EV supply is coming. Will demand catch up?

Lot's 'O' drama .... the notion of burning through cash -
Reminds me of the same claim about Gen II Prius over a dozen years ago. As though you bring new tech on line w/out spending a tone of dough is some kind of norm. Then there's my favorite ... Fiat saying they loose $20K per car. They forget to mention how many CARB credits their 500e produces so that their CAFE rating doesn't dive even farther down into the toilet - from selling guzzlers like their Hellcat Charger and the like. Oh well, guess it makes for good headlines in someone's universe.
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they won't make more cars than demand requires, it's the nature of the beast. hype is good though.

 

They won't make more cars than demand - unless you are Bob Lutz's pre-bankruptcy GM ..... lest we forget the Hummer ... America's symbol for gluttonous excessive inefficiency. In that case, you just keep building them & building them until every train station overflow parking, every shopping malls' backlot & side street is filled with them -



The 2007 economic collapse gave people a moment of sanity - but not much long-term memory ...
Don't worry about the products a manufacturer can't give away, let's focus on an electric car with the 400,000 member / thousand dollar deposit wait list. Oh the irony

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Quota % ev sales - Ah-La U.S. - type CARB procedures that we have here ... & still - our US auto industry fights (via big $$ lobbies) tooth & nail, each time new deadlines approach. Oh the irony - taking the lead.

might that also mean a sort-of price parity for the Volt is only ~ 2yrs out too ?
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From what I read, manufacturers get multiple credits for each electric sold. So the real rate is more like 2-5% of the fleet for each manufacturer needs to be electric to hit the 10% credits goal.

In answer to the thread question, absolutely demand will catch up. In the audio companion to that article, one of the interviewees said the only thing stopping him from getting an electric car is the charging network. When he found out he could charge on his route, he seemed enthusiastic about getting an EV.

 

there's different ways to skin the cat. Over the decades, I've moved closer to work to ride a bicycle to work, or found a van or carpool - or moved to a roommate type home (garage/extension cord) ... but yea, some day even regular apartments will most likely have power for cars sitting outdoors all night. Infrastructure.
8 or 9 decades ago people said "why should I buy a car when there are so few gas stations".
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Re Fiat, this might be of interest:
Fiat CEO Acts Dumb, Still Hates EVs, Says Not To Buy Fiat 500e | CleanTechnica


Posted via the PriusChat mobile app.

 

Pardon my ignorance but I thought Canada led in block heaters. I would have thought such outlets were fairly common near car parking spots. Did I get it wrong?

Bob Wilson

 

A hotel lot in Ithaca, NY had block heater outlets on the lamp posts.

 

Back to the OP's topic of supply vs demand, my point was the Hummer glut was mostly the manufacturer's fault .... if manufacturers don't match up supply w/ demand you're stuck with a huge inventory that needs to get sold for maybe just a tad above ½price. Meanwhile Tesla's 3rd quarter was a record-setter this year. They don't just keep spitting them out - unless people are putting on a deposit to buy.
Then there's desirability & cost issues. Bob just posted sales results and part of the sales data indicates what features most people are looking for - or don't want. On the top of the, "I hate it" features seems to be micro car size & puny range. The more people it holds & farther it goes, the more buyers seem to like it.
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that's what makes phev's so attractive.

 

Yes, but only in the short term. Once charging infrastructure for improves that aren't Teslas, then the PHEV market is screwed, too. Fills a good niche right now, but long term there is no point in carrying around 2 very heavy things that only get used one at a time.