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Mar-Jun 2013, Hybrid Dashboard Report

Discussion in 'Prius, Hybrid, EV and Alt-Fuel News' started by bwilson4web, Jul 4, 2013.

  1. Zythryn

    Zythryn Senior Member

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    I would be interested in what they include in their 'hybrid' category.
    Plug in hybrids?
    Full electrics (I have seen some do this)?

    Anecdotally, we have no hybrids, but two electrics. I am sure I tend to over estimate the number of electrics as a percentage as well.
    It is difficult not to, which is why I very much appreciate seeing numbers and miles driven in various types of cars. It helps me stay grounded:)
     
  2. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Over time, I've noticed there are some implicit divisions in the data:
    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6
    0 [th]low mo. rate[th]high mo. rate[th]low annual[th]high annual[th]group
    1 [tr][td2]1[td]21 00[td2]1[td]25 200[td]dying on the vine demonstrators highest priced new models
    2 [tr][td2]2 698[td]4 461[td2]32 376[td]53 532[td]serious production
    3 [tr][td2]12 432[td]15 330[td2]149 184[td]183 960[td]Prius hatchback


    There are 'bandgaps' between these three group and the margins are likely to change as hybrid sales increase. This analysis is limited to the past four months. But I'm learning how to make generation of these boundaries automatic, driven by the data, not 'my lying eyes.'

    Bob Wilson
     
  3. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    I think they are only including hybrids, from there segment break down. Plug ins would have pushed the segment above sports cars.;) Really there are not very many plug-ins though, so I would not think it matters on percentage of cars on the road today. Plug-ins - phevs and bevs will be an increasing segment 10 years from now though.



    [​IMG]
     
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  4. JMD

    JMD 2012 Prius 4 Solar Roof

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    PC members are very educated on Hybrid and have little fear in buying the car.

    However when you speak to the average Joe's on the street you quickly become aware what are the false reasons people don't consider a Hybrid. Typical responses are it is unsafe in a car accident you may get shocked by the batteries, the car is expensive to repair, most hybrids are light cars and unsafe, etc. Guys like Rush have made the Hybrid a political hot bed, a suv is your g-d given political right.

    I think Toyota is doing a great job in debunking the myths and in time Hybrid will overtake other cars.
     
  5. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Column 1 Column 2
    0 [th]% share[th]class[th]prius June sales[th]model
    1 [tr][td2]27.4%[td2]Midrange Car[td2]14 066[td2]hatchback
    2 [tr][td2]27.4%[td2]Midrange Car[td2]3 878[td2]Camry hybrid
    3 [tr][td2]19.4%[td2]CUV[td2]2 987[td2]prius v
    4 [tr][td2]14.7%[td2]Small Car[td2]3 442[td2]prius c

    There looks to be an association but weak.

    Bob Wilson
     
  6. Sergiospl

    Sergiospl Senior Member

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  7. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    July 2013 Prius sales:

    15,252 - Liftback
    3,428 - V
    3,797 - C
    817 - PHV

    Put in perspective, the Liftback ranks 4th in Toyota's product-line here:

    34,780 - Camry
    24,462 - Corolla
    19,538 - Rav4

    .
     
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  8. Sergiospl

    Sergiospl Senior Member

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    Toyota July Sales Overview
    Toyota reported July 2013 sales results of 193,394 vehicles, an increase of 17.3 percent over July 2012.
    Toyota itself posted July 2013 sales of 173,063 vehicles, up 16.2 percent over the year-ago month.
    Lexus reported July 2013 sales of 23,031 units, up 26.3 percent over last year.

    Toyota July Sales Highlights
    Rank Best-Selling Car July 2013 %Change
    #1 Toyota Camry 34,780 + 16.3%
    #2 Honda Civic 32,416 + 29.6%
    #3 Honda Accord 31,507 + 10.0%
    #4 Nissan Altima 29,534 + 11.0%
    #5 Chevrolet Cruze 25,447 + 70.2%
    #6 Toyota Corolla 24,463 + 3.5%
    #7 Hyundai Elantra 23,958 + 29.4%
    #8 Ford Fusion 20,522 - 12.0%
    #9 Hyundai Sonata 18,903 - 9.9%
    #10 Ford Focus 16,764 + 1.9%
    #11 Toyota Prius 16,069 + 51.3%
    -----Prius Sedan ^ 15,252 + 53.5%
    -----Prius Plug-In ^ 817 + 18.8%
    #12 Kia Optima 13,752 + 3.3%
    #13 Volkswagen Jetta 13,388 - 1.8%
    #14 Chevrolet Impala 12,915 + 38.0%
    #15 Chevrolet Malibu 12,473 + 1.0%
    #16 Nissan Sentra 11,439 + 15.7%
    #17 Subaru Outback 10,456 + 12.7%
    #18 Kia Soul 10,160 + 1.0%
    #19 Volkswagen Passat 10,051 + 11.6%
    #20 BMW 3-Series 9890 + 29.2%

    Source: Manufacturers & ANDC
     
  9. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    GM's struggle with Volt continues to get worse. Despite the huge discount last month, sales growth was not achieved. It only caused a temporary surge, then returned back to roughly the rate it was prior to that. July results were well under what was hoped, especially considering the month started with around 8,000 unsold still in inventory.

    Put in perspective, the position of Volt only qualifies as a niche in GM's product-line, clearly not a significant part of the fleet:

    42,080 - Silverado
    25,447 - Cruze
    18,507 - Equinox
    16,582 - Sierra
    12,915 - Impala
    12,473 - Malibu
    7,969 - Camaro
    7,855 - Terrain
    7,616 - Traverse
    7,119 - Tahoe
    6,181 - Suburban
    6,055 - Sonic
    5,569 - Express
    4,963 - Enclave
    3,847 - Spark
    3,621 - Verano
    3,446 - LaCrosse
    3,176 - Encore
    3,143 - Yukon XL
    2,790 - Yukon
    2,548 - Captiva
    1,788 - Volt

    With such an obvious indication of what the true competition is, there are obviously some priorities & goals to reconsider. Traditional vehicles are a major portion of GM sales. How will they break away from the mess they created? Some other choice must be offered. What will it be?
     
  10. Sergiospl

    Sergiospl Senior Member

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  11. FL_Prius_Driver

    FL_Prius_Driver Senior Member

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    If 1788 is a "niche", what is 817?
     
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  12. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    It's a package option. Toyota didn't take a one-size-fits-all approach with Prius like GM did with Volt.

    Also, rollout to just 15 states is in itself a niche. It simply doesn't make sense expanding nationwide until the 2014 model year. When it happens, that will spawn interest in both markets.

    The decision to wait makes more and more sense as each month passes.
     
  13. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    gotta love the rationalizations. No Toyota only had a one size fits all prius for 13 years;) The volt has been a single car option for much longer, almost 4
    whatever it takes to make you sleep better at night, buddy. Keep it up.
     
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  14. Zythryn

    Zythryn Senior Member

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    Hehe, the decision to wait is why I sold my Prius to get a Volt.
    The decision to wait to bring the Ravev to Minnesota (if ever) is why we bought our second Model S.
    It may work for Toyota as a whole. But personally I don't see how you are going to replace mainstream vehicles with advanced vehicles such as the PiP and Rav4ev if you don't SELL them.
     
  15. hill

    hill High Fiber Member

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    if I wasn't so dang lazy I'd average the EPA/mpg of all these vehicles together just to see what their average would be. I think that might prove interesting in comparison to Toyota's top sellers.
    .
     
  16. john1701a

    john1701a Prius Guru

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    Looking at the big picture, V & C have become well known in the meantime. Heck, the C model has been the top-seller in Japan for awhile now. That established the acceptance of Prius variety. While at the same time, work has been underway to prepare the market for the plug-in model... in other words, educate consumers.

    Haven't you noticed one of the top complaints about GM's approach with Volt has been the lack understanding, not having taught consumers how it works?

    What benefit would there have been rolling out this Spring as originally planned? Waiting until Fall doesn't appear to have been a loss. In fact, the success of Tesla & Nissan in the meantime appears to be a gain. The growing popularity of full EVs makes the decision to purchase a Prius with a plug easier. There's no intimidation factor then.

    In other words, Toyota is positioning itself rather than having just plunging in. That's a sound plan for reaching the mainstream.
     
  17. austingreen

    austingreen Senior Member

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    Wow, what month do you think toyota will be selling prius phv's in texas and florida. What year do you thin the phv will be mainstream? How many phv's does toyota need to sell to be mainstream?

    How much do you think the leaf $199 lease will help sell the 2014 prius phv when they roll out to other states?
     
  18. Jeff N

    Jeff N The answer is 0042

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    Make that "almost 3".

    I got Volt #42 in December 2010 as quickly as they could truck it from the factory in Michigan about 2 years and just over 7 months ago.
     
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  19. Jeff N

    Jeff N The answer is 0042

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    John, I thought you recently said your concern was about GM not building a high mpg Prius hybrid competitor. I agree with you that they should do this.

    Do you think they should redesign the Volt with a smaller pack with a blended non-EREV design (equivalent to a Ford Energi) to drop the cost? No, you recently denied that was your intent.

    So why do you keep harshing on the Volt?
     
  20. bwilson4web

    bwilson4web BMW i3 and Model 3

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    Hi Jeff,
    I do not own either car and am not in the market. If our 2003 Prius dies, I am more likely to buy a Leaf than either of the plug-ins. In short, I don't have a dog in that fight. But I do appreciate John's postings about the technical capabilities of the Plug-In Prius.

    The reason is I suspect even less charge is needed to achieve a step increase in ordinary Prius performance. We know they typically are parked with 60% state of charge with 20% headroom to the 80% limit. This looks to be enough to handle the warm-up penalty of all existing Prius.

    Now this is a hypothesis that will take careful engineering to test. But my 'back of the envelope' calculations suggests for a 2-5 lb weight penalty and using regular 110-120VAC plug-in, we can shift the Prius average MPG up at least 5-10 MPG. John's technical data strongly supports my 'back of the envelope' analysis.

    But there is no GM hybrid that even comes close to having a similar capability although the Ford hybrids might and we don't know enough about the other hybrids. Would reducing the Volt battery pack make sense?

    Given the abysmal gas-only mileage, no. But remember, there is nothing in either Plug-In that excites my engineering sense with the exception of mitigating the current warm-up costs all Prius pay.

    Bob Wilson
     
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