throughout the whole duty cycle.
    I've had numerous NiMh batteries just kinda loose their magic, especially when I used them to replace my nicad I'm my solar lights around my house... Some of that could be the solar cells them self.

    We see them used in all the highest tech devices now from computers to smartphones, heavy duty commercial hand tools . etc.

    The only place I don't see them is where weight is not a big consideration and cost is on the table.

    My son's prius did have his NiMh go our in his prius at about 185000 miles.
    I blame some of that on his aggressive driving.
    But it was easily replaceable with one from a junkyard for 400 bucks plus another 400 to put it in by the dealer.

    So I'm not super freaked out at the prospect of having a lithium bank go bad as people wreck cars everyday.

    Tesla uses 7000 18650 cells... Such a massive bank would cost a tad.. However I think it's easy to simply replace the bad cell and move on... Dont know how much tesla would charge to go that though.

    But Toyota isn't considering such a massive bank anyway.. Theirs would be much cheaper.



    Alan.. Sent with Tapatalk 2
     
  13. Tideland Prius

    Tideland Prius Moderator of the North
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    Yeah but a NiMH battery at home isn't constantly kept at 60% SOC. You typically charge it to 100% then charge near 0% (usually 20%)
     
  14. windstrings

    windstrings Certified Prius Breeder

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    True, too bad we can't tap into more of that battery since we carry it around anyway

    Alan.. Sent with Tapatalk 2
     
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  15. markabele

    markabele owner of PiP, then Leaf, then Model 3

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    Personally I think the solution is pretty simple. If you really have to have a lithium, buy a PiP. I think Toyota probably knows what is better than a few schmucks like us on the internet. Yes, energy density and all that is better in a lithium, we get that. There are other variables at play here, however. And I think Toyota knows far better what is best than we do regarding this.
     
  16. windstrings

    windstrings Certified Prius Breeder

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    I agree the pip is better suited to take advantage of a lithium system.

    I think the NiMh is excellent for short term storage.

    But even the regen benefits blossom when there is a bigger bank to send to and draw from regardless of battery type.
    Using only the center portion of the duty cycle with NiMh makes increasing the size prohibitive concerning weight, room to put it, and even cost.

    It is what it is.

    The future is most likely going to have pip written on it for sure!

    Alan.. Sent with Tapatalk 2
     
  17. markabele

    markabele owner of PiP, then Leaf, then Model 3

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  18. cycledrum

    cycledrum PSOCSOASP

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    Are you kidding? Hey, this is Priuschat :mad:



    :D
     
  19. usbseawolf2000

    usbseawolf2000 HSD PhD

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    Here is what I think:

    NiMh is the more suitable for a regular hybrid.

    Lithium-ion is more suitable for plugin hybrid or EV.

    As for short or long term, I think hybrids are here to stay. It is now mainstream and plugins are still up in the air (looking at the sales).

    When (not if) the price of Lithium battery drops, it should finally replace the NiMh. Keep in mind that NiMh price can drop further also, depending on the rare earth metal situation.
     
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  20. ItsNotAboutTheMoney

    ItsNotAboutTheMoney EditProfOptInfoCustomUser Title

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    NiMh is only suitable for Toyota and Honda hybrids because they own enough IP that NiMh is very cheap to them. Everybody else is already on lithium because NiMh would be an expensive, inferior dead end.

    Toyota won't replace NiMh soon and are likely hoping they never have to: cheap lithium batteries would imply cheap plug-ins and their hybrid market would collapse.
     
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